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Racehorse TALK

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Author Topic: Melbourne Cup MATCH RACE Challenge  (Read 14226 times)
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dubbledee
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Original Post 2009-Nov-04, 02:56 PM

I ran a competition on the Melbourne Cup.  The winner was LITTLE HAWK.  The prize is a $100 share in a series of 10 place bets I'll be making on SEQld races.

The staking plan is in keeping with something I proposed on an earlier thread.  It has no basis in logic, but is designed to "amplify" our winnings, provided we can maintain a high strike rate over the 10-bet series (the base unit per share is $10).

1. For the first 5 bets (#1 to #5), any return from the bet is distributed evenly among the remaining bets, thus increasing the base stake beyond $10.  Say bet #2 gives a return of $24, we add $3 to the stake for each of the remaining 8 bets.

2. For bets #6 to #9, should they be successful we RETAIN THE STAKE, but distribute the PROFITS evenly among the remaining bet/s.

3. Obviously for bet #10 we keep the lot.

Hopefully we'll end up with a bank more than $100.  But there's a risk that we will lose a bit, or lose the LOT. stop

I'll post the bets on this thread, and endeavour to keep a running sheet here.

Bet #1 $10 - 07.11.09 BR6 #4 ANOTHER TAKEOVER 2nd $18.13 BANK = $108.13

Bet #2 $12 - 11.11.09 BR6 #2 OUR MOSCATO u/p BANK = $96.13

Bet #3 $12 - 14.11.09 BR6 #5 OUR LUKAS 1st $25.80 BANK = $109.93

Bet #4 $16 - 18.11.09 BR2 #1 BULLION BAY 3rd $23.20 BANK = $117.13

Bet #5 $20 - 21.11.09 BR2 #7 REFLECTION OF JADE 1st $38.00 BANK = $135.13

Bet #6 $28 - 25.11.09 BR1 #7 FLY WITH ME 3rd $50.20 BANK = $128.00 SAFE = $29.33

Bet #7 $34 - 28.11.09 BR8 #2 SECRETS UNTOLD 1st $66.30 BANK = $126.00 SAFE = $63.63

Bet #8 $44 - 05.12.09 BR6 #4 EMMA'S HEART U/P BANK = $82 SAFE = $63.63

Bet #9 $42 - 09.12.09 BR7 #3 ELUSIVE PORT 1st $75.60 BANK = $73 SAFE = $106.23

Bet #10 $73 - 16.12.09 BR5 #7 SPANISH FLING 1st $131.40  BANK = $0  SAFE = $237.63 thumbsup

« Last Edit: 2009-Dec-16, 06:50 PM by dubbledee » Logged
 
Wenona
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2010-Apr-12, 08:59 PM

I've moved the all up calc to the staking approach thread.
« Last Edit: 2010-Apr-12, 09:08 PM by Wenona » Logged
Racehorses
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2010-Apr-15, 08:48 AM

RH, you made mention of BDs early on.

I'm so grateful I don't partake of strong drink, like these fellows obviously do.


[ ERROR: SPECIFIED ATTACHMENT MISSING ]
Well done DD  and friend  lol  uuuuuuummmmmmmm maybe you could give us all a demo of your new skills at the cocktail party  Undecided............ it has been very kind of you to share some of your photos with us, great you had a fabulous holiday  bop

As for my bag of money lets have a big fat quaddie on Stradbroke day 

Then we can start again with spudda and any who wish to join us  Cocktail

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dubbledee
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2010-Apr-23, 08:56 PM

RH, I don't think I have a future as a belly-dancer.

Quaddie on Stradbroke Day sounds a fair option.  Just so long as it's an easy one. unsure
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chuggers
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2010-Apr-23, 09:38 PM

As an after thought---can I be included for your next challenge--please.

beer
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Racehorses
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2010-Apr-30, 10:17 PM

smiley Cocktail Wine Glass bye
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dubbledee
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2010-Jun-17, 05:19 PM

I'll be starting up something similar to this in the next couple of weeks.

Have already got some starters at $50 a share.  Can take a couple more.

PM me if ya interested.

Just remember:  there's every chance I'll lose the LOT.
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calgary
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2010-Jun-17, 05:56 PM

I'll be starting up something similar to this in the next couple of weeks.


Just remember:  there's every chance I'll lose the LOT.



Especially with me on board - I can stop a train at the best of times.
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dubbledee
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2010-Jul-09, 09:48 PM

In my challenge series of 30 place bets there were just two losers.

One was EMMA'S HEART - who squared the ledger at EF a couple of weeks back.

The other was MOSCATO - she'll be back in the good books after tomorrow. smiley
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