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Racehorse TALK » Racing Talk » Comps & Clubs » Topic: Melbourne Cup MATCH RACE Challenge
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Author Topic: Melbourne Cup MATCH RACE Challenge  (Read 14226 times)
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dubbledee
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Original Post 2009-Nov-04, 02:56 PM

I ran a competition on the Melbourne Cup.  The winner was LITTLE HAWK.  The prize is a $100 share in a series of 10 place bets I'll be making on SEQld races.

The staking plan is in keeping with something I proposed on an earlier thread.  It has no basis in logic, but is designed to "amplify" our winnings, provided we can maintain a high strike rate over the 10-bet series (the base unit per share is $10).

1. For the first 5 bets (#1 to #5), any return from the bet is distributed evenly among the remaining bets, thus increasing the base stake beyond $10.  Say bet #2 gives a return of $24, we add $3 to the stake for each of the remaining 8 bets.

2. For bets #6 to #9, should they be successful we RETAIN THE STAKE, but distribute the PROFITS evenly among the remaining bet/s.

3. Obviously for bet #10 we keep the lot.

Hopefully we'll end up with a bank more than $100.  But there's a risk that we will lose a bit, or lose the LOT. stop

I'll post the bets on this thread, and endeavour to keep a running sheet here.

Bet #1 $10 - 07.11.09 BR6 #4 ANOTHER TAKEOVER 2nd $18.13 BANK = $108.13

Bet #2 $12 - 11.11.09 BR6 #2 OUR MOSCATO u/p BANK = $96.13

Bet #3 $12 - 14.11.09 BR6 #5 OUR LUKAS 1st $25.80 BANK = $109.93

Bet #4 $16 - 18.11.09 BR2 #1 BULLION BAY 3rd $23.20 BANK = $117.13

Bet #5 $20 - 21.11.09 BR2 #7 REFLECTION OF JADE 1st $38.00 BANK = $135.13

Bet #6 $28 - 25.11.09 BR1 #7 FLY WITH ME 3rd $50.20 BANK = $128.00 SAFE = $29.33

Bet #7 $34 - 28.11.09 BR8 #2 SECRETS UNTOLD 1st $66.30 BANK = $126.00 SAFE = $63.63

Bet #8 $44 - 05.12.09 BR6 #4 EMMA'S HEART U/P BANK = $82 SAFE = $63.63

Bet #9 $42 - 09.12.09 BR7 #3 ELUSIVE PORT 1st $75.60 BANK = $73 SAFE = $106.23

Bet #10 $73 - 16.12.09 BR5 #7 SPANISH FLING 1st $131.40  BANK = $0  SAFE = $237.63 thumbsup
« Last Edit: 2009-Dec-16, 06:50 PM by dubbledee » Logged
 
dubbledee
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2010-Feb-24, 10:22 AM

Looking at R7, RH. chin

I can see plenty of hopes there, but if the checks gets the breaks he should be able to fill a hole.

Good luck to us.  Cocktail beer
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dubbledee
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2010-Feb-24, 06:20 PM

No worries today.  nowink

There's 27 out of 29 for ya fellas, including the last 21 in a row.

I know the last one's gonna be the hard one. lol
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dubbledee
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2010-Feb-24, 06:28 PM

DD, if you can get the last three home here and go twenty two straight, I'll buy you any steak you want (and your beer) for lunch at the BCH.

Gee the pressure's really on now.  One more and I eat for free. fry
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Racehorses
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2010-Feb-24, 10:58 PM

No pressure DD  smiley 21 in a row!!  noteworthy     Cocktail  Wine Glass

Hope you have enjoyed this as much as I have and no doubt many others on here 

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dubbledee
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2010-Feb-25, 05:43 AM

Thumb Up  RH

Judging by the messages I'm getting many on here are going along for the ride.

Sad that it won't be long before we come to the station. lol
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dubbledee
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2010-Feb-25, 05:48 AM

Accounting after yesterday

Bet #1 $10 - 26.01.10 BR4 #3 ANOTHER TAKEOVER 1st $14.00 BANK = $104.00

Bet #2 $12 - 26.01.10 BR5 #4 PURR OF GLORY 1ST $21 BANK = $113.00

Bet #3 $15 - 27.01.10 BR8 #1 RAPID MAGIC 3RD $25.00 BANK = $123.00

Bet #4 $19 - 28.01.10 BR8 #6 HEART TO FEAR 3rd $38.00 BANK = $142.00

Bet #5 $26 - 03.02.10 BR3 #2 IRON RED 3rd $39 BANK = $155

Bet #6 $34 - 06.02.10 BR5 #5 RED SPHERE 1st $54 BANK =  $141 [SAFE = $34]

Bet #7 $37 - 10.02.10 BR5 #1 BRULEUR 3rd $54 BANK = $121 [SAFE = $71]

Bet #8 $41 - 20.02.10 BR6 #5 CHAKVETADZE 1st $61 BANK = $100 [SAFE = $112]

Bet #9 $51 - 23.02.10 BR7 #2 RED RAIDERS 2nd $89 BANK = $87 [SAFE = $163]

Bet #10 $87

Even if the last bet fails  you're winning at an annual interest rate of around 750%.  Hope ya satisfied with that.
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Racehorses
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2010-Feb-26, 09:38 PM

DD I thought we could have finished this today excited  smiley  goooooooood luck to us if you decide to bet tomorrow  Cocktail

Yes it is a bit sad that we are near the end unsure  maaaaaaaaaaaaybe I can talk ya into moooooooooore, after you get back from spending your bag of money at the World Cup in Dubai  rolleyes
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dubbledee
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2010-Feb-27, 07:19 AM

Yeah, RH, we coulda finished it yesterday but I figured you'd be at the slab working.  I've no doubt your cheering helps.

Will see what happens today.  Uncertain weather might be a factor. chin
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dubbledee
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2010-Feb-28, 11:19 AM

Kept the powder dry yesterday.

Had we known the track conditions early on, I'd probably have gone for Nuclear Medicine. 

There'll be other days.
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dubbledee
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2010-Mar-13, 11:05 AM

RH is pestering me to finish off this series. shy

Will take a look to the north tomorrow. unsure
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dubbledee
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2010-Mar-14, 09:51 AM

SC moved to Cushion so we'll let Maraetai win without us. Undecided
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goodwoman
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2010-Mar-14, 10:28 AM




Having a "horse free" day DD?    what
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Racehorses
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2010-Mar-14, 08:22 PM

Well! that turned out to be a good decision for us DD, the last thing we wanted was a 4th 

Hope you have a lovely relaxed time cruising up the Nile, Cocktail and a great time at those special Arabian nights parties  excited...........mmmm  probably not a good idea for you to actually try belly dancing,(unless ya been practising),  lol  perhaps you shouldn't try the indoor skiing either unsure 

Enjoy the WORLD CUP in Dubai, have a safe happy trip  smiley Wine Glass
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Mark
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2010-Mar-14, 09:04 PM

When's the flight DD?
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chuggers
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2010-Mar-14, 09:11 PM

I saw one message--Bribie Island---and saw Dubai--I've got no idea  ??

Racehorses ???

beer
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