July Festival from Newmarket - International Racing - Racehorse TALK harm-plan harm-plan

Racehorse TALK



July Festival from Newmarket - International Racing - Racehorse TALK

Author Topic: July Festival from Newmarket  (Read 4128 times)

0 Members and 1 Guest are viewing this topic.

Offline Hillbilly

  • Listed
  • User 10
  • Posts: 433
O.P. « 2007-Jul-11, 08:38 PM »
Welcome to day one of the July Festival from Newmarket. It's Ladies Day with the features being the Gr2 Cherry Hinton for 2yo Fillies, Gr1 Falmouth for Fillies & Mares and the Gr2 Lancashire Oaks for F&M. The ground has improved to good of late ( Newmarket often has a drying wind sweeping the course ) but the weather is looking dodgy. Back soon with further info on the main races.
« Last Edit: 2007-Jul-12, 02:02 AM by Hillbilly »

Offline westie

  • Group 1
  • User 8
  • Posts: 15023
« 2007-Jul-11, 09:32 PM Reply #1 »
Looking forward to the commentary HB.

Offline Hillbilly

  • Listed
  • User 10
  • Posts: 433
« 2007-Jul-11, 10:36 PM Reply #2 »
Cherry Hinton

Elletelle has the marginal edge on form but with the penalty there's an edge for You'resothrilling. The draw shouldn't be much of a concern for the major players here but Francesca D'Gorgio could be either favoured or in a lot of trouble from gate one. I favour the latter. Green Oasis could be the other one to watch and connections who do a good job with their youngsters hold this one in high regard. Interesting that Mick Channon tosses one in the deep end here too - Nahoodh. She looks to be a chance once the trips get slightly longer on breeding although her Danehill sire has managed a few early speedsters ( 26 runs 3 wins 5 placings ).

Falmouth
Good pacemaker engaged here in Speciosa and she should make it a true contest. She loves the course and distance and could catch a few napping especially if rain falls. Her problem could be Irridesence getting in the way early and stirring up a heated battle. They should keep each other honest for a long way regardless. Nannina a slight risk today. Newmarket definitely not her favourite venue. Any rain and she's up the swannee without a paddle too. She's the top rater of the older brigade though but I'm looking to the 3yo's. Simply Perfect would really appreciate a solid and genuine pace. Back to a mile where she belongs after an ill founded attempt at staying. She may be able to turn the tables on Arch Swing from the Guineas now that she's being trained for the trip. There should be little difference in the prices of the two fillies who both hold the key for mine.

Lancashire Oaks

The older females look to have the edge here with Italian filly Scatina the best of the younger brigade. Turbo Lin a very interesting runner and hard to line her up properly. She started her days running in NH Flat races run over here otherwise known as Bumpers. They are for future jumpers as a rule. Murdered everything in that class and promptly killed off the opposition when switched to the Flat graded races. Her trainer knows the time of day and has enjoyed considerable success with similar types. Mont Etoile is a deserving favourite and thanks to the penalty carried by her main rival she enjoys a handicapping edge on Rising Cross. Made a solid return to the track recently and steps up to a more suitable trip this afternoon. Any softening of the ground would be against her though ( and good for RC ). Portal is well unders for mine and is a soundness risk.

Enjoy the action folks.

Offline Hillbilly

  • Listed
  • User 10
  • Posts: 433
« 2007-Jul-11, 10:39 PM Reply #3 »
Ground is reported as PERFECT after the first with the rain holding off.

Offline Hillbilly

  • Listed
  • User 10
  • Posts: 433
« 2007-Jul-11, 10:45 PM Reply #4 »
They did kick up a bit of crap in the first and low draws looked to be at a distinct advantage.

Offline Hillbilly

  • Listed
  • User 10
  • Posts: 433
« 2007-Jul-12, 12:33 AM Reply #5 »
Simply Perfect!  
 
The Falmouth Stakes was over after they went a furlong this afternoon. Johnny Murtagh slipped the others a surprise and took keen going type Simply Perfect straight to the front. The move took Marwing by surprise on Irridescence and the rest took an observer role from that point onward. With Speciosa a late withdrawal the move was a stroke of genius from Murtagh.
 
Simply Perfect dropped the bridle in front and was travelling like a dream. Marwing was soon high in the saddle in the trailling position behind the leader and he probably rued the decision to take it easy at the jump. Nannina was going nicely enough but facing the breeze off a steady gallop. Things certainly looked forlorn for the rest and then they reached the three pole.
 
At that point Murtagh started rowing the boat and away went the daughter of Danehill leaving everything in her wake. The challengers did emerge but could never get to her girth and were always being held. Afterall this is a filly who has shown plenty of speed from day one and an ability to stay up to ten furlongs. It was no surprise to see Irridescence take second given the race pattern. An on pace sit sprinter who raced with perfect cover. Arch Swing was held up for a short way but was never going to get to the winner. A simple and perfect performance from horse and rider.

Offline Hillbilly

  • Listed
  • User 10
  • Posts: 433
« 2007-Jul-12, 02:01 AM Reply #6 »
Bingo Bango Bongo! We've racked up a treble with You'resothrilling, Simply Perfect and Turbo Lin getting the cash. Back for more of the same tomorrow.

Offline MagiC~*

  • Admin
  • Group 1
  • User 2
  • *****
  • Posts: 14300
« 2007-Jul-12, 10:06 AM Reply #7 »
Bingo Bango Bongo! We've racked up a treble with You'resothrilling, Simply Perfect and Turbo Lin getting the cash. Back for more of the same tomorrow.

You are  :king:  of the hill

  :noteworthy:

edit: Sorry just testing my Smiley's  ;)
« Last Edit: 2007-Jul-12, 10:16 AM by MagiC~* »

Offline Hillbilly

  • Listed
  • User 10
  • Posts: 433
« 2007-Jul-12, 06:27 PM Reply #8 »
Welcome to day two of the Newmarket July Festival. The evidence from day one doesn't auger too well for the Aussies engaged tomorrow in the July Cup. Low draws look to be at a distinct disadvantage. I have had two standouts for the race for some time. They are Sakhee's Secret and Dutch Art. Taken some small wagers at 150, 120 and 80 about Dutch Art while he was pursuing his miler folly in the hope he'd turn up for the JC.

Sakhee's Secret was harder to nail down as the word's been out about him since he opened the season. That day he carried top weight in what was regarded as a highly competitive handicap. It was far from competitive at the finish with Sakhee's Secret in another galaxy to the rest. He has continued to progress since then and last time beat a field full of sprinting benchmarks - Ex gr1/Gr2 types and another highly touted 3yo. That bunch were made to look like maidens.

Back with more on today's card later and of course look out for the JC on Friday.

Offline Hillbilly

  • Listed
  • User 10
  • Posts: 433
« 2007-Jul-12, 09:18 PM Reply #9 »
Things are looking difficult this afternoon with the draw bias coming into play in the July Stakes and a less than great field for the Princess Of Wales's.

July Stakes
Winker Watson our clear top rater here but he has the death draw from yesterday in one. The other with decent form from Ascot in Swiss franc hasn't faired much better. Spitfire looks interesting from a better draw than them and may be decent overs. Not a great betting or trading race given yesterday's bias.

Princess Of Wales's
Quite a few pretenders with the clear favourite being a major offender. Sixties Icon travelled like a bomb last time ready to blow the opposition away. He went from idling to idle in a stride though and popped like a pricked balloon. Looked like he swallowed tongue or bled to me. Back here soon enough to say he's ok but has to be a risk. Lucarno looks the best of the three year olds but is yet to convince that he stays the trip. Papal Bull would be a chance at his best but he's another looking like a milk drinker. Ivy Creek has always been patiently handled by a good team and he could be the one to step up if the others find it tough. Another bad betting/trading race.

Back tomorrow for the final day action.

Offline Hillbilly

  • Listed
  • User 10
  • Posts: 433
« 2007-Jul-12, 11:12 PM Reply #10 »
Winker Watson has just shown what a top class thoroughbred he is by conceding weight to all, missing the kick from the worst draw and coming from last to nail them on the line. He had to make ground from a very ordinary early position and finished too strongly under another superb Jimmy Fortune ride. Defied a lot to overcome the 2/1 to 11/4 betting drift. Matched for PLENTY at 12.00 in running. Part owned by Betfair founder too this one. A very exciting prospect.

Offline Hillbilly

  • Listed
  • User 10
  • Posts: 433
« 2007-Jul-13, 12:31 AM Reply #11 »
Part time milk drinker Papal Bull has done best under a patient ride from Ryan Moore to take the prize in the Princess Of Wales's. Sixties Icon was travelling well again before tossing out the anchor four from home. He was heavily backed and an easy lay from a long way out. Looks gone in the wind like I said last time. Lucarno was a little too keen for his own good at this trip again and was easy to take on at 5/1 in running. They must drop back in trip now. No money all day for Ivy Creek and he ran accordingly.

Offline Hillbilly

  • Listed
  • User 10
  • Posts: 433
« 2007-Jul-13, 08:20 PM Reply #12 »
Welcome to day three of the July Festival from Newmarket. It's overcast again in England but the rain has held off all week. Things seemed to level out a bit down the straight yesterday but I still wouldn't be rushing to back anything from a low draw this afternoon. The ground looks to be against Bentley Biscuit again and Mutawaajid seems to have worst of the draw. A tough day coming up for the Aussies.

Superlative Stakes
The three that performed well at Ascot look to have a distinct class edge here. Declaration Of War looked like a horse needing further last two times out and he gets that today. Hatta Fort was slightly outpaced over five last time and the form around him is holding up well. Seven furlongs should be no problem for him either. Feared In Flight was unlucky enough at Ascot over this trip to say he's the clear top rater here. He probably came through the easiest contest at that meeting though. trip and going definitely not a problem. Let Us Prey looks the most interesting of those that have progressed from Maidens here. The form looks decent and he should come along nicely for the experience and longer trip this afternoon. He carries a lot of fancy entries and could be the most significant improver in the field.

July Cup
It will be no surprise at all to see the local 3yo's dominate this race. You don't get a more impressive sprinter coming through the ranks over here than Sakhee's Secret. He looks better every time I see him. Destroyed his own age first up conceding weight all round and has only gone ahead from there. Last time out he beat a classy 3yo benchmark and a very solid field of Group standard older sprinters. He murdered them all in fact. Looks to have the best of the draw and will be VERY hard to beat.

It's nice to see the best 2yo sprinting filly and colt turn up here at three. Too often these types are over cooked trying to stay a mile before July. Sander Camillo looks to be the forgotten runner today and she's overs for mine back to this distance. Dutch Art is a serious contender given his dominance of the 2yo sprint ranks last season. Obviously didn't stay a good mile and he fits the profile of previous July Cup winners like Mozart. Prime Defender looked a serious prospect for this race until blown away by Sakhee's Secret recently. He may still be able to run a placing. My old mate Hellvelyn looks to be another that's drawn the wrong side though. A vintage bunch of 3yo sprinters.

So what about the older brigade? The ground has gone against Soldier's Tale and six furlongs is a tad too far for Dandy Man while Asset looks to be another at risk from he draw. Amadeus Wolf looks to be a lot better drawn than last time. He should run a good race today at a track he likes. Red Clubs should be up there for a fair way again but he struggles to find the post first. The German and French horses are both outclassed.

Best of luck to anyone having a bet on today's card.

Offline westie

  • Group 1
  • User 8
  • Posts: 15023
« 2007-Jul-13, 08:31 PM Reply #13 »
Hillybilly
I want to put on the record our gratitude and express our thanks on what has been a marvelous job you have done with the commentary at Ascot and Newmarket over the past weeks.  I'm sure everyone will agree with me.  Atleast on this forum you get to see how many times the thread is viewed as opposed to MSN.

Offline Hillbilly

  • Listed
  • User 10
  • Posts: 433
« 2007-Jul-13, 09:20 PM Reply #14 »
No probs mate. Always enjoy the cerebral exercise. Even if it doesn't improve my karma  lol

Offline Hillbilly

  • Listed
  • User 10
  • Posts: 433
« 2007-Jul-14, 12:21 AM Reply #15 »
It doesn't get any better than that. A perfect end to the week. Thank you linesmen, thank you ball boys!  :beer:


BACK TO ALL TOPICS
Sitemap