(1) allow an hour to do the form for each meeting.....this month I am up to my neck with work.....you won't see me posting tips because of it.....i won't have a bet if i haven't done the form......time is a huge factor.
(2) doing the form involves getting your hands on a good formguide....."the Sportsman" and "Racenet" are very good as they cover the essential info to pick winners.....such as Sire, Dam, Dam's Sire, at least its past 3 starts, record on all track and conditions, race tempo, weights, barriers, jockeys, trainers, prizemoney.....on the other hand if you are doing the form with the daily "herald sun" or "daily telegraph", then you either are a social punter, and just banking on luck.....or you don't take your punting seriously.
(3) record every bet you make.....break it down to bet types e.g win/place bets, trifectas, quinellas, doubles, quaddies.....try to review your week on the punt.....you would be amazed how good you are at some bet types, and completely hopeless in others.
(4) always save on your bet if you are awaiting a decent payout in a double/quaddie.....just to cover your bet at least
(5) i have a budget a day.....whether I am so far in front, or if i'm going through a run of outs.....my betting limit for the day remains unchanged.....it has been the same for 3 years now.
(6) if you consider yourself an astute judge, you wouldn't want anyone's opinion other than your own.....the only other people I consider that are consistently up to scratch are Tony Brassel ( he has the time to go to trials ), Wayne Wilson, Mark Shean, Ron Papps ( shit caller, top tipster ) and Steve Moran.
(7) try to be on track as much as possible.....I won't touch horses I've fancied pre race if they drift alarmingly.....e.g 7/2 out to 7/1.....not only are you taking grose unders at home, you'll find most of these drifters run down the track.
(8) keep a blackbook
(9) doubles and quaddies are my favourite exotic bets.....unbelievable overs are offered 90% of the time
(10) for each metro meeting I have at least 3 lays.....93 % strike rate......if anyone wants them on a saturday, let it be known to me by email or a thread......I've always done the form by midnight friday.
(1) don't listen to Hilton Donaldson
(2) more often than not a horse that is running over the same distance as at its previous run WILL NOT WIN if it hasn't raced within 16 days ( or 2 weeks)
form guide example
1600 metres- Flemington- 8/2/02- 1st of 15- sp 6/1- good track
I would not back this horse in a 1600 metre race at its next start to WIN if it was to run after 24/2/02.
Yet if the horse was to step up to 1800 metres or 2000 metres...... I would give it a winning chance as long as it would have its next run within 23 days ( or 3 weeks ).....nothing later
exceptions to the rule
- when a track is rated dead, I add 100 metres to the distance, when a track is rated slow or heavy then i add 200 metres to the race distance.
So if King Delamere was to have its next run on a Slow track over 1600 metres within 23 days ( 3 weeks ) of its last start.....I would then classify it a 1800 metre race, therefore on my theory it COULD WIN at its next start.
******* 1600 metres was just an example......this rule applies to all distances with the exception of 1000 metre races.....or horses resuming from a spell.
horses coming back in distance
I don't like horses coming back in distance as a rule.....their are a couple of exceptions though that DO work :-
On the example above......if King Delamere was to drop back in distance at its next start, to say a 1400 metre race.....I could only fancy it to WIN if
a) the horse has had a 3 week freshen up......not one, not 2.....not 4.....MUST BE 3
******yet if the track was to be slow in this situation, it would make it a 1600 metre race, therefore I would not expect it to WIN, as my theory says NOT TO BACK A HORSE THAT STARTS OVER THE SAME DISTANCE, IF 3 WEEKS HAVE ELAPSED
Their is no way I could explain this to you properly unless I was with you face to face with a form guide.....this is something I have come to observe and master over 15 years of punting.....it has been the main key to my BANKING !......remembering I have only started getting great profits the past 3-4 years ( my first 10 years on the punt were at a loss.....no control, no records....betting only on the adrenalin factor....young and reckless )......along with a broad knowledge of breeding ( I DON'T MEAN LIKE BRENDAN PARNELL )......just know your staying lines, with your short and middle distance blood lines and you're almost there.
I will say this until I'm Black or Blue......the punt is 70 % knowledge and 30 % luck
Sorry to confuse the s*it out of you all