Looks like being a bog track unfortunately. Who’s thes best 1400m mudder?

Probably the bolter Le Romain!!

Real driving rain in a strong wind here this morning. Will change the complexity of the race.

US Navy Flag is 4:3-0-1 on Slow and one unplaced run on the Heavy.

With the rail being shifted from the last meeting will the inside be better than expected as it is supposed to be fresh.

It is expected to be heavy and unsure how heavy or chopped up the track will be.

On Epsom Day, the wind was a big factor with many leaders carving up.

No surprise that you find horse racing of no interest

And still no one wants to talk about the damn race... expect Peg's computer, and it thinks its last year.
Go Chautauqua.
 

   Thanks Tontonon but that is what the computer thought at 7.09 am on the Friday 13 October 2017 before the race. 

  Anyone who used that very simple seive on just about every  Group race in the last couple of weeks would have gained enough profitable bets to take them through the year.
  It is mainly directed towards  P.M's great unwashed, who  he believes do not have the time nor the intellect to either  Read The Form  or to  learn how to program a computer.  This method only requires a pencil and paper plus a few minutes of their time even with a beer in their mits.
  As well  it  previously selected, amongst many others,  a 100/1  M. Cup winner and a 100/1 Oaks winner.  So it is not biased to just selecting the public  favourite. 

Yes, look foreword to it peg 

Well my halo shot at the getting the 10 in finishing order for the TAB' $10mill comp is this -

1 - Brave Smash - I've liked the prep, blinkers on   
2 - Redzel - he'll kick I'm just not sure he can hold them off after the set back
3 - Vega Magic - shades on, didn't like him getting run down last start although 1400m
4 -Shoals
5 - Santa Ana Lane
6 - US Navy Flag
7 - Osborne Bulls - keeps improving
8 - Trapeze Artist - haven't liked the prep
9 - Viddora - Class?
10 - In Her Time

Well my halo shot at the getting the 10 in finishing order for the TAB' $10mill comp is this -

1 - Brave Smash - I've liked the prep, blinkers on   
2 - Redzel - he'll kick I'm just not sure he can hold them off after the set back
3 - Vega Magic - shades on, didn't like him getting run down last start although 1400m
4 -Shoals
5 - Santa Ana Lane
6 - US Navy Flag
7 - Osborne Bulls - keeps improving
8 - Trapeze Artist - haven't liked the prep
9 - Viddora - Class?
10 - In Her Time

I'm going to take a calculated risk and state that Redzel is not at the same place he was this time last year.

Agree with your comments on Trapeze Artist as well.

The other two placegetters from last year appear to be in fine form and given they have been placed over the track and distance you'd have to include them - Brave Smash and Vega Magic.

I am putting US Navy Flag in because I think our sprinting ranks are not the same as they were when Black Caviar, Takeover Target, Apache Cat, Miss Andretti, etc. were running around. The July Cup might just be the form race here.

Santa Ana Lane is a horse I have a lot of time for and he did win over the course and distance. And if you like him then you must concede Shoals and In Her Time as live chances.

So I'll go:

1 US Navy Flag
2 Santa Ana Lane
3 Shoals
4 In Her Time
5 Brave Smash
6 Vega Magic
7 Le Romain
8 Graff
9 Viddora
10 Trapeze Artist

Now to check out the wet track form as it is raining now and predicted to do so for the next 7 days - hopefully the long drought has been broken.

I can’t pick it. Had ten goes at picking the top ten and keep changing it  

However
11. Graff
12. US Navy Flag

  ** Due to the weather I am pretty sure it will be best to just watch this one.

VF140817 RW71310F * RACE NAME ID* [ RW71310F  2018. THE EVEREST,,,,,,,,,,,,,,, 1200 mtrs]. COMPRUN 10-12-2018. AT 06:55:39 RESULT  [   1   4   17    3   ~   12   2    ] F4 $9,993.80.

VF140817 RW71310F * LOW LRAC WDIV [  5  12  1  4  9  ] [  5 VEGA MAGIC.  ---  ].[ 12 GRAFF W% 6.  ---  ].[ 1 REDZEL W% .  ---  ].[ 4 TRAPEZE AR.  ---  ].[ 9 IN HER TIM.  ---  ].[ ] F4 & 5LOW WDIV E/W BET *
VF140817 RW71310F * LOW5 LRAC SP$  [  5 VEGA MAGIC.  ---  ].[ 12 GRAFF W% 6.  ---  ].[ 1 REDZEL W% .  ---  ].[ 4 TRAPEZE AR.  ---  ].[ 9 IN HER TIM.  ---  ].[]. HORSE NAMES
VF140817 RW71310F * DTL DD WC TKDS[ 42ds -200 -.5kg CF14  ].[ 21ds -200 -3.5kg RH14  ].[ 14ds  0  0kg RW10  ].[ 14ds  0  0kg RW14  ].[ 14ds  0  0kg RW12  ].[  CHECK FULLY.
VF140817 RW71310F * ACTION INDICN [  [ #5  *!MUST KEEP!*b]. [ #12  *!MUST KEEP!*]. [ #1  *!MUST KEEP!*b]. [ #4  *!MUST KEEP!*b]. [ #9  *!MUST KEEP!*b]. ] * DROP THE WORST *

  *  The Pencil and Paper Analysis  [   5   12   1   4   9   ]   If a roughie gets up it is not unusual that it is one of these.

  Here is the problem, On a Speed Basis; there are nine horses within 3.0 lengths of the Top Rated  # 16; and so anyone of these could win :

VF140817 RW71310F * SPD ORD TABNO [   16    2    4   10    9    1    6    3   18   17   13   11   12    5   15   14    8   ] T5 HI HIT. USE SPD UPTO 1450m
VF140817 RW71310F * SPD RATNG ORD [  999  998  998  998  997  990  988  976  970  966  953  952  933  928  907  890  881  ] /1. IN SPEED ORDER
VF140817 RW71310F * AT TRK n DIST SPD [ RW14 RW12 RW14 RW12 RW12 RW10 RW11 RW12 DB12 CF14 RW13 MP11 RH14 CF14 MV10 FL12 AV12  ] IN SPD ORD*
VF140817 RW71310F * RQOD SPD RORD [  12   12   12   12   12   12.7   13.1   17.4  20.6  22.8  34.1  35.2  79.3  101.7  250.2  433.7  651  ] $PRICE/1 CALCULATED RQD ODDS IN RATING ORDER *
VF140817 RW71310F * AVAL ODDS FIXD[                                                                                                    ] MANUALLY KEY IN FIXED PRICES SPEED RATING ORDER

  * While on a SPEED WEight Modified Basis there are  eight horses within 3.0 lenghts of the top rated # 1
 
VF140817 RW71310F * WMSPD ORD TNO [     1      2     10     16      9      3      4      6    12     18     13     11     17      5     15     14      8     ]  * ] BMVRS/W [  ]*SPL*
VF140817 RW71310F * WMSPD RTG ORD [  1003   998   998   998   997   996   985   984   960   960   956   952   940   931   907   883   875   ] IMPORTANT
VF140817 RW71310F * RQOD WMSPD RO [  11.8   11.8   11.8   11.8   11.8   11.9   14.4   14.7   26.8   26.8   30.9   34.6   54.2   79.8   222.1   426.6   640.5   ] IN WMSPD ORDER. $PRICE/1 CALCULATED RQD ODDS ON WT MO

  ** Due to the probable state of the Track it will be a  Boat Race, with all contestants looking to get home safely,  so it is not then unusual for the Top" Simulated Modified Pace" horses to feature     

VF140817 RW71310F * SIMUL PACE T6 [  2 ]  10 ]  9 ]  4 ]  1 ]  16 ] ] *Pace line Important * LOOK !! T6 CAN HAVE $F4 IN. VERY IMPORTANT IF TRK HEAVY !!*

VF140817 RW71310F * SIMUL PACE ALL[    2   10    9    4    1   16  17    6   11   12    5   18    3   15   14    8   13   ] *BPT4 [  17 OSBORN x6 ] *BMVRP [ 4 TRAPEZ x3 [  11 VIDDOR x3 ] REL/SPWM. ESP F  1000-1200 USEFUL IN DIST/SOFT(6&UP/DEAD/SLOW/SAND esp. A TOP4 Ln*

For the sake of  racing I would love it if Trapeze Artist could win.

If he can win, maybe we won't have all the best 3 year old sprinting colts retire at the end of their 3 year old year in the future.

My only other comment about the race is surely Graff can't win.

  Thanks Peter; so am I.  The message clearly shows one should not bet, when it is wet, at least.

  The computer seems to be obsessed  with  [  1  4  9   5  ]  appearing in every key selection grouping in the analysis of The Everest race; But  due to the Track Condition, I would not bet on it?.