Tevez it is not about overlooking the obvious, the point of BB'ing a horse is to let you know that you saw something that may not show up in it's true form, a reminder if you will, a win usually will show up and you don't really need a reminder is all I am saying, I am not doubting the validity or the quality of the winner and I am certainly not "overlooking the obvious"
I realise that winners are different, some are more impressive than others as you said "you can't tell how a horse won" (from the form) I covered that when I said that impressive winners are usually very exposed to everyone, when watching a race everyone focuses on the winner, it is rarely missed especially if it was impressive, if they impress you then they probably impressed everyone including the bookie, they are good to follow from a strike rate point of view but most are no value, it is what is hidden where the money is to be made,
I never discount the winner as a horse to follow, that is not what I am advocating, I am saying I look for the hidden runs as BB'ers more than the obvious, I remember the winners(usually)
The idea of blackbooking to me is to tell me something the form doesn't, we seem to agree on that,
When people watch a race they watch what they have money on, when the go back to watch a replay the majority go looking for the unobvious they don't go looking for the winner.
I just think it's a myth that a winner comes always comes up unders, good example Better Be Sure, won a maiden like a city class horse, went to a 0-62 they opened 2.20 won easy, then went to a 0-68 opened 2.20 again & it won easy again, not fancy odds but for a horse that is easily a couple classes better a great price.
Have a look at the horse than won the Sandown Guineas it only had one start previous a Hamilton Maiden but it was impressively certainly more impressive that a Hamilton maiden win reads on paper.
I said earlier in the thread i look for horses that are under classed, whether they won or came last, I must admit I won't find to many that come up 20/1 next start but i will find plenty of winners.