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Racehorse TALK

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Author Topic: Melbourne Cup MATCH RACE Challenge  (Read 14226 times)
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dubbledee
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Original Post 2009-Nov-04, 02:56 PM

I ran a competition on the Melbourne Cup.  The winner was LITTLE HAWK.  The prize is a $100 share in a series of 10 place bets I'll be making on SEQld races.

The staking plan is in keeping with something I proposed on an earlier thread.  It has no basis in logic, but is designed to "amplify" our winnings, provided we can maintain a high strike rate over the 10-bet series (the base unit per share is $10).

1. For the first 5 bets (#1 to #5), any return from the bet is distributed evenly among the remaining bets, thus increasing the base stake beyond $10.  Say bet #2 gives a return of $24, we add $3 to the stake for each of the remaining 8 bets.

2. For bets #6 to #9, should they be successful we RETAIN THE STAKE, but distribute the PROFITS evenly among the remaining bet/s.

3. Obviously for bet #10 we keep the lot.

Hopefully we'll end up with a bank more than $100.  But there's a risk that we will lose a bit, or lose the LOT. stop

I'll post the bets on this thread, and endeavour to keep a running sheet here.

Bet #1 $10 - 07.11.09 BR6 #4 ANOTHER TAKEOVER 2nd $18.13 BANK = $108.13

Bet #2 $12 - 11.11.09 BR6 #2 OUR MOSCATO u/p BANK = $96.13

Bet #3 $12 - 14.11.09 BR6 #5 OUR LUKAS 1st $25.80 BANK = $109.93

Bet #4 $16 - 18.11.09 BR2 #1 BULLION BAY 3rd $23.20 BANK = $117.13

Bet #5 $20 - 21.11.09 BR2 #7 REFLECTION OF JADE 1st $38.00 BANK = $135.13

Bet #6 $28 - 25.11.09 BR1 #7 FLY WITH ME 3rd $50.20 BANK = $128.00 SAFE = $29.33

Bet #7 $34 - 28.11.09 BR8 #2 SECRETS UNTOLD 1st $66.30 BANK = $126.00 SAFE = $63.63

Bet #8 $44 - 05.12.09 BR6 #4 EMMA'S HEART U/P BANK = $82 SAFE = $63.63

Bet #9 $42 - 09.12.09 BR7 #3 ELUSIVE PORT 1st $75.60 BANK = $73 SAFE = $106.23

Bet #10 $73 - 16.12.09 BR5 #7 SPANISH FLING 1st $131.40  BANK = $0  SAFE = $237.63 thumbsup

« Last Edit: 2009-Dec-16, 06:50 PM by dubbledee » Logged
 
chuggers
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2009-Nov-11, 08:34 PM

Yes--got get em

beer beer
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Racehorses
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2009-Nov-11, 08:47 PM

smiley you tell him too chuggers  he doesn't listen to me very often -- re betting smiley wink
« Last Edit: 2009-Nov-11, 08:51 PM by Racehorses » Logged
dubbledee
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2009-Nov-11, 09:17 PM

RH

Don't push me toooooooo far. You know I can find a 4th no problem. lol
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dubbledee
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2009-Nov-12, 06:48 PM

Guys

Have had a bet for us for Saturday.

BR7 #5 OUR LUKAS at $2.15 the drum fixed

Good luck to us.

beer
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chuggers
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2009-Nov-12, 07:22 PM

Guys

Have had a bet for us for Saturday.

BR7 #5 OUR LUKAS at $2.15 the drum fixed

Good luck to us.

beer



Onya---not zipping ??

beer
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dubbledee
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2009-Nov-12, 07:25 PM

READ THE  censored RULES.

beer
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chuggers
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2009-Nov-12, 07:29 PM

READ THE  censored RULES.

beer


Opps--back on track

beer
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Little Hawk
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2009-Nov-12, 08:47 PM

Thanks DD, hope it's on the money.

Nice to read and post about horses for once, been bugger all of that the last couple of days
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Little Hawk
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2009-Nov-14, 06:24 PM

Well done DD, never really looked in doubt 
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dubbledee
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2009-Nov-14, 07:21 PM

Yeah, LH.  Once he led, it was a matter of how far.

There were plenty of cheers at EF, I can tell ya.

A couple of regular pests from here seemed to worm their way into the post-race celebrations. beer Cocktail bop
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dubbledee
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2009-Nov-14, 09:54 PM

I remained stunned that chuggers would question my decision not to back Zipping. stop
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chuggers
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2009-Nov-14, 11:13 PM

DD, 

Well done--I cleaned up also on both OL and the Zip

I'm more mellow now---I'm very careful---when I question you    biggrin

beer
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Racehorses
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2009-Nov-16, 09:07 PM

weeeeeeeeeeeell done DD I have just got back from a few days at Orange pleased to see our wins ya the best!   Cocktail
Chuggers DD has acted strangely in the past when Zipping is racing. Only the good Lord knows how much he puts on him always seems to be at the right time. I've seen him win big money on The Zip  smiley
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dubbledee
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2009-Nov-17, 06:13 AM

  lol   stop
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vadim
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2009-Nov-17, 08:02 AM

A couple of regular pests from here seemed to worm their way into the post-race celebrations. beer Cocktail bop [/font][/size][/color]
[/quote]


I think we were invited in by two Director's, the winning trainer, the winning connections via text from Europe, Kentish Rose connections & trainer. The problem was I left a beer n the Owner's & Trainers bar 
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