Racehorse TALK

GOLD COAST Preview - Saturday 10/1/09 ( thoughts based on a good track )

Race 1 QUEENSLAND EVENTS MAGIC MILLIONS MAIDEN PLATE

Race Assessment - Difficult

10.Soulima ( looking for 10/1 e/w ) to beat 1.Catchment ( first start for Heinrich ) and 9.Reve D'Or ( respect the Williams engagement )...best roughie 13.Brierly

Race 2 MARRIOTT MAGIC MILLIONS STAYERS CUP HCP

Race Assessment - Good

I can understand why Nikolic isn't on Causeyacan this time...poor ride in the Villiers...no value at $2.60 here with 58kg, 1800 metres.
I'll back 4.Nellie Got There e/w at the 8/1...nice draw, Brown engaged...1.Pepperwood the danger and 6.Drizzle amazingly weighted here after winning the past two MM Stayers Cups...best roughie 5.Ashraf

Race 3 HEINRICH GROUP MAGIC MILLIONS 2YO PLATE

Race Assessment - Fair

13.Pinpoint Accuracy has made ground on Racing Pegasus in both it's runs and gets to 1200 metres here...I want 8/1 at least...Bailey/Colless have 10.Ruth's Secret that won on debut at the track after finding trouble...must include, may contest favouritism with Ollie's mount 1.False Accusation that was trapped wide all the way last start...best roughie 8.Bella Sirena...won't be that rough but wanted to mention it.

Race 4 R.M. WILLIAMS MAGIC MILLIONS SPRINT HCP

Race Assessment - Difficult

Glad it's not a Quaddie Leg...anything can win this...we saw Langfibian win last week and there are horses here I rate better than that old stager...for the sake of a tip I'll go 2.Simplest...notice it's $4.60...would want 6/1 at least...I respect Gwenda Markwell's stable so 4.Comespa for 2nd...and 5.Mfuwe for 3rd...best roughie 8.Aladdin's Lion.

Race 5 PASPALEY MAGIC MILLIONS FILLIES & MARES HANDICAP HCP

Race Assessment - Fair

Several talented mares that get back and finish hard in this...but I'll be looking for the main hopes that race near the lead...just a vibe they will dominate...I've got a bit of time for the grey trained by George Osborne in 9.Laletta...raced well for her new trainer in the Spring...love the fact Williams has stuck...noticed Osborne took the horse to Randwick and won a trial easily...would want to shop around for better odds though $5.50 on Sportsbet currently...that's way unders...4.Insistence with the Pumper on board loves the circuit...will look the winner at some stage...3.Espurante for 3rd...if they are swooping by this Race then you must entertain the 1,2,5,10...best roughie 8.Seconde

Race 6 $1 MILLION CONRAD JUPITERS MAGIC MILLIONS 3YO TROPHY

Race Assessment - Very Good

The good Colt or The good Filly...I really think there are only 2 winning chances. I'll go the filly in 14.Express Air...Rex Lipp will have her fully wound up after the 2 runs...the latest behind topliner Youthful Jack...he'd be 5/4 in this if he was a MM horse...more than happy to take 11/4 Express Air.
Gai's 5.Rock Kingdom will be hard to beat...interesting to see what Ollie does here from the wide gate...he can race handy but he won first up getting back and storming home...10.High Roll'n Woman to find her best for 3rd...best roughie 9.Black Minx

Race 7 $2 MILLION CONRAD JUPITERS MAGIC MILLIONS 2YO CLASSIC

Race Assessment - Good

I'll stick with 7.Paprika to make it 5 from 5...this of course will be her toughest test as she is up against Gai's pair in 11.Horizons ( on pace ) and 1.Shadow Assassin ( gets back and runs on )...I'll be laying Racing Pegasus...best roughie 13.Moonlight Hussey

Race 8 BMW MAGIC MILLIONS CUP HCP

Race Assessment - Good

Did my balls on 6.Albert The Fat two starts ago when Pattilo butchered it...I left it alone last start with this race in mind...I can't forget just yet what I saw when he won at Doomben 3 runs back with 57kg and wide all the way. Nikolic on...4/1 looks a good bet.
It won't be easy...not too sure if the one alley is the right draw for 7.Mr Slick but has the right hoop on board in Brown to overcome it...5.Voice Commander for 3rd...not knocking Black Piranha but you can't tip them all...best roughie 11.Regal Castanea

Race 9 WATERFORD CRYSTAL MAGIC MILLIONS CLASS 6 PLATE

Race Assessment - Good

14.Zero Rock's only defeat in her 5 starts has been to Express Air...will start the popular elect and be hard to toss...6.Mr Unforgettable will be competitive as will 5.Ego's Dare who has early speed to offset the bad gate first up for the Ryan yard...best roughie 17.Manilla Calling if she gains a run

Race 10 NIECON MAGIC MILLIONS COUNTRY CUP NO METRO WINS - SC HCP

Race Assessment - Fair

I like Bailey/Colless to get the bikkies with 5.Havayarn just ahead of 11.Educated and for 3rd 7.Beautiful Timing...best roughie 8.Dardan


Fingers crossed the rain stays away...should be a great days racing

KD

He'd have to back LANG every time it ran around wouldn't he?