JWesleyHarding
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Original Post 2010-Jan-18, 11:28 AM
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Top six in Fixed Odds, let's see how many start
SECESSION ROULETTES ELIMBARI SHES GOT GEARS STAR WITNESS SWEET CHEEKS
All but one start, one on third line, one on fourth line of betting, three now out of the window.
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« Last Edit: 2010-Feb-20, 07:28 AM by JWesleyHarding »
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GamblingMan
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 2010-Feb-09, 01:19 PM
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To correct my sectional analysis, B ran 102.45 /last 600 estimate of 33.6 P ran 102.97/33.98 herself for last 600 as she was leading. He came home 2 or 3 lengths better in a race which was faster by 3 lengths overall. Not knocking her, but all she did was face the breeze and she wasn't hassled. He had to chase in a harder race, admittedly margins but thats what the game is about. That'll do me.
slick times, track must have been very good
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Mark
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 2010-Feb-09, 07:47 PM
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Cant remember the last time I could say this about a BD, but I genuinely cant wait for this.
I reckon at this stage the only one of the top 5 or 6 favs I'd be prepared to work around would be Crystal Lily. Barriers will play a HUGE part in this race.
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chuggers
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 2010-Feb-09, 07:58 PM
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Cant remember the last time I could say this about a BD, but I genuinely cant wait for this.
I reckon at this stage the only one of the top 5 or 6 favs I'd be prepared to work around would be Crystal Lily. Barriers will play a HUGE part in this race.
Mark, I'm on the same opinion as Wortel on Secession. Just was ridden up side down----gets cover--woshhhhh. Your thoughts. 
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Mark
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 2010-Feb-09, 08:06 PM
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Yes Secession is better than that run I agree on that point, however I wouldnt have it in my top 3.. Was always unders at $7 before Saturday, I mean he beat Shaheq by 1.5l, this time in (Shaheq would be a better horse for it) Crystal Lily beat her by double what Secession did - I mean is that not fair enough? 
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Steve M
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 2010-Feb-16, 11:24 AM
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FINAL FIELD -
1 GENERAL TRUCE Ricky Maund Andrew Mallyon 14 55.5 82 2 STAR WITNESS Danny O'Brien Nicholas Hall 15 55.5 82 3 BENETEAU Paul Messara Daniel Ganderton (a) 9 55.5 86 4 SECESSION Peter Snowden Kerrin McEvoy 5 55.5 78 5 BIT OF A DUDE Stuart Gower Michael Hoppo 8 55.5 68 6 SPIRIT CENT John Leek (Jnr) Michelle Payne 13 55.5 64 7 TRICKY TRICKY Leon Corstens Michael Rodd 1 55.5 66 8 LEGALISTIC David Hayes Brad Rawiller 12 55.5 65 9 SHE'S GOT GEARS Robbie Laing Craig Williams 2 53.5 78 10 SWEET CHEEKS John McArdle Damien Oliver 4 53.5 76 11 CRYSTAL LILY Mathew Ellerton & Simon Zahra Chris Symons 11 53.5 80 12 ROULETTES Michael, Wayne & John Hawkes Steven King 3 53.5 74 13 PSYCHOLOGIST Tony Vasil Mark Zahra 16 53.5 86 14 SHAAHEQ David Hayes Danny Nikolic 6 53.5 70 15 EVIDENTIA David Hayes Brett Prebble 7 53.5 70 16 WILLOW CREEK Peter G Moody Luke Nolen 10 53.5 66
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Authorized
Steward
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 2010-Feb-16, 11:53 AM
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The two speedy fillies and General Truce have drawn wide and will be forced to go forward, I get the impression Tony Vasil wanted PSYCHOLOGIST ridden quietly but that might be hard from out there.
And the favorite Beneteau has been delt no favors from gate nine, he'll have to be every bit has good a s they think he is.
Star Witness was always likely to go back worse than midfield so gate 15 should not be a great obstacle.
Trick Tricky will improve with the one gate helping him out.
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Tevez17
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 2010-Feb-16, 12:12 PM
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Loverly draw for SHAAHEQ
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calgary
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 2010-Feb-16, 12:57 PM
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If it wasn't already the usual raffle the draw has made it even more so. 
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GamblingMan
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 2010-Feb-16, 01:16 PM
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The two speedy fillies and General Truce have drawn wide and will be forced to go forward, I get the impression Tony Vasil wanted PSYCHOLOGIST ridden quietly but that might be hard from out there.
And the favorite Beneteau has been delt no favors from gate nine, he'll have to be every bit has good a s they think he is.
Star Witness was always likely to go back worse than midfield so gate 15 should not be a great obstacle.
Trick Tricky will improve with the one gate helping him out.
You don't know much about Caulfield. There's a long straight run to the turn. Barriers dont matter at 1200m there.
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GamblingMan
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 2010-Feb-16, 01:34 PM
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barrier 15 is the highest winning barrier since 2000 all races with 15% barrier 16 is equal 3rd highest with 10%
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GamblingMan
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 2010-Feb-16, 01:48 PM
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lead up runs barrier race prior SIRE Reward For Effort 5 3L 2nd 2 E&E Reaan9 5L 1ST 3 HUSSONET Sleek Chassis 9 1.5L 1ST 3 FLYING SPUR Nadeem 12 3L 6TH 3 REDOUTE Undoubtedly 4 5.5L 5TH 2 REDOUTE Alinghi5 1L 1ST 2 ENCOSTA Kusi 7 2L 1ST 1 DESERT PRINCE
Final run prior was good win or well beaten, no narrow margins. Probably fitness levels vary so much with early 2yos.
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Authorized
Steward
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 2010-Feb-16, 01:50 PM
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Do you think speed horses like Crystal Lily and Psychologist will take their time getting to the front or will they burn petrol to get across ?
Will Beneteau's jockey be happy to sit 3 or 4 deep the trip ?
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GamblingMan
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 2010-Feb-16, 01:53 PM
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I dont worry about minor things like barriers when there's a 700m run to the turn
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Skybeau
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 2010-Feb-16, 04:09 PM
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barrier 15 is the highest winning barrier since 2000 all races with 15% barrier 16 is equal 3rd highest with 10%
Out of interest, how many races were there with 16 or more starts over that time GM ? Do the winning stats relate to 1200 metres only ?
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Steve M
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 2010-Feb-16, 04:16 PM
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Who's your pick GM?
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