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Glorious Goodwood - International Racing - Racehorse TALK

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Offline Hillbilly

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O.P. « 2007-Jul-30, 05:51 PM »
The Glorious Goodwood Festival begins tomorrow. Five days of top class racing at one of the most beautiful racecourses on the planet. Get set for some winners folks! Back tomorrow for day one.

Offline westie

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« 2007-Jul-30, 07:43 PM Reply #1 »
See Hugh Bowman gets the chance to land a second Group Two winner with Mutawaajid.

Offline Hillbilly

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« 2007-Jul-31, 08:07 PM Reply #2 »
Welcome to Day One from Glorious Goodwood. An action packed week ahead so let's see if we can get off the mark with a few collects this afternoon.
 
Bank of Scotland Investment Service Stakes

A difficult race to kick off the meeting. I have them marked at around 8/1 the field so a few are going to be unders here. We really need to look for some value in this race. I've been waiting for the right target for Dansili Dancer for a while and this looks to be it. The draw might not be great but he's from a cunning stable that's patient with handicappers. The Cox team can really land a nudge. Dansili Dancer should be cherry ripe this afternoon. Bandama was too bad to be true last time but that run came after some pretty heavy showers. At his best he represents decent value as well. Championship Point looks weighted to his maximum. Nayyir is down in grade significantly but time seems to have caught up with him. He cannot be compltetly dismissed at this track though. Emirates Skyline didn't get the greatest run last time but his price is short enough already. Formax is from a stable that performs well here but this free going sort from the French Provinces may be tested at the trip which looks to be just beyond his range.

 

Gordon Stakes (Group 3)

A race that really does look made to measure for Aqaleem. His trainer always turns out a solid team for this meeting. This colt was very good in his Derby prep and this should be a simple stepping stone to a St Leger bid. Raincoat should improve back on a solid surface but he's no guarantee to stay as well as some. Lion Sands should reverse with Heron Bay from Ascot. Some interest in More Wells and Yellowstone but Aqaleem is the clear top rater here ( 6/4 ).

 

Lennox Stakes ( Group 2 )

A decent race this year with the revived Tariq taking on the likes of Asset, Mutawaajid, Royal Oath and Misu Bond. Asset should be in peak shape for the step up to seven furlongs today. He's the clear top rater with many others nipping at his heels. A couple of decent milers engaged that should be caught for speed. They're Dark Island, Dunelight and Royal Oath. Tariq looked good last two times out and is now living up to the early promise he displayed. Arabian Gleam didn't have a lot of luck behind him at Ascot and may get a lot closer today. Finicius looks interesting for Eoin Griffin. The trainer's no mug and doesn't usually travel this far for the day out. The colt meets much better ground this afternoon than he has at his last two outings. I am most reluctant to say he's a genuine 66/1 chance. Finicius could be the real dark horse but has to step up a bit though. Misu Bond would be up to this at his best but has been below par on soft ground this campaign. The better surface may help here. Mutawaajid must improve significantly to get past Asset today.

 

Molecomb Stakes (Group 3)

Starlit Sands will be very hard to beat here on what she showed at Ascot. That form has been franked since and this track suits a speedster like her perfectly. Kingsgate Native also preformed very well at Ascot and should be greatly improved for the experience. There's also every chance he'll bounce though after a tough assignment at his first race start. Fleeting Spirit was impressive on debut and comes from a yard who usually figure in good 2yo races. She creates extra interest for some of us being by Invincible Spirit. Starlit Sands the obvious one to beat.

 

Best of luck to all gaving a nibble today.

Offline MagiC~*

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« 2007-Jul-31, 09:21 PM Reply #3 »
See Hugh Bowman gets the chance to land a second Group Two winner with Mutawaajid.

When he racing Westie , Saturday night ?

Offline westie

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« 2007-Jul-31, 10:06 PM Reply #4 »
I thought the race was tonight MagiC.

Offline Hillbilly

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« 2007-Jul-31, 10:38 PM Reply #5 »
Certainly is today. See the Lennox Stakes summary.

Offline Hillbilly

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« 2007-Jul-31, 11:25 PM Reply #6 »
Another fine weight carrying performance from Championship Point. He certainly looked to have something in hand as well. Another tilt at Group company looks to be in order now. The horse has certainly recovered from his Derby run last year. Some of his contemporaries are still MIA.

Offline MagiC~*

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« 2007-Aug-01, 09:07 AM Reply #7 »
Certainly is today. See the Lennox Stakes summary.

Has it been run yet ...... and if so how did he go ?

Offline Hillbilly

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« 2007-Aug-01, 10:31 PM Reply #8 »
Search party is still looking for him mate.

Offline Hillbilly

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« 2007-Aug-01, 10:33 PM Reply #9 »
Welcome to day two of the 2007 Glorious Goodwood Festival. We were thereabouts yesterday and hope to nail a few this afternoon.

Goodwood Stakes
A typical wide open stayers handicap. Plenty of chances here with a number of jumps/dual purpose stables having runners. The horse that gets his chance with the handicapper is Whispering Death. His come from behind style looked to be suited the way the track raced yesterday. The other main chance looks to be one from the powerful jumps yard of Philip Hobbs. Esprit De Corps is relatively unexposed on the flat and looks well weighted this afternoon.

Vintage Stakes (Group 2)
Rio De La Plata is one of the few 2yo's to be seen out this season from the Godolphin camp. He was very convincing at Newmarket over the same distance last time and the form has been solidly franked since then. He definitely looks the one to beat. Lizard Island could easily be over rated here. The form around his victory when getting a very easy lead last time now looks dubious. Bred to be a seven furlong horse but he's worth a risk today. I've taken him on. Ellmau was a little firey in front last time but his form is very solid. Hatta Fort or Declaration Of War ( the two that beat him home ) would probably be close to equal favourites here were they engaged.  Il Warrd might be able to take advantage if Ellmau and Rio De La Plata slaughter each other in front.

Sussex Stakes (Group 1)

It looks like Coolmore have stamped their intentions all over this race. Excellent Art has looked a genuine top class miler this year and he has a couple of stable stooges to set things up. The team looks certain to upset the leader pace and get them out of a good rhythm. The big question here seems to be "how good will Asiatic Boy be on turf?" - I'd say he's fairly decent but has a bit to prove. Will be strongly tested up front by Ramonti and the two stooges ( Trinity College and Archipenko ). I can't have Jeremy who had his chance last time. Ramonti will need to be as tough as steel to perform at both ends this afternoon. The greatest probability is that he will be softened up nicely before the late challenge from Excellent Art.

BGC Stakes
Mariotto and Samira Gold face off in the battle of the sexes but both are heavily handicapped.  They deserve every pound though and should be very hard to beat. Samira Gold may just have the class edge of the pair. She seems to be searching for this trip now too. Best weighted runner looks to be Malt Or Mash. He has to step up a couple of grades though. Of those that raced at the Royal meeting I prefer Secret Tune over Man Of Vision and Philatelist. He has a few more gears and a tad more endurance than that pair.

Offline Hillbilly

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« 2007-Aug-01, 11:27 PM Reply #10 »
First and second there both from very good jumps yards. That was no surprise. Steve Drowne sure earned his cash on the winner. His wife gave birth to twins yesterday so the extra money will certainly come in handy.

Offline Hillbilly

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« 2007-Aug-02, 08:48 PM Reply #11 »
Welcome to day three of the Glorious Goodwood Festival. The recent problems with the weather over here are certainly wreaking some havoc with the formbook. Many horses missed work or were forced to step out on bad ground. Let's press on and try to find a winner or two.

Lillie Langtry Fillies' Stakes (Group 3)
A wide open race for the staying fillies and mares. Trick Or Treat should get a fairly easy and uncontested lead here enhancing her chances in the contest. The four year old has been hard pressed up front in stronger races of late. She had the measure of a decent colt at this trip last season and already has a win over Wannabe Posh at level weights this year ( when dictating from the front ). Alambic put in a bit of a shocker last time out but that can be expected from time to time with Prescott runners. Especially when they carry ten stone. If she camps up close to the lead Trick Or Treat will find her tough to shake. Alambic also showed a real liking for sharp galloping right handed courses last year. Goodwood fits that bill exactly. Hi Calypso has looked tested when hitting this grade of company in the past. She may have improved slightly for the longer trips this season but has to step up significantly here. Wannabe Posh looks best suited if the pace comes on early and strong. That's far from a guarantee this afternoon.

King George Stakes (Group 3)
There will be no rest for the wicked or weak here with the fastest horse out of the machine in Britain engaged. Desert Lord will lead them a merry dance for a long way. Enticing and Wi Dud are the likely suspects to close late and fight it out but I like another 3yo provided he is fresh enough this afternoon. Prime Defender hasn't started at this trip since he was two. He blitzed in that day and has looked more and more like a pure sprinter this season. Ridden too aggressively in the July Cup he should get nice cover for a finishing blitz today. Old fellow The Tatling has been close to his best this year and he appreciates a solid pace. Always performs well here at this trip and is on efor the multiples.

Goodwood Cup (Group 2)
It's a long time between victories for the enigmatic Geordieland. He's bound to be on the LAY list for bookmakers right across the country this afternoon. There are just so many chances if he slips up even a little bit. His form is good enough to say he's a worthy favourite though. Not the type I'd like to be relying on for my next feed by any means. Interesting to see Distinction back in action after injury. I'm sure Sir Michael wouldn't have bothered to press on if the horse wasn't up to the task. At his best ( won when fresh last year ) he'll be very hard to beat. His stablemate Allegretto looks interesting back at this trip. She carries a penalty for a Gr2 victory against similar company this season. Ground may have gone against her being too firm at Ascot when she raced much too keenly.

Alphameric Vase (Heritage Handicap)
Very few present a bad case for victory here. A wide open contest where no hopers are much easier to identify than the winner ( a shorter list of possibles ). Aegean Prince, Players Please ( has had support this morning ) and Prince Of Elegance are the only ones I'm prepared to pan completely. Urban Spirit certainly looks interesting at the weights. He's from the sort of stable that loves to set them up for this type of race. I'll be keeping Buccellati safe too now that he's at a feather weight with the leading apprentice on board. Many, many chances in this race.

Best of luck to those having a nibble this afternoon.

Offline Hillbilly

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« 2007-Aug-03, 09:41 PM Reply #12 »
Welcome to day four from Glorious Goodwood 2007. Thankfully the Goodwood Cup restored our faith in the meeting yesterday so let's soldier on.

Glorious Stakes (Listed Race)
Nothing too glorious about this bunch. This could be renamed the Disappointment Stakes. Some of the best heartbreakers in Europe engaged here including Acropolis ( just broken ), Dragon Dancer ( heart broken ), Hard Top ( bewildered ) and Perfectperformance ( leg broken ). Toss in Munsef ( punters are broken ) who has been beaten at 4/1 or lower more times than many punters would care to recall ( 11/4, 7/2 & Evens this season alone ). I always respect John Dunlop runners at Goodwood but not this cat.

You can see I think very little of the contest not to mention the combatants. I'm going to stick with the one the broke his leg. At least he's genuine. Perfectperformance on top with little confidence. Interesting that Sir Micheal has opted to back Hard Top up so soon here. Maybe Newmarket was a pipe opener? Significant money about for the horse this morning. The stable has already had one or two milk drinkers redeem themselves this week. Probably given an easy time on firmer ground last week but nothing in his form suggests a quick back up is a good idea. Horrible betting race.

Oak Tree Stakes (Group 3)
Costume has been given an easy time since Ascot where she dodged the Coronation only to lump the grandstand in a lesser contest. Performed admirably there giving away a stone or so to the winner and is infinitely better suited under the weight scale this afternoon. Will give this a big shake. A strong twin attack from the Dunlop stable here. Tarteel certainly looks interesting. She has dodged the tough contests early in the season and has progressed nicely through handicaps. Scarlet Runner has been in the deep end and might be a tad weary. She looks closely matched with Majestic Roi anyway and that pair look vulnerable to an improver. Selinka also a hope for yesterday's star jockey Ryan Moore. She seems to have recovered well from her Guineas folly.

Nice filly from Italy by Invincible Spirit in Samya but she looks to be held. It's very hard to get enthusiastic about the older mares engaged.

totesport Mile
When Roger Charlton gets one that's ahead of the handicapper it usually has a major advantage. Third Set looks miles in front at this point and as long as the ground stays firm he'll go off as short as one ever should in a big field open handicap like this. The owner has already had a big win this week with Championship Point and the double looks a certainty bar some bad luck. Such is his weight advantage I find it hard to get enthusiastic about anything else. ( 4,7,10,12 for the trifecta placings ).

Richmond Stakes (Group 2)
Two major chances taken out here leaves it wide open. Was very keen on Sharp Nephew here before his withdrawal. Definitely one to watch out for that fellow. Strike The Deal probably has the best form on the book of those ramaining for mine. In his last two starts he has come up against Winker Watson ( raced too keenly ) followed by two of the better sprinting 2yo's on mainland Europe in the Gr2 Prix Robert Papin. Still improving and will be thereabouts. A couple of nice Invincible Spirit youngsters engaged the best of which is probably Exhibition. Hard to say where he lines up though but his first run behind Rio De La Plata was good. Drawnfromthepast did the job for us at Ascot but he has to step up again here. Has a pacemaker engaged but that is no guarantee of success as the trainer discovered yesterday.

The one that is really unexposed is probably One Great Cat from the O'Brien stable. He has a pedigree that screams "get me to stud with a Gr1 win". Has been given a relatively easy time on rain soaked ground so far. Not pushed to chase down the best 2yo in Ireland at his first start and cuddled along second time out. Much better surface today and we should see what this fellow is really capable of. This meeting rarely goes by without a decent 2yo coming to the fore. This fellow could be the one.

Best of luck to those having a punt on today's card.

Offline Hillbilly

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« 2007-Aug-04, 07:40 PM Reply #13 »
Welcome to the final day of the Glorious Goodwood Festival for 2007. Thanks to THIRD SET the week has turned out ok. Just one full preview this afternoon. Sticking with the quality over the quantity. A superb race for Fillies & Mares.

NASSAU STAKES (GROUP 1)
 
A top quality renewal with the likes of Mandesha, Nannina, Light Shift and Peeping Fawn engaged. A perfect clash of the three and four year old age groups. Throw in 2006 Guineas winner Speciosa as a pacemaker and you get the picture.
 
Don't Dili Dali - Comprehensively outclassed and giving the owners a day out.
 
Mandesha - Should just be starting to peak now at the business end of the season. She's been taken along slowly with the Arc in mind. Should get the leader pace she needs today thanks to Speciosa and be very hard to beat.
 
Nannina - Her trainer seems to be convinced that she can stay ( and wants ) ten furlongs but I will take substantial convincing that she's more than a miler. Gets the firmish ground and leader pace she requires here but the ten furlongs remains a probem for mine.
 
Speciosa - 2006 Guineas winner who likes to stroll along in front. Should get no leader pressure at all early and have a little left for the finish. She'll need it though especially on firmish ground this afternoon. Remote place chances.
 
Light Shift - Definitely better suited back at this trip than a mile and a half. The firmer ground and undulating course today will also suit her more than Peeping Fawn. Never looked comfortable on the soft ground at the Curragh and was probably out stayed to boot. Gets her chance again this afternoon.
 
Peeping Fawn - Leggy imposing type with a big action. She's obviously better suited on a track with some juice in it. Also looks as though she may be tested on the tricky Goodwood circuit. Has to be a risk this afternoon in spite of her great form. Everything has gone right for her of late and today things are shaping better for her opponents. Every run this campaign has been on softish ground.
 
Sweet Lily - Nice enough filly who looks stretched at this distance not to mention outclassed in this grade. Battling for some minor black type.
 
Yaqeen - Highly rated fast ground filly who remains as a question mark here. Probably not up to the best around and a bit of a worry that the majority of her big race entries for the rest of the season are at a mile. Has a bit to find here on the formbook in her battle for some black type. 
 
It really looks like a battle between Mandesha and Light Shift this afternoon. If Mandesha is at her peak then I think the rest are racing for second. I'm taking Peeping Fawn on at around 5/2 this morning along with Nannina at the 5/1-11/2 mark. Throw in lays for Speciosa and Yaqeen around the 16/1 mark and you have a solid book in the making. Best of luck to anyone having a nibble this afternoon.


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