Racehorse TALK

Be interesting to see how the noms hold up here, i think ALOHA has been screaming out for 2000, Speedy Nat and My Emotion both have a bit of class about them, and there's No Evidence Needed who's going super at the minute.

I backed Aloha at the Valley in the group 2 fillies race My Emotion won and i actually didn't think  ran out a strong 1600m that night. Admittedly i never saw her last start in Adelaide which may have been a stronjger run but on the Valley run at least i'll be prepared to risk her over the 200m in the Oaks. Though i'm sure that could very well come back and bite me on the ass 

The one i like and will be backing is Absolute Faith. She probably gets under most people's guard given she's not trained by one of the big trainers but watching her last run 2nd in  the G2 Autumn classic behind Extra Zero i think she'll give the Oaks a massive shake. She got shuffled back to last in that race and had no right to finish anywhere near as close but she went down by a short half head and with any luck in running would've won it no doubt. Dunn got off and said exactly that and i thought it was pretty obvious as well. I'm not talking through my pocket either,  i was on Extra Zero that day but watching the replay a few times i was very taken with Absolute faith's run and have been looking out for her since.

Given she chose to bypass the equivilant fillies race that My Emotion, Aloha etc ran in the night before and race against the colts at Caulfield (and arguably should've won) i'm more than confident she can win this and would be very surprised if she doesn't at least run in the first 3.

Absolute Faith came through the worst going at Caulfield.
Extra Zero and Cosmocrat next runs in Group 1's have franked the autumn classic form line.This isn't a hard race to win and $8.5 about Absoute Faith's chances looks way overs to me.

No staying stars here, lay away.

Possibly give No Evidence Needed the benefit of the doubt jumping straight up from 1400.

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