We see a couple in most races, tailed off to billy-oh, jockey not even looking interested.
They are the ones we ask "why the
is this one even being fed, let alone entered in a race?"
Ducks eggs all over the shop from it's last 4 or 5 starts or more, beaten margins => 10 lengths....simply horrible.
So, would you LAY these no hopers, these chaff and oygen wasters?....
I have been taking close note on Betty of late as to what price I would have had to offer to get a match to LAY these shoe wasters....surprisingly, to me anyway, some could have been layed for as "little" as 100's....when they are generally 500/1000 to no
ing chance
.....others, 200/1 out to 500/1 would have to be on offer, but is 200/1 even to much to offer for such pachodermic crawlers?
Sure, I know, I know, really I do, I know what you are thinking....YOU ONLY NeED ONE TO WIN TO FEKK YOU FOR LIFE!!!!.....but,
Just how often would one of these snails get you?......1 in 200?.....1 in 500?....1 in a 1000?.....
So, lets just say, for the sake of discussion, I lay one at 200/1, and it does the unthinkable
.....I then need the next couple hundred to do the right thing to get me back to even....
.....sheesh...sounds like a long haul...
Would it be worth the effort?....the time?....the dollars?
Of course, we could always employ a few parameters, like laying to a maximum of 200/1, but BACKING it should
we then be able to obtain greater than 200/1 (insurance)...
eg we LAY at 200/1 for 10 bucks...we then BACK at 400/1 for 5 bucks...result GREEN...we like GREEN
Some of the issues I would address before declaring it legless would be:
1. Last 4-5 runs beaten margin must be >= 7 lengths
2. Finishing position no closer than 5th
3. Track conditions of those runs to be taken into consideration.
4. Must not have a "name" jockey on board.
5. Must not be from a "name" stable.
6. Must not be first up from a spell.
7. Race strength...here I would view the race to see how many of the other runners have "good" chances...that is, is it an open race with many "good" chances....thus giving our chaff burner even less chance of an upset....should the entire race look like a "whoever steps up first - wins" event then perhaps a price cap should be placed on our crippled snail?
8. TAB price...wary if under 60/1
9. Stewards reports important
Okay, todays example..Ipswich race 1...TAB numbers 7 and 8...Mr J Taylor being on number 8 would need to be looked at....but these 2 runners are the ones I am talking about, LEGLESS!!!
Okay, so what are your thoughts?.....is it a "no go" zone for you?....a "possible" go zone?....appreciate your thoughts.....I think
