Staking Plan - Betting, Tips & Ratings - Racehorse TALK   harm-plan

Racehorse TALK



Staking Plan - Betting, Tips & Ratings - Racehorse TALK

Author Topic: Staking Plan  (Read 418 times)

0 Members and 1 Guest are viewing this topic.

Offline Radcliffe

  • Maiden
  • User 2884
  • Posts: 9
O.P. « 2020-Feb-04, 02:07 PM »
I'm not a believer in progressive staking plans - just too dangerous and you find yourself having a big go at an average horse or waiting and waiting for an extra good thing. However, I still want to have a bigger go on the best chances and leave room for the occasional stab on a roughie that is well over the odds.
So here is the plan:
Run 4 plans at the same time:
A. 1 unit on any horse at $11 or higher
B. 2 units on any horse over $4.55 and less than $11
C. 5 units on any horse over $2.55 and less than $4.55
A. 10 units on any horse at $2.50 or less.
Only back a horse assessed at value at its available price.
I'll see how I go.

Offline PoisonPen7

  • Group 1
  • User 55
  • Posts: 20971
« 2020-Feb-05, 02:22 PM Reply #1 »
You still assessing with the same method mate?

Offline JWesleyHarding

  • Group 1
  • User 231
  • Posts: 19579
« 2020-Feb-05, 02:34 PM Reply #2 »
You still assessing with the same method mate?

Following WOT's lead?

Offline Radcliffe

  • Maiden
  • User 2884
  • Posts: 9
« 2020-Feb-05, 10:01 PM Reply #3 »
Same basic noughts and crosses approach to framing the markets, PP, with some minor changes around giving less and less chance to outsiders. I don't have any data to back it up, but is seems that more and more race winners come from the top of the market.
The actual individual horse ratings have probably developed a bit, but I certainly still focus on assessing Class and Race Suitability as the key factors in these ratings. So far, I'm also a bit more selective about whether I fire the gun .. I'm betting on less races for sure.
A few things have changed though with people using Incremental Velocity Ratings (nice name), speed maps, track walk data and the like more and more, rather than the old Cliff Cary and Don Scott approaches that I grew up on.
PP, I'm happy to report that the stats from my first 28 bets back are better than ever. I hope that this nice start continues. I'm enjoying it!

Offline PoisonPen7

  • Group 1
  • User 55
  • Posts: 20971
« 2020-Feb-05, 11:45 PM Reply #4 »
Same basic noughts and crosses approach to framing the markets, PP, with some minor changes around giving less and less chance to outsiders. I don't have any data to back it up, but is seems that more and more race winners come from the top of the market.
The actual individual horse ratings have probably developed a bit, but I certainly still focus on assessing Class and Race Suitability as the key factors in these ratings. So far, I'm also a bit more selective about whether I fire the gun .. I'm betting on less races for sure.
A few things have changed though with people using Incremental Velocity Ratings (nice name), speed maps, track walk data and the like more and more, rather than the old Cliff Cary and Don Scott approaches that I grew up on.
PP, I'm happy to report that the stats from my first 28 bets back are better than ever. I hope that this nice start continues. I'm enjoying it!

Mate I think your system is brilliant in it's simplicity and at the end of the day dare I say would suffice for a reasonable assessment.

The time taken to add all the speed maps and rating horses I don't think converts into an "edge" and I often use your system for country racing - especially maiden, class 1 and 2 and lower benchmarks.

Sounds like you are off to a good start and best of luck with it Rad.   emthup


BACK TO ALL TOPICS
Sitemap