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Offline Hillbilly

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O.P. « 2007-Aug-08, 06:48 PM »
The big meeting from YORK approaches fast. The important meeting this weekend is from the USA with the Arlington Million/Beverly D card.

Spencer replaces Marwing on Asiatic for York feature

Racing Post

JOCKEYS' title leader Jamie Spencer is to replace Weichong Marwing aboard Asiatic Boy when he takes on Authorized, Notnowcato and George Washington in the Juddmonte International.

Marwing, who was not due to return to his native South Africa until after the York race on August 21, is understood to have gone home early for personal reasons and will also miss the ride aboard Asiatic Boy's stablemate Irridescence in the US on Saturday. Johnny Murtagh takes the ride on the mare.

Marwing was aboard Asiatic Boy when he finished fourth, beaten just two lengths, by Ramonti in the Sussex Stakes last week, the Argentinean-bred colt's first outing since he hacked up by nine and a half lengths from Jack Junior in the UAE Derby at Nad Al Sheba at the end of March.

Spencer is likely to have the opportunity to ride his big-race mount in work early next week.

Trainer Mike de Kock said on Saturday: “Asiatic Boy definitely goes for the Juddmonte and I think he has come on for his run in the Sussex. He was a bit ring rusty at Goodwood and Jamie Spencer will ride him at York.”

Irridescence will be ridden by Murtagh in Chicago on Saturday when she takes on the best American turf fillies in the Grade 1 Beverly D Stakes, highlight of the Arlington Million support card.

Murtagh was the architect of the South African mare's downfall in the Falmouth Stakes when he gave Simply Perfect a canny front running ride to beat the Marwing-ridden Irridescence at the July meeting.

De Kock is delighted to have secured Murtagh's services. “I have always been impressed with Johnny Murtagh,” he said. “He rode Asiatic Boy to win for me in Dubai this winter and I have always admired him as a jockey.

“Irridescence has travelled well,” de Kock added.

“She is a quirky filly and losta little weight but her her work has been good backing up to this race.”

Authorized continued his build up towards the Juddmonte International when working under Frankie Dettori on the Limekilns round gallop on Tuesday morning.

The exercise over around nine furlongs was completed in workmanlike rather than spectacular fashion as the Derby winner, the 7-4 favourite for the International with Coral, ranged up alongside Striving Storm (John Lowe) but connections were pleased enough with what they saw.

Trainer Peter Chapple-Hyam said: “I was very pleased and Frankie said he gave him a nice feel. The plan was to give him plenty to do and Authorized was going through the motions, plus Striving Storm is in very good form at present.

“We have still got two weeks to the race so we'll start building up now.”

Earlier on the same stretch his older adversary Notnowcato showed no sign of any recent problems with a corn when working with plenty of sparkle under regular work rider Gary Forster.

Notnowcato streamed clear of his companion and looks on target to try to bid for a successive victory in the Group 1 event after short heading stablemate Maraahel 12 months ago.

Notnowcato was possibly given one of the rides of the season when ploughing a lone furrow up the stands rails when beating Authorized a length and a half in the Eclipse Stakes at Sandown and connections of the latter will no doubt ensure that they will be eyeballing the Sir Michael Stoute-trained horse at York.

Juddmonte International
Coral: 7-4 Authorized, 5-2 Notnowcato, 3 George Washington, 8 Asiatic Boy, 14 Distant Way, 20 Passage Of Time, 40 Pressing, Salford Mill, 66 Hattan, Kandidate


Offline Hillbilly

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« 2007-Aug-12, 07:11 PM Reply #1 »
A top win to Jambalaya in Arlington overnight thanks to a brilliant ride. Off the pace with cover he only needed to see daylight in the run home to secure victory. The gaps came and away Jambalaya went. The steady leader pace was against Euro entry Danak who settled well off the pace and was motoring on the line when the contest was all over.

Two quality races in Europe this afternoon.

The Gr1 Jacques Le Marois over the mile at Deauville sees big improver Manduro face off against leading three year old Lawman. It should be a thrilling clash between the pair with Lawman looking to dictate from the front while Manduro tries to swoop late and steal the prize. A true test of the generations.

Meanwhile over in Ireland my mate Henrythenavigator looks to prove his quality in the Gr1 Phoenix Stakes ( aka O'Brien benefit ). The Coolmore camp dominate this contest as usual but they probably face a hurdle fromthe fairer sex this afternoon. Elletelle missed the break by a long way last time and still worried You'resothrilling at the finish. She's the only genuine danger to the favourite on the formbook.

Offline Hillbilly

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« 2007-Aug-13, 01:05 AM Reply #2 »
Over at Deauville Manduro was as impressive as he possibly could be landing another Gr1 success for Andre Fabre and Baron Von Ullmann. The pair have done very well over the last few years with horses like Shirocco leading the way.

Manduro's stablemate took care of Lawman up front early and it was only a matter of margin from there. Manduro absolutely murdered them on the line, once again displaying his significant improvement this season. He was able to quicken off the pace which was very strong for a French contest. The quietly ridden backmarkers made their move but were spaced on the line. Easily the best rated 1600-2000m horse on the planet.

The three year old never looked comfortable when stranded on the speed out in the middle of the course. Lawman probably didn't produce his best under the circumstances and may have been a little flat after a long season. He was due to bounce backing up quite soon after winning at ten furlongs then a mile at his previous two runs.

The soft ground at the Curragh has brought about a shock result with Saoirse Abu taking the prize from Henrythenavigator and Elletelle. Henry was scrubbed along off the pace out in the worst going and loomed up to win but faded near the line allowing the filly to reclaim the prize. Elletelle was slowly away again and she needs to mend her gate manners to be a top flight prospect. Her effort was very sound just the same.
 
It was another top grade success for Jim Bolger and Kevin Manning with the trainer again working the oracle when applying the blinkers for the first time. Saoirse Abu had been most impressive when winning first time out and again looked decent when second to You'resothrilling at her next outing. Two very disappointing efforts followed. I think we'll need to see a bit more from all competitors to know the true value of today's form.

Offline Hillbilly

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« 2007-Aug-18, 10:13 PM Reply #3 »
A few very interesting races in  Europe this afternoon with the main action coming from Newbury.
 
Usk Valley Stud Stakes  (Listed Race)
This is a contest I've been waiting for a while to see. The major horse of note here is a filly having her first start. The reports have all been very positive about Melodramatic and her canny trainer hasn't mucked about in a Maiden preferring to see exactly where he stands. Melodramatic by Sadler's Wells is a three quarter sister to a Gr1 winning sprint mare. She holds a host of big race entries towards the end of the season and this quality stable is firing on all cylinders at the moment.
 
Sharp Nephew was a tip on this thread when withdrawn from his proposed first engagement. Has since stepped out and destroyed a fairly average loking bunch in Maiden company. He will surely test the quality of Melodramatic. Better Hand looked reasonable last time when probably well wound up for the contest. That pair hold stronger hands than morning favourite Ramona Chase for mine.
 
Geoffrey Freer Stakes (Group 3)
A reasonable contest for improvers and pretenders but no serious horse in this traditional Arc trial. Classic Punch is of interest to those downunder who used to follow his bold front running half brother Persian Punch. Classic Punch is a similar late maturer who has steadily improved this season. He should ensure a steady gallop here along with Shahin. The pace should probably be good enough for gay deceiver Papal Bull but it's not a great betting race. Classic Punch may just be improving enough to progress further here.
 
Hungerford Stakes (Group 2)
A strong seven furlong contest here that's often used as a prep for the Foret on the Arc card. A number of interesting runners here including a few Gr1 winners. Tricky draw for Caradak first time out this season but having a likely front runner in the gate next to him may help things. Wake Up Maggie has looked back to her best at this trip but she needs to step up again. The one that holds her on the formbook is Silver Touch. This mare has always looked very decent at seven furlongs. Third in a high quality Gr1 contest in France recently and she looks hard to beat today.
 
Ex Italian runner Per Incanto would need to be better than what I've seen of him so far. He has a fair bit of speed but this is another grade of opponent to what he's previously faced. Dubai's Touch might be thereabouts at the weights but needs to improve to get past the genuine Gr1 types. Stronghold certainly has some quality form on the book but it's hard to see him taking the prize stepping up in grade after an extended break. Of the rest Red Evie has been caught out in races with muddling pace at her last few outings. She should get a more suitable tempo this afternoon and shouldn't be overlooked entirely.
 
Prix Guillaume (Group 2)
A nice looking contest over in France this afternoon on the Deaville card. We'll be taking a close look at El Comodin who looks a progressive type. Was fairly green when left with nothing to chase a fair way out last time. Battled along with the early leader for a while without ever being asked a real question. It was more education  than brute force and he looks to have plenty more to offer. German runner Axxoz along with UK trained Regime and Champery should ensure a decent gallop and provide plenty for the othyers to chase. The real form horse though to test El Comodin should be French Derby second placegetter Literato.

Could be a Group race double on the Deauville card too with the very promising PROVISO engaged in the Gr3 Prix du Calvados. This daughter of Dansili looks a quality Classics prospect for 2008. Laureldean Gale should keep her honest and expose the quality of this test. 
 
Best of luck to those having a nibble this afternoon.

Offline Hillbilly

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« 2007-Aug-19, 06:14 PM Reply #4 »
G'day Folks! All eyes on Deauville this afternoon for the highest quality 2yo contest in Europe this season. The best colts from England and Ireland face the best fillies from France and Spain. Ok I don't really give the Spanish filly Ensis much hope. She steps up about twenty grades today.

Prix Morny (Group 1)
The serious contenders this afternoon are Myboycharlie, Winker Watson and Natagora.

Myboycharlie has been most impressive in Ireland and the form looks to be standing up fairly well. He's a lovely mover but has only faced comprehensively rain soaked surfaces so far. That may play against him if the rain hasn't hit Deauville so we're left with a small question mark.

Winker Watson has cleaned up for us so far and has been able to overcome difficulties in the process. Doesn't want to go missing the kick against this pair though. I think that would be fatal. His gate manners are a good enough reason to look elsewhere this afternoon.

Natagora is a filly with gears. She has a turn of foot and good manners to boot. She jumps well from the gates and can clear out from the front. The form around Natagora has been boosted more than once with a few decent subsequent black type winners being left in her wake. The filly she beat last time was reported to be as good as any produced from Italy in a long time. A well beaten third that day was next start Gr2 winning colt Strike The Deal. Natagora looks the real deal and will provide the testing material for all.

A thrilling contest awaits. I just hope it isn't ruined by the weather. Best of luck if you're having a nibble.

Online westie

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« 2007-Aug-19, 06:31 PM Reply #5 »
Hilly
Do you ever get over the Channel to any of these exciting meetings.

Offline Hillbilly

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« 2007-Aug-19, 10:17 PM Reply #6 »
Rarely mate. Too much other action to cover. Have been for the odd Sunday meeting and an Arc when invited.

The rain hits Deauville and Winker Watson is out. Close call now between the two faves.

Offline Hillbilly

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« 2007-Aug-20, 01:12 AM Reply #7 »
The rain arrived and so did Myboycharlie who now races for Coolmore. Good effort from the filly in second. I'd like to see a rematch on relatively quick ground.

Online westie

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« 2007-Aug-25, 08:32 PM Reply #8 »
Hilly
You must be in your glory (or fillin your pants) seems you are our only tipster / commentator for any racing today.  Newmarket ?.

Online westie

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« 2007-Aug-25, 11:18 PM Reply #9 »
Hilly
Got a tip in the 1st

Offline Hillbilly

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« 2007-Aug-26, 06:34 PM Reply #10 »
Apologies mate. It's Notting Hill Carnival this weekend and I had an all day/night Buck's party yesterday.

First and second in the 2007 Kentucky Derby both took Gr1 races overnight. The speedy customer Hard Spun was finally dropped back in trip to seven furlongs and took out the Gr1 King's Bishop Stakes. This fellow has always looked very hard to beat at 6f/1m to me.
 
Street Sense made hard work of taking out the Travers Stakes on the same card at Saratoga. The Kentucky Derby winner had to battle all the way down the straight with improver Grasshopper to secure the prize. His winnings now stand at better than US$4mill as connections continue on their path to the Breeders Cup Classic.

Online westie

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« 2007-Aug-26, 08:11 PM Reply #11 »
No problems Hilly.  First time I played England and while I didn't win I had a good run for my money playing trifectas and took your quaddie.  You got the first and second leg, I hung around only for the quaddie races.  The quaddie on NSW Tab paid $11,000 odd.  Perhaps another time.

Offline Hillbilly

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« 2007-Aug-27, 06:34 PM Reply #12 »
Yeah mate the last two legs were a little tricky. I'm a bit suprised it didn't jackpot even though the first leg was a complete banker. My comments on the last two legs were

The Listed Sprint is a nightmare. Crocks and gunnas abound here. I wouldn't take a short price about any of these - EVER. ( Winner ended up 40/1 shot )

and the gem .......

I can't have Echelon

OOPS!!!

Better luck next time.  :D

Offline Hillbilly

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« 2007-Sep-01, 08:09 PM Reply #13 »
Two nice races of interest at Sandown this afternoon.

Atalanta Stakes (Listed Race)
A few nice types here and a decent contest is in store. The two market leaders really should hold the key to this unless something improves dramatically or form goes out the window. Heaven Sent has earned her spot at the head of affairs but Sweet Lily may test her on the wire. Heaven Sent has the form to suggest she might win this easily. She's backing up from a tough run at Deauville fairly soon though and may regress. May be developing a non winner tag but this is much easier than the recent contests faced by Heaven Sent. Sweet Lily also raced at Deauville and is much better suited on firmer ground this afternoon. Her best efforts place her in the frame for sure. Of the rest there probably is little between Basaata and Tarteel. One of that pair may claim the prize if the principles are off their game.
 
Solario Stakes (Group 3)
A couple here that have done nicely for the hotline already. Raven's Pass is clear of the pack for mine and should continue to progres. Looked a genuine Guineas contender last time and will be very hard to beat here. We got a nice resault through Maze at Ascot but that form looks a little dodgy to me. The Meehan stable have a strong line on Maze and I think they may also have him covered. City Leader was most impressive when winning first time out in spite of being fairly green. The going at Newmarket had a fair bit more juice in it than City Leader will experience today and he needs to step up to challenge. Runners from the Meehan stable invariably improve significantly for the effort after their first start. Word is that Maze worked brilliantly during the week but I'd take that info with a grain of salt at this stage.
« Last Edit: 2007-Sep-01, 08:22 PM by Hillbilly »

Offline Hillbilly

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« 2007-Sep-02, 08:56 PM Reply #14 »
A couple of nice winners from the summary yesterday especially Raven's Pass. He gapped them at Sandown and now looks a serious Guineas contender.

A couple of nice races in Ireland this afternoon. Not really betting opportunities but we get to see exactly how good a couple of contenders are.

In the 2yo Gr3 Stakes race the very impressive Great Barrier Reef steps out fairly soon after his debut in a Gr2 contest at York. Looked a nice type there and went exceptionally well in spite of a major betting drift. He goes off at a short quote in lower grade today and looks very hard to beat.

The Gr1 Moyglare for 2yo fillies contains enough quality to be a decent test for Listen. The very promising daughter of Sadler's Wells could arguably have a clean record so far and she was most unlucky last time. Her full sister Sequoyah took this race in 2000 and Listen looks a great chance to make it a family double. She definitely has more pace than her older sister for mine. The two main Bolger runners along with the Weld entry will prove decent opponents but Clive Brittain's Albabilia could be the big danger. She cam through a very decent Maiden before good wins at Ascot and Newmarket. A return to softer ground this afternoon than encountered last time will also be in her favour. I haven't seen a youngster from this camp so forward in a long time. A real contest between the leading pair but Listen promises to be top class.

Over in Germany we have the 135th running of the Grosser Preis. Alderflug has been all the rage since winning the Derby there by a big space. He defeated a Listed/Gr3 horse by a big enough margin that day to suggest he's a serious racehorse. My one concern is that his last two big wins were both on rain soaked ground and a firmer surface awaits today. Mountain High has improved every season of racing and he's peaked with a quality Gr1 win this year. Races on the speed so might be able to dictate from a fair way out. Axxos looks ok but he received a galloping lesson last time from Zambezi Sun. Might be a doubt at this trip especially against such experienced and hardy opposition. He didn't contest the Derby and I like his page a lot. Should improve again next year. Youmzain will definitely figure if the pace is decent throughout. A dawdle up front will ruin his prospects. The rest look well exposed and tested.

Offline Hillbilly

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« 2007-Sep-08, 09:51 PM Reply #15 »
A few decent Gr1 contests from Belmont tonight including the Man O War. Grand Couturier looks very hard to beat along with the Irish raider Yellowstone. The Garden City Stakes for 3yo fillies also holds some interest from a Breeders Cup perspective.

Offline Hillbilly

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« 2007-Sep-09, 10:28 PM Reply #16 »
A terrific race this afternoon in France at Longchamp. The Gr1 Prix du Moulin over a mile sees the clash of Ramonti, George Washington and Darjina. Throw in the likes of Linngari, Turtle Bowl, Astronomer Royal, Golden Titus and Holocene and you have a genuine Gr1 contest. I hope the weather stays ok and the ground remains good. Will the real George Washington turn up this time?

Offline Hillbilly

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« 2007-Sep-10, 06:30 PM Reply #17 »
The Prix du Moulin didn't let down at all with super filly Darjina taking the prize. The weather stayed fine and the track was on the firmer side for France.
 
No surprise to see Archipenko carve out the sectionals in front early. Once again Frankie's horse wanted to go a little faster facing the breeze. He's nothing but game to get on with it and tough to boot Ramonti. A little cover early and he might have been able to withstand the finishing burst of Darjina.
 
It was Soumillon that was always in the perfect position though. Third most of the way and using Ramonti as a lead pony Darjina was idling in neutral and poised to pounce. By the time they settled for the run home Ramonti had dispatched with Archipenko and was looking to get a break. Darjina was soon off his heels and chasing though with the pair settling for a battle. As the filly hit the front it looked like Ramonti wanted to fight on and he kept digging in but his early keeness just took its toll. George Washington finally stoked up his engine late in the game but he was never troubling the first pair in talking out the minor place money. Really does look after himself this enigma. It's amazing the O'Brien has managed to get him this far and this competitive in the first place.
 
The Breeders looks a nailed on certainty for Darjina now. In fact all three placegetters could be headed in that direction. The also rans yesterday were all comprehensively outclassed.

Offline Hillbilly

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« 2007-Sep-16, 09:22 PM Reply #18 »
A great win to my good friend LUCARNO yesterday in the St Leger. Patiently ridden by Jimmy Fortune he had too much speed when it counted. The leader Mahler was also well handled by Mick Kinane who rated the horse perfectly up front to take the second prize.

We have a number of major contests this afternoon with Arc Trials from France and the National Stakes from Ireland. Can't wait to see my Arc horse Zambezi Son again. Reports are that he's doing exceptionally well but there will be significant improvement on whatever he shows this afternoon. Manduro Vs Mandesha also shapes up as a quality tactical contest. It will be most interesting to see if Manduro can settle or get cover at his first attempt at a mile and a half.

In the National Stakes Myboycharlie faces fastish ground for the first time. Let's see how he handles a little fire in the track. Famous Name, New Approach and Rio De La Plata will make things very tough for Charlie. A great contest awaits there.

Best of luck to anyone having a nibble today.

Offline Hillbilly

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« 2007-Sep-28, 09:10 PM Reply #19 »
Today sees the opening of the Ascot Autumn Festival for 2007. Not much of a card this afternoon with a 2yo MM's type race being the highlight. Back tomorrow with a full rundown of the big QEII meeting.

Offline Hillbilly

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« 2007-Oct-06, 07:59 PM Reply #20 »
I'm taking it easy today folks as my lovely wife has her first weekend off in about three months. All my energy will be focussed on the huge Longchamp card tomorrow. Fill up your Betfair accounts and get ready to rumble!

Not really keen on the Cambridgeshire meeting from Newmarket. It's a spectacular race though and well worth a watch. In the Sun Chariot for fillies and mares my old friend Nanina might have the ground and leader speed she requires this afternoon. Always been convinced she's a fast pace, good ground miler and nothing else. As soon as she hits a field with no speed she's stuffed and doesn't stay a strong ten furlongs.

The Gr1 Prix de La Foret has attracted the best field I can remember this afternoon. Just about any of the thirteen engaged could take the prize. A very even bunch where luck in running will be the key to the outcome. A very competitive race indeed. I'll stick with Marchand D'Or  from Dutch Art and US Ranger. Willing to risk Tariq who is due to bounce for mine.

The one I'm really keen on today is Anna Pavlova in the Gr2 2400m for fillies and mares. Perfect ground and trip with nothing spectacular challenging for the prize. Frankie on board and he rides Longchamp as good as anyone.

Back tomorrow with full Longchamp preview.

Offline gratlog

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« 2007-Oct-06, 08:12 PM Reply #21 »
Look forward to a bet there Matt.

 Hope your wife enjoys a bit of time off and hope all is well.

Offline Bugs

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« 2007-Oct-07, 12:05 AM Reply #22 »
Hey Hillbilly where abouts do you live? Are you in the UK?  :o
I'm going back there in February yee haaaaaaaaaaaaaaaa well end of March after the DWC that is  :D

Offline ratsack

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« 2012-Dec-12, 07:02 PM Reply #23 »
i wonder if they are going race anywhere overseas today  :/
lots of abandoned meetings
lucky they like it wet  :chin:
  :lol:   :lol:   :lol:


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