Clibbo
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Original Post 2009-Dec-04, 11:31 AM
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I haven't had a bet for some months. I have mostly been a ratings type bettor. In my opinion ratings have had their day. When and if I decide to start punting again I am going to have at most 2 bets per Saturday and possibly Wed nesday depending on quality. I am going to have $200 on each pick with possibly an all-up of $50-$100. Any opinions on this method.
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Steward
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 2009-Dec-04, 11:44 AM
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Not an opinion on the method, but if you have the discipline Aand it sounds like you do, i'd be inclined to stick to nothing but HONG KONG. Twice a week, the form is fairly easy to follow. I just wish I had the disciplne. 
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Clibbo
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 2009-Dec-04, 11:48 AM
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Yes. Internet has made me more selective. Just put 'em on and thats it. When you are on course it is easy to get wrapped up in the atmosphere ( whats left of it )
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Max Manewer
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 2009-Dec-04, 12:35 PM
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Discipline is good, but unless your picks have an edge............. 
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Bundy
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 2009-Dec-04, 02:03 PM
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Anyone seen an edge laying around?....I seem to have misplaced mine last couple days 
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Max Manewer
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 2009-Dec-04, 02:09 PM
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I stole it mate, but I'll give it back next year, O.K. ? 
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Clibbo
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 2009-Dec-04, 02:10 PM
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They reckon if you're not living on the edge you're taking up too much room.
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Max Manewer
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 2009-Dec-04, 02:38 PM
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I'd say if you aren't turning over $2000 on the days bets, would hardly be worth worrying about. Make 10%, you have to be good to do that over time, you make $200. If you're gonna put a bit of work and preparation time in, you want to be getting more than $20 or $50 out of it a week.
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Clibbo
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 2009-Dec-04, 02:40 PM
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Yeh, your right. Thats why I said IF and when.
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Max Manewer
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 2009-Dec-04, 05:11 PM
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Hey Clibbo.....I have been having a little look through my system archive here, and unearthed something that may interest you. It is based on non-metro races exclusively, produces very few selections, around one per day actually, and only operates over the summer months November to March. It has won every year since 2000, and seems to improve year by year. However, you will need that discipline you speak of, as the preferred odds range is no longer than 12/1 with the books, and the track must be no worse than Dead. Typically there will be quite a few selections per day, most will be roughies and eliminated. So monitoring is essential. But the POT over time has been so high, it's worth it to be patient. More details later.
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Max Manewer
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 2009-Dec-04, 05:43 PM
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System Rules: Mind your own business. System Results: (over 49 months) , 991 bets, 131 wins, POT +69.3 %. (best 3 totes & SP ) Heck, thats only 20 bets per month.  This actually made a clear profit at SP, which ain't easy with horses averaging over 8/1. I'll PM them to you if you would like them clibbo, it'll just be you and me privy to them, the rest of these buggers can go without.
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Clibbo
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 2009-Dec-04, 05:47 PM
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Cheers Max.
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Max Manewer
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 2009-Dec-04, 05:48 PM
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Date Time Track RNo TAB Name -------------------------------------------------------------------------- 4/12/2009 12:35 Pakenham 3 3 Monteczumas Gold 4/12/2009 1:49: Mt. Gambier 1 1 Honourable One 4/12/2009 1:55: Mudgee 4 8 French Academy 4/12/2009 3:05: Mt. Gambier 3 5 Classic Dash 4/12/2009 3:10: Mudgee 6 7 The Black Ace 4/12/2009 3:50: Mudgee 7 2 Monte Leo 4/12/2009 3:50: Mudgee 7 9 Hot Bake Clarrie 4/12/2009 5:57: Coffs Harbour 7 11 Fromheretoeternity
Spat these out today, the usual story is that most are too rough.
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Max Manewer
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 2009-Dec-11, 01:58 PM
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11/12/2009 2:32: Sunshine Cush 1 6 Brennan 11/12/2009 3:05: Nowra 5 7 Willos Wish 11/12/2009 4:30: Sunshine Cush 4 8 Sirius Quest 11/12/2009 7:25: Sunshine Cush 9 12 Raining Kings
Betting rules are simple, Track fast,good,dead only, no betting if the bookies final fluc is greater than $13
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« Last Edit: 2009-Dec-11, 02:20 PM by Max Manewer »
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Max Manewer
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 2009-Dec-11, 02:17 PM
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1/11/2005 to 30/11/2009 Race Month Bets Win Plc WOut WRet WPrf W% WPOT ------------------------------------------------------------- January 96 17 1171 2456 1285 17 109.7 February 68 9 751 1244 493 13 65.6 March 113 15 1370 1877 507 13 37.0 November 98 14 1196 1929 733 14 61.3 December 104 17 1341 2341 1000 16 74.6 >>> Totals >>> 479 72 5829 9847 4018 15 68.9
This has been incredibly successful; there are limited bets and it goes best in the warm months, the calculation here is best of Victote and SP. I'll pop them up here for a while for an interest.
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