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Racehorse TALK » Racing Talk » Comps & Clubs » Topic: Melbourne Cup MATCH RACE Challenge
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Author Topic: Melbourne Cup MATCH RACE Challenge  (Read 14226 times)
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dubbledee
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Original Post 2009-Nov-04, 02:56 PM

I ran a competition on the Melbourne Cup.  The winner was LITTLE HAWK.  The prize is a $100 share in a series of 10 place bets I'll be making on SEQld races.

The staking plan is in keeping with something I proposed on an earlier thread.  It has no basis in logic, but is designed to "amplify" our winnings, provided we can maintain a high strike rate over the 10-bet series (the base unit per share is $10).

1. For the first 5 bets (#1 to #5), any return from the bet is distributed evenly among the remaining bets, thus increasing the base stake beyond $10.  Say bet #2 gives a return of $24, we add $3 to the stake for each of the remaining 8 bets.

2. For bets #6 to #9, should they be successful we RETAIN THE STAKE, but distribute the PROFITS evenly among the remaining bet/s.

3. Obviously for bet #10 we keep the lot.

Hopefully we'll end up with a bank more than $100.  But there's a risk that we will lose a bit, or lose the LOT. stop

I'll post the bets on this thread, and endeavour to keep a running sheet here.

Bet #1 $10 - 07.11.09 BR6 #4 ANOTHER TAKEOVER 2nd $18.13 BANK = $108.13

Bet #2 $12 - 11.11.09 BR6 #2 OUR MOSCATO u/p BANK = $96.13

Bet #3 $12 - 14.11.09 BR6 #5 OUR LUKAS 1st $25.80 BANK = $109.93

Bet #4 $16 - 18.11.09 BR2 #1 BULLION BAY 3rd $23.20 BANK = $117.13

Bet #5 $20 - 21.11.09 BR2 #7 REFLECTION OF JADE 1st $38.00 BANK = $135.13

Bet #6 $28 - 25.11.09 BR1 #7 FLY WITH ME 3rd $50.20 BANK = $128.00 SAFE = $29.33

Bet #7 $34 - 28.11.09 BR8 #2 SECRETS UNTOLD 1st $66.30 BANK = $126.00 SAFE = $63.63

Bet #8 $44 - 05.12.09 BR6 #4 EMMA'S HEART U/P BANK = $82 SAFE = $63.63

Bet #9 $42 - 09.12.09 BR7 #3 ELUSIVE PORT 1st $75.60 BANK = $73 SAFE = $106.23

Bet #10 $73 - 16.12.09 BR5 #7 SPANISH FLING 1st $131.40  BANK = $0  SAFE = $237.63 thumbsup
« Last Edit: 2009-Dec-16, 06:50 PM by dubbledee » Logged
 
Wenona
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2010-Mar-14, 10:47 PM

The Bribie reference is a standard Brisbane joke.
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Racehorses
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2010-Mar-15, 08:14 AM

Mark they left about 2.20AM this morning  shocked

Chugs, DD (the lucky ducky)  bop has gone to the World Cup in Dubai and having a holiday while over there, so we have to do our own form  unsure for the next few weeks.

Wenona all this means both you and I are left on tender hooks for our results, you to see if you have to buy that steak (I hope ya do ) and I have to wait for my last bet.

The good thing is we will survive rolleyes.................lol I'm trying not to laff,at the thought of DD belly dancing (I know it's rude to laugh buuuuuuuuut!!!  ),
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dubbledee
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2010-Apr-02, 08:44 AM

Sorry I haven't finished this off, but waiting till we get a day when the track conditions are known in advance!!

Had I been on deck last week it would have been Teary Eyed.

You seem obsessed with me getting involved with BDs, RH  lol

I was wandering in the desert and came across this one:

[ ERROR: SPECIFIED ATTACHMENT MISSING ]

[ ERROR: SPECIFIED ATTACHMENT MISSING ]
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dubbledee
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2010-Apr-10, 08:03 AM

We better close this off or I'll be owing RH interest on her money.  smiley

Let's try BR 3 #3 MR NAPPY.  Hopefully the rails won't be his undoing and Mr Colless can bring him home.

Good luck to us. beer
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Wenona
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2010-Apr-10, 09:07 AM

Good luck today DD.  Thumb Up
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dubbledee
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2010-Apr-10, 09:52 AM

Thanks, wenona. Thumb Up

Not the bravest bet in the world, but I thought the 1.56 fixed looked pretty good.  (Having let two at 1.90 go on Monday, I'm in the cowards' corner right now. lol  )

We'll know around 2pm.
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Spudda028
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2010-Apr-10, 02:02 PM

Congrats DD and RH, nice work all round. RH if we can talk DD into going around again, I will put up a bank also.......
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dubbledee
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2010-Apr-10, 06:55 PM

Not a lot of problems with MR NAPPY.  Price turned out to be pretty good, too.

Cheers, Spudda. beer
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Wenona
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2010-Apr-10, 06:59 PM

Looks like I better block out the B Creek get together afternoon and visit the atm on the way in.

It will be a pleasure to keep you fed and watered for the afternoon.
« Last Edit: 2010-Apr-10, 07:03 PM by Wenona » Logged
dubbledee
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2010-Apr-10, 07:04 PM

Ahhhh, I'm a cheap drunk, mate.  And these days I eat just the one steak. lol

I just hope you've had a wager all-up the last 3. unsure

Amazing the fixed odds boys wanted to lay Mr N.  Was 2.2. the win in the ring on course when I looked, yet was 1.46 the hole on fixed odds at the jump. chin
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Wenona
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2010-Apr-10, 07:08 PM

I look forward to getting a few drinks into you then getting the belly dancing demonstration on the bar.
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Racehorses
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2010-Apr-10, 09:01 PM

smiley Cocktail Thaaaaaaaanks DD  22 straight........ 28 outa 30 that's not bad  Wine Glass

Spudda you would be more than welcome, as you know DD goes wandering quite a bit ........but  I reckon I can  talk him into it  perhaps after the WRC
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dubbledee
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2010-Apr-12, 08:41 AM

Thanks, RH.    Thumb Up

I've locked your ill-gotten gains in a safe, with a time-lock that lasts till Stradbroke Eve.  I think it's best ya don't get your hands on it till AFTER the Cocktail Party. smiley
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dubbledee
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2010-Apr-12, 08:46 AM

RH, you made mention of BDs early on.

I'm so grateful I don't partake of strong drink, like these fellows obviously do.

[ ERROR: SPECIFIED ATTACHMENT MISSING ]

[ ERROR: SPECIFIED ATTACHMENT MISSING ]
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dubbledee
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2010-Apr-12, 02:04 PM

Catching up on accounting after Saturday:

Bet #1 $10 - 26.01.10 BR4 #3 ANOTHER TAKEOVER 1st $14.00 BANK = $104.00

Bet #2 $12 - 26.01.10 BR5 #4 PURR OF GLORY 1ST $21 BANK = $113.00

Bet #3 $15 - 27.01.10 BR8 #1 RAPID MAGIC 3RD $25.00 BANK = $123.00

Bet #4 $19 - 28.01.10 BR8 #6 HEART TO FEAR 3rd $38.00 BANK = $142.00

Bet #5 $26 - 03.02.10 BR3 #2 IRON RED 3rd $39 BANK = $155

Bet #6 $34 - 06.02.10 BR5 #5 RED SPHERE 1st $54 BANK =  $141 [SAFE = $34]

Bet #7 $37 - 10.02.10 BR5 #1 BRULEUR 3rd $54 BANK = $121 [SAFE = $71]

Bet #8 $41 - 20.02.10 BR6 #5 CHAKVETADZE 1st $61 BANK = $100 [SAFE = $112]

Bet #9 $51 - 23.02.10 BR7 #2 RED RAIDERS 2nd $89 BANK = $87 [SAFE = $163]

Bet #10 $87  - 10.04.10 BR3 #3 MR NAPPY 2nd $135 BANK = $0 [SAFE = $298]

It's taken over 2 months, but the initial $100 has been turned into $298 after all 10 bets saluted.
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