Racehorse TALK

Good Morning All!!
                              As almost every system I've seen in this forum ends up selecting the fav (or near enough) and everyone is still persisting with them, then I'll assume that few have realised that these systems  are dead-ends (ie if they were winning methods long term, we would no longer be here and the bookies would've been blitzed!!). So here is something for those with a little courage who are prepared to think outside the square.This method has TWO variations. The first is for Saturday Metro and big race meetings on public holidays, as well as the occasional big Sunday meeting (ie the Hobart guineas on 29th Jan, or Canberra Cup  last year, if you can bear thinking about not joining me in celebrating the $315 win and $7700 exacta payout on S-Tab). The second variation is for all other days. Feel free to tweak it if you like. In either case NO RACES BELOW CLASS 3, nor jumps, nor 2yo races., So to variation ONE.
1) Take all horses which have not placed or won in their last three starts. Also, if a horse has ONE win or place in the previous three starts BUT the total of those three starts is 19 or more it is a selection as well. (A "0" is worth 10 and a spell has no bearing). ie 4456 or 4X56 is NO PLACE/WIN in past three.1018 = 19,  4928 =19, 5091 = 20 etc. 
2) Discard any horse from your selections if A) It has been beaten TWICE or THRICE by 10 lengths or more in the past three starts, B) It has finished within 2 length or less (or won!) at odds of 14-1 or more in the past three starts or, C) It is now down in class from it's previuous run.
3) Bet all selections if they get to $20 on the tote or SP.
  That's it. You will see that the two winners in Adelaide $24 and $69 were both selected by this method. You will soon discover that this method nails such winners almost every day and you will be surprised how few runners you will be betting, though there are about 20-25 per Saturday. The reason it works is as follows.
 Rule 1 is designed to get you looking at horses the others are ignoring. Places are extremely arbitrary (ie a horse could be 6th in a blanket finish or 2nd by 10 lengths, yet most mechanical systems will take much more notice of the "2nd" in the form) and anybody punting by following them will be forcing the prices of these "good-looking" form horse figures DOWN. Go to any TAB to see these punters/lemmings at work.
  Rule 2 is to decide if the horse in question is A) truly "hopeless" (we can forgive one bad run but not TWO) or B) Has already caused a boilover or nearly so, recently (beware of upsets that have ALREADY happened: that was the day we were supposed to have been there!) or C) The trainer has lost faith and is trying for "easier". Down in grade but still at 20s?? Hmmmmm.
   Rule 3. Self explanatery. We know the horse is not as bad as it "looks" but these odds indicate that we are in the small minority who have "the eye".
SECOND VARIATION: As before but any day and at 30s plus. Cheers.
PS This is not as complicated as it appears. Wait until two minutes before a race and then glance at the 20s + horses. You will immediately notice the form figures beside these animals and whether to look further (ie to the actual form). Then you will instantly see whether they have been close at odds or thrashed TWICE recently or are dropping in class. Expect 1 or 2 per race to qualify, sometimes 3 or 4. This will open up the way for Quins/Exactas/Tris etc. Good Luck.