Racehorse TALK

and looking ahead ....



Sunday Max 20 Min 12     a few showers



Monday Max 20 Min 12    a shower or two



Tuesday   Max 20 Min 10    a shower or two

So in other words they have no idea.....

Perhaps not Chalky but living in this town all my life I know that calling Melbourne weather, especially in advance, is marginally more difficult than landing the quaddie.

I suppose you are doing the form for a Good track ?  I wouldn't. 

Im thinking it looks like dead, maybe worse...what is a shower or two likely to mean?

Dead 4 or 5 is likely for mine..

   Anything  

Seriously, I have had the experience several times of standing in a deluge yelling "This is not a shower or two.  This is a flood!"

That normally occurs with those really localized thunderstorms that can flood one suburb and miss the next suburb entirely - and they normally occur when the hot wind (north) meets the cold wind (south) - which seems to be the call for Saturday morning.  That would be my concern - the rain expected on Friday and Saturday morning.   The 'shower or two' called for Sunday through Tuesday probably wont amount much other than impede the track from recovering from the rain on Friday/Saturday.

Dangerous business is weather forecasting but I would be working on the slow side of dead for Saturday. Dead 5.

And my quaddie numbers are....

Hmmm - looking a bit like it could be a repeat of last year?

I hope not - and I don't think so. 

The Bureaus 'interactive' chart - which I have found to be a pretty good predictor seems to suggest that most of the rain will fall overnight on Friday and should have cleared by race time.  Their forecast seems to be a tad pessimistic - and the 'showers or two' forecast for Sunday and Monday and Tuesday really don't look like they will amount to much.   

Rain on Saturday?

Sweet...loading up on Temple of Boom as I type...

Track manager's report on radio this morning was a very confident prediction that the track will play as a true dead all day long. Currently near good 3, expects about 10 mm's of rain today, possibly something similar tomorrow, but very confident that it won't get drenched (confident about Melb's weather, not that's new, ) and that it will be a dead 4 to 5.

If it did happen to pour down he was very confident of absorbing up to 60 mm's and the track standing up ok, but he'd be happy to bet against it.

This is the 3rd meeting in a row with the rail in the true, will go out approx 2 or 3 mtrs for Tuesday as it has in past yrs.

It's raining.



Thunder.

It has begun.  How much falls in the next 18 hours is the question.  5mm down and counting.

There aint gonna be too much more Tonto.

I hope you're right Mark.

I am at the foot of the ranges so I get a distorted perspective - it always rains more over this side than the West.

why does last years super saturday come rushing to mind!