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Racehorse TALK

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Author Topic: Betting  (Read 9235 times)
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Clibbo
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Original Post 2009-Dec-04, 11:31 AM

I haven't had a bet for some months. I have mostly been a ratings type bettor. In my opinion ratings have had their day. When and if I decide to start punting again I am going to have at most 2 bets per Saturday and possibly Wed nesday depending on quality. I am going to have $200 on each pick with possibly an all-up of $50-$100. Any opinions on this method.
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Steward
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2009-Dec-04, 11:44 AM

Not an opinion on the method, but if you have the discipline Aand it sounds like you do, i'd be inclined to stick to nothing but HONG KONG.

Twice a week, the form is fairly easy to follow. I just wish I had the disciplne.  rant
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Clibbo
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2009-Dec-04, 11:48 AM

Yes. Internet has made me more selective. Just put 'em on and thats it. When you are on course it is easy to get wrapped up in the atmosphere ( whats left of it )
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Max Manewer
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2009-Dec-04, 12:35 PM

Discipline is good, but unless your picks have an edge.............
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Bundy
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2009-Dec-04, 02:03 PM

Anyone seen an edge laying around?....I seem to have misplaced mine last couple days chin
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Max Manewer
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2009-Dec-04, 02:09 PM

I stole it mate, but I'll give it back next year, O.K. ?  tongue
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Clibbo
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2009-Dec-04, 02:10 PM

They reckon if you're not living on the edge you're taking up too much room.
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Max Manewer
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2009-Dec-04, 02:38 PM

I'd say if you aren't turning over $2000 on the days bets, would hardly be worth worrying about. Make 10%, you have to be good to do that over time, you make $200.  If you're gonna put a bit of work and preparation time in, you want to be getting more than $20 or $50 out of it a week.
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Clibbo
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2009-Dec-04, 02:40 PM

Yeh, your right. Thats why I said IF and when. 
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Max Manewer
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2009-Dec-04, 05:11 PM

Hey Clibbo.....I have been having a little look through my system archive here, and unearthed something that may interest you. It is based on non-metro races exclusively, produces very few selections, around one per day actually, and only operates over the summer months November to March. It has won every year since 2000, and seems to improve year by year. However, you will need that discipline you speak of, as the preferred odds range is no longer than 12/1 with the books, and the track must be no worse than Dead. Typically there will be quite a few selections per day, most will be roughies and eliminated. So monitoring is essential. But the POT over time has been so high, it's worth it to be patient. More details later.
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Max Manewer
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2009-Dec-04, 05:43 PM

System Rules: Mind your own business.  biggrin

System Results: (over 49 months) , 991 bets, 131 wins, POT +69.3 %. (best 3 totes & SP )

Heck, thats only 20 bets per month.  chin  This actually made a clear profit at SP, which ain't easy with horses averaging over 8/1. I'll PM them to you if you would like them clibbo, it'll just be you and me privy to them, the rest of these buggers can go without.  lol
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Clibbo
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2009-Dec-04, 05:47 PM

Cheers Max.
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Max Manewer
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2009-Dec-04, 05:48 PM

Date     Time  Track          RNo TAB    Name        
--------------------------------------------------------------------------
4/12/2009  12:35 Pakenham        3   3 Monteczumas Gold                        
4/12/2009  1:49: Mt. Gambier     1   1 Honourable One                            
4/12/2009  1:55: Mudgee          4   8 French Academy                          
4/12/2009  3:05: Mt. Gambier     3   5 Classic Dash                            
4/12/2009  3:10: Mudgee          6   7 The Black Ace                        
4/12/2009  3:50: Mudgee          7   2 Monte Leo                            
4/12/2009  3:50: Mudgee          7   9 Hot Bake Clarrie                        
4/12/2009  5:57: Coffs Harbour   7  11 Fromheretoeternity    

Spat these out today, the usual story is that most are too rough.                  
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Max Manewer
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2009-Dec-11, 01:58 PM

11/12/2009 2:32: Sunshine Cush   1   6 Brennan                                  
11/12/2009 3:05: Nowra           5   7 Willos Wish                            
11/12/2009 4:30: Sunshine Cush   4   8 Sirius Quest                            
11/12/2009 7:25: Sunshine Cush   9  12 Raining Kings    

Betting rules are simple, Track fast,good,dead only, no betting if the bookies final fluc is greater than $13                    
« Last Edit: 2009-Dec-11, 02:20 PM by Max Manewer » Logged
Max Manewer
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2009-Dec-11, 02:17 PM

1/11/2005 to 30/11/2009
 Race Month      Bets Win Plc   WOut   WRet   WPrf  W%   WPOT
-------------------------------------------------------------
January            96  17       1171   2456   1285  17  109.7
February           68   9        751   1244    493  13   65.6
March             113  15       1370   1877    507  13   37.0
November           98  14       1196   1929    733  14   61.3
December          104  17       1341   2341   1000  16   74.6
>>> Totals >>>    479  72       5829   9847   4018  15   68.9

This has been incredibly successful; there are limited bets and it goes best in the warm months, the calculation here is best of Victote and SP. I'll pop them up here for a while for an interest.
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