Dubai International Racing Carnival 2008 - International Racing - Racehorse TALK harm-plan

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Dubai International Racing Carnival 2008 - International Racing - Racehorse TALK

Author Topic: Dubai International Racing Carnival 2008  (Read 2849 times)

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Offline Hillbilly

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O.P. « 2008-Jan-15, 10:09 PM »
It's time to fire up the global scene again with Dubai my first cab off the rank for the year. The action begins this Thursday folks as we head towards the main event on March 29th. Plenty to follow. Enjoy the year and good luck!

Offline MagiC~*

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« 2008-Jan-16, 08:57 AM Reply #1 »
Good to see you back Hilly, and looking foward to your commentary  8-)

Offline HorseWithNoName

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« 2008-Jan-16, 09:53 AM Reply #2 »
Yes, where have you been?

Just remember we do not pay you to globetrot off and leave us without any feedback for the international scene.  :p

Happy new year and successful punting for 2008.  8-)

Offline Authorized

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« 2008-Jan-16, 10:31 AM Reply #3 »

Offline HorseWithNoName

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« 2008-Jan-16, 10:48 AM Reply #4 »
Attractive admission prices for general public and very good Dress Code.  8-)

Offline Hillbilly

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« 2008-Jan-16, 10:18 PM Reply #5 »
Yes unlike the Spring Carnival in Melbourne ladies leave something to the imagination when dressing for Dubai. It's that or you'll be asked nicely to leave.  lol

Racing is a real family sport in Dubai with none of the gambling going on. Everyone has a picnic on the lawn after work watching some excellent horseflesh. They cheer for the locals like a Wimbledon champion ( I say Wimbledon because much of the applause is more like a tennis match ). There sure are worse ways to spend a night in the desert.

Offline Hillbilly

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« 2008-Jan-17, 07:38 PM Reply #6 »
Torrential rain in Dubai yesterday sees all turf races cancelled for this afternoon at Nad Al Sheba. The remaining events on dirt will go ahead and chances are that the turf races will be switched to the looser surface.

Needless to say my preview is out the window. Back with more next week. Weather permitting!  :huh:

Offline Hillbilly

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« 2008-Jan-24, 08:20 PM Reply #7 »
Welcome to the Dubai Carnival for 2008. We were off to a false start last week due to the weather but it's full steam ahead today. Let's see if we can find a winner or two to make up for lost time. On with the show!

Meydan Hotel Handicap (Turf)
A nice little handicap to kick things off. Algharb has been put up favourite by most firms but he has to improve a fair bit for mine to take on the competition today. He has local form on his side but the bulk of his previous European runs indicate he has ground to make up. The best of his Dubai form probably places T-Bird as his equal but the market doesn't reflect that. The trip looks a tad far for Indian Trail and I'm prepared to risk him today. German raider Santiago Atitlan has some decent form and will arrive fitter than most. He had a tune up eight weeks ago and should be much improved for the outing. De Kock runner Drift Ice needs to produce a career best to place IMO.

At her peak Ripple's Maid is right in this. Well drawn but weighted to her best for mine. Mares are always a risk in Dubai but the wet weather of late may help her cause. The one I really like here though is Grand Vista. Touted as a potential Gr1 horse after his first couple of starts things started to go astray when he was trained as a miler. Had some decent form at that trip but I much prefer this son of Danehill back at six and a half furlongs. Has been working very well for Herman Brown of late and if he's not too free on the bridle early will be very hard to beat.

Meydan Business Park Handicap (Turf)
A terrific chance for Dandy Nicholls to get off the mark here with Something. There is plenty of speed engaged and this fellow will be stalking that pace. The trip suits him more than many opponents who will be gasping for air over the last 100 yards. The biggest danger could be a hectic pace. A breakneck leader tempo would really suit one runner engaged here - Mariol. I strongly fancy one of the pair to take the race and it's hard to find likely ways for the others to get competitive.

Meydan Marina Stakes (Conditions Race) (Dirt)
A tough looking race dominated by Mike De Kock and a host of Sth American entries. Throw in a couple of likely Euros and you have a dart board contest. It really looks a race to sit back and watch with a view to the Guineas/Derby layter in the season. The value today looks to be around the likes of Ukranian and Yahrab but there are at least ten genuine chances here.

Meydan City Handicap (Turf)
New Guinea was lightly raced last season and arrives here relatively fit and well. He should be very hard to beat this evening. Habitual non triers like Hard Top should be taken on trust. Ex Sth American Gr1 winner Dono Da Raia looks interesting. His form could improve dramatically after a year of acclimitisation in the Emirates. No doubt New Guinea is the stable selection though.

The two biggest dangers to the favourite are clearly the well waited pair down the bottom. Lake Poet was progressive last year winning a couple of nice handicaps. He could be a little exposed now though. The real question mark is the patiently handled Longville for Mario Hofer. The stable knows the time of day and arrive here with the perfect type for the carnival. A really progressive type who should continue to improve. Faced some serious improvers at the end of last season and should be very hard to beat today. The postage stamp on his back could make all the difference when they reach the line.

Meydan Racecourse Handicap (Turf)
Absolute three horse race here and if anything else scores it will be a massive surprise. Divine Jury arrives here with a very strong vibe from the stable. Set for the Duty Free on World Cup night he'd want to be right up to the task today. Rated higher by the stable than the likes of Oracle West and Grand Emporium, both classy De Kock runners in Dubai. If the word is right he'll be very hard to beat getting six pounds from Lingarri.

The other pair to be considered are Lingarri and With Interest. The former has all the runs on the board and rightly concedes weight to the field today. Always hard to beat in a contest like this and will easily expose any chinks in Divine Jury. With Interest on the other hasnd remains a complete mystery. No doubt he has enormous potential but that's offset by an extensive list of injury setbacks. Both wins have been achieved over proven high quality opponents. Certainly gets the help from the handicapper that's required but his brittle body presents as a decent risk.

Al Shindagha Sprint (Sponsored by Meydan) (Group 3) (Dirt)
Another narrow contest with only two real hopes on paper. Asiatic Boy returns to dirt racing after some fair efforts on turf in the UK last year. He picks himself on the class front. Getting a six furlong tune up today and the short trip could be the greatest danger to the De Kock stable star. If he is to be turned over it looks like Diabolical could be up to the task - especially at this trip. Much better suited once switched to sprinting at the end of his three year old year. progressive at four and should be a strong campaigner for Godolphin during 2008. No doubt the pair have it between them with a significant class drop to the remainder.

Meydan Races to the Future Handicap (Turf)
Along with the Marina Stakes the most open event on the card.  A host of chances and luck in running/fitness will be the keys to victory. I do like progressive handicapper Coeur De Lionne but he probably doesn't want it too soft or unforgivng out there. A tough ten furlongs on firm ground/all weather was as far as he wanted last year. Switched camps for today's race and the new stable has an excellent record in Dubai. Al Shemali has a real show and looks to be better suited to a variety of surfaces. Tough little race to end the day.

Good luck folks! 8-)

Offline Hillbilly

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« 2008-Jan-25, 08:51 PM Reply #8 »
An excellent evening of racing in Dubai with a few highlight performances.

The Stewards - Yes they were the most controversial figures on course all night. Not only did they overturn a result almost everyone thought would be turfed out, they gave the race to a non trier owned by Sheik Mohammed's wife. Very naughty home town decision that really does nothing for the image of the Sheik or Dubai racing.  SIN BIN  >:(

Asiatic Boy - Undoubtedly the star turn on the card. He overcame difficulties and a lot of dirt in the face to crush his rivals. Diabolical the only big improver in that race considering he almost fell at the start.

Honour Devil - Raced away with the most interesting contest of the night. Brained a field of highly touted and very costly Sth Americans. Much more to come from this fellow.

Longville - Received the worst ride of the night and wasn't beaten far at all considering. Jockey took off 1000 from home and rode much too fast into the last bend. Amateur hour stuff! Racing for Herman Brown in future and could progress nicely. He makes another German horse BELMUNDO look very interesting for the season ahead.

Linngari - The carnival stalwart that you can set your watch by. Will continue to be hard to beat in Dubai throughout 2008.

Al Shemali - Showed he's progressing nicely like many older horses from the Stoute yard do. In fact three ex Stoute charges won on the card. Extended nicely from outside the leader off a solid gallop. Godolphin should have some fun with this fellow all year.

Something - Another horrible steering job with multiple checks in running before taking off way too soon after a three wide trip throughout. Trainer advised he may need the run pre race and Something looks a winner just waiting to happen.

Back with more next week folks!

Offline Hillbilly

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« 2008-Jan-31, 10:08 PM Reply #9 »
Welcome to the Dubai preview for the final January meeting. A couple of interesting types kick off their Carnival campaign. Let's see if we can find a winner or two.

Dubal Ingot Handicap (Dirt)
A tough little handicap to open proceedings but one down the bottom really attracts interest. The type of contest progressive sorts exploit over the Carnival. South American runner Select Reason certainly looks thrown in for a type with plenty of improvement. Drawn well enough and from a stable well versed in Dubai racing. Mick Kinane in the saddle is just a bonus. Canadian Danehill was a prolific all weather improver in the UK who went on with the job on turf. Dettori virtually loaded the horse on the plane to Dubai himself so he thinks it's the right animal for the job. I find it hard to spruik for UK form in an open sprint like this though. Select Reason looks a very good prospect.

Dubal Trophy (Handicap) (Turf)
A decent handicap where a couple from the UK are expected to dominate proceedings. Ea and Dijeerr line up for the Godolphin camp this afternoon. Both were decent 3yo's last season but the vibe is that Ea will be more progressive. He also hails from the Stoute yard ( often big improvers with age ) whose ex runners took three races on the card last week. Metropolitan Man looks weighted right up to and beyond his best while River Tiber might be near a competitive mark. Ea stands out though.

Dubal Potline Handicap (Dirt)
Probably the most difficult contest on the card to assess. Wide open contest with many chances engaged. I can find an excuse for almost everything engaged. That said I don't like Kayak from an outside gate. It's always folly to discard a De Kock horse as I discovered again last week but this fellow needs more improvement from a difficult berth. Vainglory could be worth watching given his improvers profile, good draw and light handicap. Ex Italian Igor Protti looks hard to line up but he has form that creates interest including one run I've seen behind Ramonti that was most promising for an event like this. No certainty to stay the trip though and handicapped right up. It's the kind of race old campaigner Parasol could grab if anywhere near his best. His peak may be a figment of the imagination these days though.

Dubal Casthouse Handicap (Turf)
Two standouts engaged here, one at the top of the weights and the other down the bottom. L'Amico Steve has some impressive turf form in Sth America including a Gr1 victory in Brazil. This one is from the same stable as Select Reason in the opening contest and they have assembled a very strong team for Dubai this year. That would have taken some effort given the Arab buying bonanza across Sth America. The only negative is that Kinane has chosen another to ride. That's no surprise though given his retainer to owner Aga Khan. Mourilyan was allowed an easy time last year and certainly looks to have plenty in store for 2008. The trip should be of little concern given that he's bred to go two miles or more. The son of Desert Prince has some excellent pieces of form on the board and should be very hard to beat with a twelve pound concession from L'Amico Steve. A lot to like about Mourilyan here but some very strong support for the Sth American this morning.

Dubal Billet Handicap (Dirt)
Seems like a good race for Blackcat Blackitten to open his Dubai account. Looks to have stablemate Gongidas covered. Plenty of well exposed opponents engaged here. Blackcat Blackitten is handicapped to win and it's probably up to old stagers like Vortex and Azarole to throw out the serious challenge. Not a race I can get really keen on.

Al Rashidiya Stakes (Group 3) (Turf)
Some good sorts engaged here but the real question seems to be "How good is Jay Peg?" He's a Derby and Guineas winner in Sth Africa who hasn't always enjoyed the most luck in running. His best form would be a few lengths clear of these but there's the six pound penalty to consider. If he's as good as Herman Brown thinks that wont be a problem. The main concern for the stable should be which star is better - Linngari or Jay Peg?

Dubai Aluminium Handicap (Turf)
A difficult looking contest to finish things off especially if you don't fancy the favourite. The Illies was a progressive handicapper with light weights towards the end of the last UK season. Creeping up the scale now though and I'm not sure he's a genuine 7/4 pop as the morning line suggests. Only gets 2lbs from Sth African Gr2 placegetter Money Bags but that animal would need to improve on previous Dubai performances. Two that create a little interest at the weights are Fremen and Dark Islander. On their peak UK performances they're right in this and both represent value in the current market.

Good luck to anyone having a nibble on today's card.

Offline Hillbilly

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« 2008-Mar-29, 07:22 PM Reply #10 »
Welcome to the Dubai World Cup meeting for 2008. The main event looks a formality for superstar Curlin who's in another league compared to his opposition. Jalil may have improved a light year but he has a black hole to overcome this time. Congratulations must go to Sheik Mohammed and his team for producing the best day of racing ever seen in Dubai. The carnival just keeps getting better. Hopefully the new turf track for 2010 will be a little more predictable ( and even ) than Nad Al Sheba. A star studded line up of horseflesh awaits scrutiny so let's get on with the show.


Godolphin Mile (Group 2) (Dirt)

The weakest field of the night but not surprising given the Gr2 status of the race. The Godolphin pair Elusive Warning and Blackat Blackitten have raced here throughout the Carnival and definitely hold the key. Both have similar draws to last time and should race in a similar pattern. There's not much between them at all so I wont sway you either way. Ultimately their quality has not really been tested by the opposition available over the last few months. With no Japanese entry and only outside hopes from Europe the American contingent must come into calculations.

Barcola drawn the outside looks a very likely leader and could possible get an easy time of things up front. he has to cross Elusive Warning though so reaching the rail with ease could be a big problem. He has some class concerns as well. The best of the Yanks looks to be Diamond Stripes and his peak form is some grades better than anything this field has been tested against. Drawn well enough in eight and if he can get cover without being too far off the speed then Diamond Stripes should be very hard to hold off for Edgar Prado.


UAE Derby (Group 2) (Dirt)

As usual the fillies and NH bred 3yos look to be struggling here. The Southerners definitely hold the key to this contest. The Mike De Kock team hold most of the aces and they make no secret of the fact that this is their race for the meeting. There has been little between Royal Vintage and Honour Devil so far and I expect that case to remain the same. If either is going to bounce today then it could be Royal Vintage. He got first bite fo the cherry last time and that made all the difference. I think Honour Devil may be better suited by the pace today and will be too strong in the finish.

The Godolphin pair My Indy and Numaany have been improving with each run but they have to do a lot more to bridge the gap today. Their other runner Cocoa Beach is up in grade and taking on the males this time. A place chance at best for mine though. Mind you a team effort with this trio could bring the De Kock camp undone. UK three year old Strike The Deal could cause a major upset if staying the trip. Very interesting that Jeremy Noseda has chosen this path with one that definitely has a dirt profile. Not all cut and dried for the De Kock pair but Honour Devil will be the hardest to beat.


Dubai Golden Shaheen (Group 1) (Dirt)

A quality field engaged here with our American friends holding the trump cards as usual. The formbook says they wont have things all their own way though. Mind you the major challenger from the Godolphin camp has USA stamped on his visa and excellent formlines with his ex compatriots. Benny The Bull, Idiot Proof and Diabolical are the key elements. They all look to have next best, Barbecue Eddie, well covered. Esperamos is leaping too many grades. Mutamarres and Narc have solid form on the board but this sort of opposition on dirt present as major obstacles. So which one of the named trio?

I'm going to pass on the favourite Benny The Bull because he's a horse whose racing pattern could encounter numerous traffic problems down the Nad Al Sheba straight. Idiot Proof has been off the boil a little since resuming but he should be a lot closer to a peak today. Looks to have the best of the draw as well. Ultimately though I give the edge to Diabolical. I wouldn't usually spruik for a "local" in this race but he has the right US formlines and UAE runs on the board. Very impressive last time and if the draw is ok he'll be very tough to pass.


Dubai Duty Free (Group 1) (Turf)

The best field ever assembled for this race with quality oozing from almost every stall. There should be sufficient speed engaged to give almost every horse a chance. Luck in running will be a major element today. Finding the winner is best done through elimination. I can't see anything that has run already at this year's Carnival winning the race. That's five down. Ditto for the Japanese, Australian, American and HK runners. That's eleven down in total. So there's five left to consider - Majestic Roi ( NO ), Finsceal Beo ( ??? ), Creachadoir ( Maybe ), Literato ( YES ) and Darjina ( YES ). In the end I'm going for the Godolphin runner again here. Literato to nail them late with a withering burst. From gate eleven I just have concerns about where Mr Soumillon will end up on Darjina in running. The selection may have similar problems but has proven he overcomes them.

Dubai Sheema Classic (Group 1) (Turf)

Another quality field but the question here is regarding the pace engaged up front. There may be a very dodgy early gallop which could have a major effect on the result. I've been pushing the boat out for Mourilyan and Sun Classique for a while and both arrive here in good shape. They face significantly stronger opponents this time round though.

South American champ Latency was horrible on dirt last time and it's difficult to see enough improvement on turf to take this prize. Quijano will settle handy but he finds it hard to finish off when left in front too soon. Gravitas will try to dictate from the front but lacks the class to hold on. Youmzain will probably get much too far out of his ground again and there isn't sufficient leader speed engaged to ensure his safe passage. Mourilyan looks to be in similar trouble. Doctor Dino and Gower Song face an enormous task from the draw. West Wind looks a chance if she's trained on and most of the rest lack the speed or class to prevail.

The pair that come to the fore in my calculations are Sun Classique and Viva Pataca. It's very hard to go past my old UK buddy Comic Strip ( Viva ). He's undefeated in Gr1 contests over this trip. Most unlucky to miss an invite last year for this race and has subsequently beaten Vengeance Of Rain ( 2007 Sheema winner ) whenever they've met. Gate twelve is a worry as is the lack of leader pace engaged. He could easily be caught out on a limb early without cover. Beadman will ned to be right on his game.

From the draw I'm going to settle for Sun Classique. She has looked nothing but outstanding during the Carnival and although only facing fillies and mares has overcome some enormous difficulties to remain undefeated in Dubai. It's a tough ask for the mare but she has fitness on her side and Nad Al Sheba form and that could be enough to make the difference.


Dubai World Cup (Sponsored By Emirates Airline) (Group 1) (Dirt)

Do I need to say anything here? Ok I'll finish with one word.


Enough said.


Ok folks enjoy the meeting and best of luck to anyone having a nibble.

Offline westie

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« 2008-Mar-29, 07:35 PM Reply #11 »
Great preview HB  8-)

Offline Hillbilly

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« 2008-Mar-30, 12:34 AM Reply #12 »
2/2 so far with a perfect start to the night. Big overs the first winner on the tote Downunder.  :beer: