Mechanical Systems - Betting, Tips & Ratings - Racehorse TALK harm-plan harm-plan

Racehorse TALK



Mechanical Systems - Betting, Tips & Ratings - Racehorse TALK

Author Topic: Mechanical Systems  (Read 10651 times)

0 Members and 2 Guests are viewing this topic.

Offline Wenona

  • VIP Club
  • Group 1
  • User 175
  • Posts: 7365
« 2018-Oct-22, 08:23 AM Reply #50 »
Yes for the first few weeks the Qld and NSW TAB's had the identical offer. I backed both sides and balanced on betfair needed 2 bonuses out of 15 games to make a profit.

Last season 29% of games had a team lead at a quarter and lose and the strike rate was higher than that at the start of the season.

Stats from last year (there's an error of 1 game somewhere)

CollectsGames     
Home Collects3625714.0%    
Away Collects3925715.2%29.2%   
        
    CollectCollect  
 CollectsGames HomeAway  
Home Fav Games4414829.7%162810.8%18.9%
Home Dog Games258629.1%17819.8%9.3%
Home Pk Games62326.1%3313.0%13.0%
        
All Favourites2423410.3%    
All Dogs4523419.2%   

A further breakdown showed the only games that need to be avoided were games where the home favourite was more than a 13 point favourite.

NSW now only pays the bonus if you lead in the last quarter and lose and the Qld Tab has banned me from bonuses.  :(

« Last Edit: 2018-Oct-22, 08:44 AM by Wenona »

Offline arthur

  • Group 2
  • User 446
  • Posts: 2722
« 2019-Feb-11, 10:56 AM Reply #51 »
Anybody who blindly follows ratings when making their selections should be aware that  . .

Allround Glory (MKY R3H1  12 Feb) rating on most (all?) sites is completely wrong

They must play 'follow the leader'

Online JWesleyHarding

  • Group 1
  • User 231
  • Posts: 19147
« 2019-Feb-11, 11:21 AM Reply #52 »
What ratings ( figures & sources) are we talking here?

Offline arthur

  • Group 2
  • User 446
  • Posts: 2722
« 2019-Feb-11, 11:29 AM Reply #53 »
R&S . . Predicted rating 5.0

S-B . . U-Bet et al . . 75 on 100 point scale

Likely R&S made a typo and other programs blindly followed

Online JWesleyHarding

  • Group 1
  • User 231
  • Posts: 19147
« 2019-Feb-11, 11:45 AM Reply #54 »
NSW tab shows Sky 100

Offline arthur

  • Group 2
  • User 446
  • Posts: 2722
« 2019-Feb-11, 11:55 AM Reply #55 »
NSW tab shows Sky 100

Which would be correct . . They mustn't pinch R&S

Offline fours

  • Group 1
  • User 704
  • Posts: 6041
« 2019-Feb-11, 01:06 PM Reply #56 »
Rating followers...

Are there any?

I only ask as the number of 40/1 plus winners that are rated on top by one rating provider or more staggers belief!

Wizard in particular was great and R&S no slouch either

Fours

Offline arthur

  • Group 2
  • User 446
  • Posts: 2722
« 2019-Feb-13, 02:59 PM Reply #57 »
G'Day Fours

Hope you included the Jester. He was my price yesterday (half a loaf is better than no bread), loves MKY and well spotted by R&S @ about 3.6

I also got 4.1 with a price boost about ARG prepost with my new 'mate Ned (Kelly??)

Offline fours

  • Group 1
  • User 704
  • Posts: 6041
« 2019-Feb-13, 03:19 PM Reply #58 »
arthur,

I don't follow them for ever so it was all yours.

Fours


BACK TO ALL TOPICS
Sitemap