dubbledee
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 Original Post 2009-Nov-04, 02:56 PM
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I ran a competition on the Melbourne Cup. The winner was LITTLE HAWK. The prize is a $100 share in a series of 10 place bets I'll be making on SEQld races.
The staking plan is in keeping with something I proposed on an earlier thread. It has no basis in logic, but is designed to "amplify" our winnings, provided we can maintain a high strike rate over the 10-bet series (the base unit per share is $10).
1. For the first 5 bets (#1 to #5), any return from the bet is distributed evenly among the remaining bets, thus increasing the base stake beyond $10. Say bet #2 gives a return of $24, we add $3 to the stake for each of the remaining 8 bets.
2. For bets #6 to #9, should they be successful we RETAIN THE STAKE, but distribute the PROFITS evenly among the remaining bet/s.
3. Obviously for bet #10 we keep the lot.
Hopefully we'll end up with a bank more than $100. But there's a risk that we will lose a bit, or lose the LOT. 
I'll post the bets on this thread, and endeavour to keep a running sheet here.
Bet #1 $10 - 07.11.09 BR6 #4 ANOTHER TAKEOVER 2nd $18.13 BANK = $108.13
Bet #2 $12 - 11.11.09 BR6 #2 OUR MOSCATO u/p BANK = $96.13
Bet #3 $12 - 14.11.09 BR6 #5 OUR LUKAS 1st $25.80 BANK = $109.93
Bet #4 $16 - 18.11.09 BR2 #1 BULLION BAY 3rd $23.20 BANK = $117.13
Bet #5 $20 - 21.11.09 BR2 #7 REFLECTION OF JADE 1st $38.00 BANK = $135.13
Bet #6 $28 - 25.11.09 BR1 #7 FLY WITH ME 3rd $50.20 BANK = $128.00 SAFE = $29.33
Bet #7 $34 - 28.11.09 BR8 #2 SECRETS UNTOLD 1st $66.30 BANK = $126.00 SAFE = $63.63
Bet #8 $44 - 05.12.09 BR6 #4 EMMA'S HEART U/P BANK = $82 SAFE = $63.63
Bet #9 $42 - 09.12.09 BR7 #3 ELUSIVE PORT 1st $75.60 BANK = $73 SAFE = $106.23
Bet #10 $73 - 16.12.09 BR5 #7 SPANISH FLING 1st $131.40 BANK = $0 SAFE = $237.63 
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« Last Edit: 2009-Dec-16, 06:50 PM by dubbledee »
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dubbledee
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2010-Feb-07, 03:09 PM
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[ ERROR: SPECIFIED ATTACHMENT MISSING ]
[ ERROR: SPECIFIED ATTACHMENT MISSING ]
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calgary
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2010-Feb-07, 07:20 PM
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Can you swim in that?  |
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vadim
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2010-Feb-07, 11:08 PM
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I thought I might include a photo from my balcony but thought better if it!
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« Last Edit: 2010-Feb-07, 11:10 PM by vadim »
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dubbledee
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2010-Feb-08, 09:24 AM
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Your yacht not in port this week, vadim?
Yes can swim there, Calgary. Here's a shot of the beach.
[ ERROR: SPECIFIED ATTACHMENT MISSING ]
[ ERROR: SPECIFIED ATTACHMENT MISSING ]
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dubbledee
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2010-Feb-10, 09:53 AM
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Gonna try the red dog in Race 5. Been up a while but the claim helps, and he's OK in the ground.
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dubbledee
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2010-Feb-10, 06:44 PM
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Would prefer they were in the first 3 all the way, but no worries from the 300.
Round 3 to date:
Bet #1 $10 - 26.01.10 BR4 #3 ANOTHER TAKEOVER 1st $14.00 BANK = $104.00
Bet #2 $12 - 26.01.10 BR5 #4 PURR OF GLORY 1ST $21 BANK = $113.00
Bet #3 $15 - 27.01.10 BR8 #1 RAPID MAGIC 3RD $25.00 BANK = $123.00
Bet #4 $19 - 28.01.10 BR8 #6 HEART TO FEAR 3rd $38.00 BANK = $142.00
Bet #5 $26 - 03.02.10 BR3 #2 IRON RED 3rd $39 BANK = $155
Bet #6 $34 - 06.02.10 BR5 #5 RED SPHERE 1st $54 BANK = $141 [SAFE = $34]
Bet #7 $37 - 10.02.10 BR 5 #1 BRULEUR 3rd $54 BANK = $121 [SAFE = $71]
Bet #8
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Wenona
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2010-Feb-11, 08:05 PM
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DD, if you can get the last three home here and go twenty two straight, I'll buy you any steak you want (and your beer) for lunch at the BCH.
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dubbledee
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2010-Feb-11, 09:42 PM
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RH
No 20 is always difficult - you know that.
wenona
I was expecting a couple of others on here would support my dietary needs around Stradbroke time. But your contribution won't be rejected. 
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dubbledee
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2010-Feb-15, 07:37 PM
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Good to know you're keeping tally, RH. 
For those interested there were no bets over the weekend. Several were considered. Some got in, some didn't.
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dubbledee
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2010-Feb-20, 08:04 AM
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We'll try CHAK today. 
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dubbledee
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2010-Feb-20, 09:24 PM
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Well, no worries there, RH.
Balanced up the numbers, too. 8 bets this round for 4 wins and 4 3rds.
And you've got some interest on your $100 no matter what happens next two bets.
Bet #1 $10 - 26.01.10 BR4 #3 ANOTHER TAKEOVER 1st $14.00 BANK = $104.00
Bet #2 $12 - 26.01.10 BR5 #4 PURR OF GLORY 1ST $21 BANK = $113.00
Bet #3 $15 - 27.01.10 BR8 #1 RAPID MAGIC 3RD $25.00 BANK = $123.00
Bet #4 $19 - 28.01.10 BR8 #6 HEART TO FEAR 3rd $38.00 BANK = $142.00
Bet #5 $26 - 03.02.10 BR3 #2 IRON RED 3rd $39 BANK = $155
Bet #6 $34 - 06.02.10 BR5 #5 RED SPHERE 1st $54 BANK = $141 [SAFE = $34]
Bet #7 $37 - 10.02.10 BR5 #1 BRULEUR 3rd $54 BANK = $121 [SAFE = $71]
Bet #8 $41 - 20.02.10 BR6 #5 CHAKVETADZE 1st $61 BANK = $100 [SAFE = $112]
Bet #9 $51
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Racehorses
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2010-Feb-21, 02:06 PM
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   well done DD.........again! LOL it's looking gooooooood |
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Racehorses
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2010-Feb-24, 06:43 AM
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Good luck today DD 
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