dubbledee
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 Original Post 2009-Aug-21, 06:57 AM
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On another thread there's been discussion on the topic of pre-post betting as a guide to finding a winner. Some see the distribution in quaddies, for example, as an indicator of likely interest when the final win pool is put together.
TAB fixed odds now offer those "in the know" a chance to have a wager well in advance of the actual race. While the markets are terribly unfair (set at 140-150%), they still offer odds that are fixed, and - for an individual runner - potentially better than the starting odds.
There have certainly been instances of early shoppers getting "overs" on recent Brisbane winners. Tears 'n' Cheers was one example, where $13 was layed. The horse started at less than half that quote.
Let's keep an eye on the Brisbane UNiTAB fixed odds, and see if we can find a winner in the "fluctuations".
[Note that odds will naturally reduce due to scratchings. These are not fluctuations as such. Also, deductions will impact on the prices taken prior to any scratchings.]
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dubbledee
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2009-Aug-26, 08:47 AM
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At least they listen....now everything's SUSPENDED. 
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dubbledee
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2009-Aug-26, 09:20 AM
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Some early movers on Fixed Odds:
Race 1: HOLY APOLLO 12 into 9
Race 7: FLAWLESS CHOICE 6.5 into 5
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MagiC~*
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2009-Aug-26, 09:23 AM
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Good thread IMHO I know the smarties, who frame their own market, will jump on anything they may think is overs  |
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gratlog
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2009-Aug-26, 09:33 AM
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As stated before I'm pretty dumb re getting the best odds, but having a little luck in checking out the fixed odds on Unitab in what I like then asking a bit more on Betfair.
Been getting matched easily and jagging a few.
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dubbledee
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2009-Aug-26, 09:54 AM
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Update on early movers on Fixed Odds:
Race 1: HOLY APOLLO 12 into 9
Race 5: QUEEN OF ASIA 3.6 into 3.2
Race 6: LAURELS 3.8 into 3.5
Race 7: FLAWLESS CHOICE 6.5 into 5
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The-Kid
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2009-Aug-26, 10:25 AM
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Laurels 4.50 int 3.60 IAS so plenty of money around for it Cheers The-Kid |
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Sporty
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2009-Aug-26, 11:09 AM
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The only good thing about fixed odds are...if you know about something and you want to get in early...before the smarties hit it at the track...but other then that there shit and i for one don't go on there prices for a guide that they put up...  |
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dubbledee
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2009-Aug-26, 11:12 AM
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The only good thing about fixed odds are...if you know about something and you want to get in early...before the smarties hit it at the track...
That's precisely the reason this thread was started. |
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Sporty
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2009-Aug-26, 11:14 AM
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That's precisely the reason this thread was started. Thank you... |
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gratlog
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2009-Aug-26, 11:50 AM
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For the small punter like myself , it is just good sometimes to put your bet on and the sit back, knowing what you are getting.(if it get's up)
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dubbledee
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2009-Aug-27, 06:51 PM
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Significant move already for first-upper FUNTANTES.
She's in from 3.5 to 2.8.
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Wenona
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2009-Aug-27, 07:07 PM
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I'm sweating on the R6 Doomben market to come up for our bet this week DD.
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Wenona
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2009-Aug-27, 07:11 PM
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It's up - Pins On Parade $2.60  Think he's an odds on chance but might have to wait or look for another one at that price. |
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Tevez17
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2009-Aug-27, 07:15 PM
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BAQABA 4.40 & SIR KINGSFORD 13.00 arn't bad.
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monologue
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2009-Aug-27, 07:34 PM
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Significant move already for first-upper FUNTANTES.
She's in from 3.5 to 2.8.
$4.00 earlier today dd.  |
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