Saturday 27 November
Sand R2 1500m c6 $70k
realistically 2 main chaces, Overtake vs Kallogg, Overtake looks slightly better favoured due to a potential soft on pace trip and superiority at the weights on a formline back through True Persuasion, next best No's 4&5, anything better thaan 3.30 is good value. If No4 or 5 are shorter than 9/2 then lay. Anything else under 10/1 outside those top 4 can also be laid.
Sand R3 1400m c3 $70k
Bellissimo ships down from Sydney on the back of an emphatic 4l win at Randwick last start on heavy over 1600m in Saturday company, lightly raced havinhg only its 4th start and has further scope and already looks potential Group class on the make, hard to say that about the others, Josimar also has claims at big odds, next best 7,8,11. Lay anything else outside these 5 under 10/1.
Sand R4 2400m Open $70K
Pace scenario is critical here, Butwaittheresmore gets a soft trip on the front and and looks the 1 to beat, no major confidence, 4 significant other contenders are 3,4,8,9 (no order).
Sand R5 1000m Open3yo+f&m $70K
No6 Free Spirited - minor confidence
Sand R6 1300m $70K OPen
Great value 2 horse war, No13 The Handsome One clearly infront of Jungle Ruler who lobs for next best in the 2 horse war, Realistically Emjay Hussey can be backed to at very big odds, 12/1, 8/1, 40/1 are there 3 prices in order, 6.7.8 next best
Sandown R7 1800m $70k C6
Tampiko may just be the best bet of the day here, looks potentially Group quality on the make, if so then it has the measure of this lot, near perfect trip, well weighted, flying, simply ticks box after box, 1.95 early fixed odds is an acceptable quote and very rarely do we suggest taking odds on...that is how big confidence is on this one, next best 11,10,9
Newc R1 900m Mdn3yof $14K
Dual trial winner Madame Papillion on top here slightly infront of potential value runner Beauty's Choice, Mouli right there for 3rd, those 3 clear of the others and should have it between them, lay any other runner under 10/1.
Newc R2 900m Mdnc&g $14K
Slight leaning towards the speed pedigree 1st starter New York's Finest on its first trial effort 2nd, soft since, next best only just behind the top elect is Parriwi, No's 3,2 next best slightly below.
Newc R4 1200m Mdn $14K
Plenty of unexposed form and 1st starters blunting overall confidence but 2 of these do look clear of the resto, on top we have Waterhouse 1st starter and 3 time trial winner Our Freedom, the alley is a query but not a lot of speed in the race, may get across without working too hard, next best clearly is No13 Madam Nash only just below top elect, if enough depth in prices back both for a result across the race. No's 9,6,7 in order are bext best.
Newc R7 1400m $14K
Very open race, Army Of One slightly on top here infront of Raspberries, worth backing both if value exists, very close up next best is Curonian and Fly To Freedom, lay any other under 10/1
Yar Glen R2 1950m Mdn $12K
Very weak race on heavy going, one that fits the bill is Catwalk Diva, finished 2nd in 3 races on end over 1400m-1600m in heavy earlier this prep against slightly stronger quality maidens coming from well back, suited this trip, potential decent value, may get 9/2 which is great value, next best close up are No's 9,2
Yar Glen R3 1000m $12K
Plenty of 1st starters engaged here with no trial form creating decent sized queries but race experience counts for plenty in these types of race, Top Flight is bred to be a good speed horse and on debut finished a very credeible 5th to Glenkinchie at Mornington in Open 2yo company, well above the level required here on a repeat, dangers in order are 11,4,5 closely bunched but clear minimum 1 level below Top Flight, 11/4 or better is good value, very likely that price will be bet.
Yar Glen R4 1200m Mdnf&m $12K
Realistically shapes as 2 main chances here, Moody had 2 engaged (Lady Of The Lamp, a likely scratching), his other one with Linda Meech booked Global Anthem looks clearly the one to beat here ticking most of the right boxes, midweek sity sprinter on the make, close up behind is Husskila and they are well clear of the rest. Global Anthem one of the better bets of the day, anything better than 11/8 is good value.
Yar Glen R5 1500m Mdn $12K
Shapes as a race in 2 between Fu Jak and Politely, clear leaning to Fu Jak stepping to 1500m 2nd up, breed handle wet and hit line hard 1st up over 1300m from well off the pace 2nd to one who won in $30K company next start by 2l, very big form ref for this. Anything better than just short of 2/1 (2.90) represents value. No4 Next best below those 2, lay any other runner under 10/1.
Morph R3 1250m LY1 $32K
If Al's Best Mate can repeat its effort 2 back when a close up 2.5l 7th against much stronger then it will go very close to winning this, every chance 3rd up it will rate above that level dropping so sharply in class, one that is a minor hope of surprising at huge odds is maiden runner Ottana, on offer at 100/1 in early fixed odds market, crazy price, nibble at it as well with major outlay on Al's Best Mate, currently 3.20 in early fixed odds markets, probably want 3.50 for good value.
Morph R4 1950m C3 $25K
Good quality staying event for the class, shapes as mainly a race in 2 between Legislature and Drivel, Legislature has more upside and gets the best of the pace scenario, slight leaning towards it on top with Drivel clear 2nd best, 3rd and 4th are Beleconi and Tea For Three in that order, also a watch on La Siroque who is the one with potential to improve significantly. Legistature offers up good odds at 5/1 in early fixed odds markets, realistic 15/4 chance. Tea For Three at less than 2/1 is the value lay.
Morph R5 1550m LY1 $32K
Shapes as a good confidence betting race, Avoca Street looks well placed here as the top elect but claims also given to River's Lane at good double figure odds, back both with major outlay on Avoca Street and minor outlay on River's Lane fur a good confidence result across the race, only other seen chance is Andamooka Gem, lay anything else under 10/1.