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Racehorse TALK



Country and Provincial NSW - N.S.W Gallops - Racehorse TALK

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Offline PoisonPen7

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« 2018-Aug-19, 12:07 AM Reply #1000 »
I'm backing the Wauchope trained #10 Allzin in this.

It is unconventionally trained by Graham Hoy and always resumes in longer races.

Last time in it ran 3rd first up in a Canterbury BM79 over 1900m with 56 kg.

Prep before that resumed in a Randwick 1600m BM74 with 59 kg and ran 3rd.

Both times it trialled well prior to the first up run and Allzin recently won a Taree trial. Gets in on the limit weight. Runs it's best races just sitting off the pace and will get a nice run from barrier 3. The $18 appeals each way.

Offline PoisonPen7

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« 2018-Aug-19, 04:08 AM Reply #1001 »
Taree Cup Meeting thoughts for Early Quaddie plus Cup

Race 1

Very strong set weights maiden over 1000m with some city form.

Richard Freedman has sent up #14 Ungaurded first up. Hopelessly missed the start in a trial at Canterbury then moved nicely to run 4th. Two city runs on wet tracks for one placing. A worry if it misses the start from the rails.

#6 Quick Nick has had 3 starts. At it's 2nd start it ran 3rd in a Newcastle maiden to Sangita (Snowden horse nommed for the Golden Rose) and Group 1 winner El Dorado Dreaming!! Then was sixth in town and then spelled. Two trials in preparation for this.

#2 Commissioner has run into Ef Troop and Futooh in a couple of city runs and not disgraced. 

#1 Biggles Would Go was a "running on" 4th on debut and the 2nd horse out of that race stablemate Tartufo Bianco won well on Friday.

These runners rate way ahead of anything else. The unraced #9 Shamus Star has had a little bit of a nibble and is only $8.50.

TIPS: 14-6-2-1-9

Race 2

A lot of runners come out of a Kempsey maiden that was one Kris Lees' horse Sunreel who graduated to Class 1 with a 5 length win last week at Newcastle. Looking at the replay of that race the best runs were from the lightly raced #6 Ted's Dream and the fast finishing #16e Backhouse Frilly.

#13 Lose The Snip ran a strong race to run 2nd to Our Espisito on Coff's Cup day. The 4th horse Meccabeh, a French import trained by Matt Dunn won as an odds on favourite winner at Doomben midweek.

TIPS: 6-16-13

Race 3

Line through the bottom 3.

#5 Editors and #3 Dixie Lad drawn to get good runs and have the peak ratings to win this.

#6 Phrases, #9 Triple Choice trained by Richard Freedman and #10 Northern Charm all ran in the same race over 1400m last start. I thought the old grey Phrases ran the best race of the three and he meets Triple Choice a half better and is 4th run back stepping up to a suitable distance on his home track and Bindi and Peter had a big priced winner on Friday.

Clare Cunningham is on fire and the city form if #7 Sacred Edge and the fact it is 3rd run back it looks the on top selection. #1 Tinker Dan has the grandstand but is 3rd run back and RT on board to cuddle him. He actually beat Sacred Edge last campaign and meets the horse better.

TIPS: 7-6-9-5-3-1

Race 4

There is a nice formline here with #1 Lady Wahoo. Easily beat Mizzy last start who ran 2nd to Ready To Prophet at Warwick Farm previous start. Ready To Prophet ran a close 4th to Fiesta in the G2 Silver Shadow yesterday. Gets 61 kg under the handicap conditions though which is a 7.5 kg rise on her maiden win.

The odds on favourite is Gai's #3 Fearless Girl. She was very weak in the last 200m last start in town - not sure if there was something wrong - but cannot possibly have her at that price.

#2 Selective looked sharp in a trial win and beat city winner Sedition last campaign.

#6 Luciola Belle was a hard held 3rd in a trial behind Cup runner Allzin and has good first up form.

#9 Dame Kiri is down in class and weight having had the misfortune of running into Darbies Blugirl last start :)

TIPS: 2-1-3-9-6

Race 7 Taree Cup.

As mentioned earlier took some nice odds about #10 Allzin. How is this for a trial - reckon he is going to be ready for the 2000m first up :)

https://racing.racingnsw.com.au/FreeFields/VideoResult.aspx?MeetDate=2018Aug09&VenueCode=MTY1OTA0Mg==&RaceNumber=1&MeetingCategory=Trial&VideoFileType=Last400m

#1 Olympic Dream - out of form.
#3 Our Gravano beaten only 4.6 by Raqeeq and Just Shine in town last start. Up 2 kg on that run.
#4 Loving Home. 2017 Port Cup winner. Has lost that form. 4th run back. Would need to improve a few lengths.
#5 All But Gone. Well up to this on form. 4th run back so should be ready to show best.
#6 Invictus. Wingham Cup winner who has been racing in town but not very well.
#7 Dubaiinstyle. Best city form gives him a chance but poor win strike rate (3 from 27).
#8 Shalmaneeser. Richard Freedman's Cup hope. 3rd run back. First two runs commendable in midweek city. Shocking draw for him but drops a bit in weight to offset that.
#9 Lady Evelyn. Favourite on the basis of a 3 length win in the Cup prelude and drops 4.5 kg. Placed in town in FM BM75.
#10 Allzin - selected and discussed before
#11 Bold And Groovy - Ken Howard winner on limit and stays there. Qld form before that consistent with big weights. 54 kg and a good draw leaves him in the chances.
#12 Don Pellegrino - dropping massively in weight and well drawn. City placed a few times in career and working to peak fitness.
#13 Red Dubawi. Regular city placegetter who has drawn the rails. If the rider pushes up a little at the start has a chance.
#14 Chalcedony. Not finsihed worse than 5th in last 10 runs and won over coursse and distance with 60kg tow starts back. 5th to Lady Evelyn in the prelude last start but beaten 5.6. Down 5.5 kg.

TIPS: 10-5-9-8 and outside chances to 12-13-11-14-7

Offline wily ole dog

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« 2018-Aug-19, 01:43 PM Reply #1002 »
The benefits of doing complete form :sad: One day Iíll get the chance.
A cursory glance at 5he video of its only run and you have to wonder why Fair Dinkum went around at such big odds

Offline PoisonPen7

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« 2018-Aug-22, 09:11 PM Reply #1003 »
Pretty rare we have a Listed Race on a Thursday

Race 7 - 4:20PM POLYTRACK ROWLEY MILE [LISTED RACE] (1600 METRES)

Of $150,000.1st $84,000, 2nd $28,200, 3rd $13,350, 4th $6,750, 5th $3,450, 6th $2,250, 7th $2,250, 8th $2,250, 9th $2,250, 10th $2,250, Equine Welfare Fund $1,500, Jockey Welfare Fund $1,500. LISTED
Handicap, Minimum Weight 54kg, Three-Years-Old and Upwards, Apprentices cannot claim.


No Last 10 Horse Trainer Jockey Barrier Weight(kg) Benchmark
1 053722x240 RED EXCITEMENT
SCRATCHED 16 59 103
2 25x2309561 MISTER SEA WOLF (IRE) Chris Waller James McDonald 4 58.5 102
3 1000x32255 INVINZABEEL Chris Waller Tye Angland 9 56.5 98
4 1131119x NORTHWEST PASSAGE Gai Waterhouse Adam Hyeronimus 18 56.5 98
5 4313x13721 FLOW James Cummings Kerrin McEvoy 7 56 97
6 x9063431x0 PRINCE CHERI (FR) John O'Shea Ms Rachel King 14 56 97
7 x306025674 SHIRAZ
SCRATCHED 11 56 97
8 124x32267x ALWARD (IRE) Chris Waller Ms Kathy O'Hara 1 55.5 96
9 1274340x00 EMBLEY Bjorn Baker Andrew Adkins 3 55.5 96
10 6x31124x09 SHOW A STAR Bjorn Baker Glyn Schofield 10 55.5 96
11 7x40738969 AMOVATIO Chris Waller Lee Magorrian 5 55 95
12 2686x0931x BLACK ON GOLD Chris Waller Tommy Berry 2 55 95
13 3310x5580x CISMONTANE (NZ) Gai Waterhouse Tim Clark 13 55 95
14 311x7121x2 I AM SERIOUS Chris Waller Jay Ford 17 54 93
15 x634224333 SPECIAL MISSILE John P Thompson Sam Weatherley(a) 8 54 93
16 x4x8416432 DAGNY (NZ) Chris Waller Jason Collett 12 54 90
17e 78168x5013 LIVE TO DREAM
SCRATCHED 6 54 78
18e 39x7521728 DYNAMIC DYNASTY
SCRATCHED 15 54 54

Offline PoisonPen7

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« 2018-Aug-22, 10:07 PM Reply #1004 »
This is how I've rted the Rowley Mile

FLOW          62   $4F
INVINZABEEL       61.5   $10
I AM SERIOUS       61.5   $5.50
------------
MISTER SEA WOLF (IRE)    60.5   $5
NORTHWEST PASSAGE    60.5   $17
DAGNY (NZ)       60   $11
SPECIAL MISSILE    60   $12
CISMONTANE (NZ)    58.5   $34
SHOW A STAR       58.5   $19
PRINCE CHERI (FR)    58   $51
BLACK ON GOLD       58   $9.50
ALWARD (IRE)       57.5   $14
AMOVATIO       57   $21
EMBLEY          56   $71

Am confident that from the draw and under the weight allocations that the top 3 will be in the finish.

Flow has had the measure of Invinzabeel last two starts but the weights are slowly creeping into Invinzabeel's favour.

The thing going for I Am Serious is it's consistency - 12 starts for 7 wins and 4 placings. Flow also has a good strike rate - 19 starts for 5 wins and 8 placings.

All 3 are drawn well. I Am Serious will get back and there should be some pace on.

Mr Sea Wolf will get back and barrier 4 might be a hindrance.

Northwest Passage hasn't raced for 16 months but 7 starts for 5 wins and a placing (one of the wins in Listed class over 2500m) and two trials going into this. Might be a good one to add a bit of value in exotics.

Offline PoisonPen7

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« 2018-Aug-24, 03:34 AM Reply #1005 »
Race 7 - 4:10PM THE RIVERVIEW HOTEL MURWILLUMBAH CUP (1530 METRES)

Of $38,000.1st $21,310, 2nd $7,470, 3rd $3,800, 4th $1,780, 5th $880, 6th $400, 7th $400, 8th $400, 9th $400, 10th $400, Equine Welfare Fund $380, Jockey Welfare Fund $380.
Handicap, Minimum Weight 54kg, Apprentices can claim.
BOBS Bonus Available Up To $19250


No Last 10 Horse Trainer Jockey Barrier Weight Hcp Rating
1 x763254166 YABA DABL DOYA Kenneth Deacon Glen Colless 9 62kg 85
2 157x503006 BEL BURGESS David Murphy Leah Kilner(a2/53kg) 2 61.5kg 84
3 1006953926 BODEGA NEGRA Bruce Hill Matthew McGuren 7 60.5kg 82
4 0x67531516 ZAMEX Matthew Dunn Clayton Gallagher(a0/52.5kg) 1 59kg 79
5 4174417164 FUTURE EVENT John Zielke Micheal Hellyer 14 56kg 73
6 20x8262754 LIBERTY ISLAND Bruce Hill Ben Looker 10 55.5kg 72
7 8225x92492 RED LETTER DAY Ben Hull Tegan Harrison 13 55.5kg 72
8 8769x43211 FASTA THAN LIGHT Patrick Duff Ms Miki Nakao(a2/50kg) 3 55kg 71
9 8781292148 BALIUS Brad Witt Jed Hodge(a1.5/54.5kg) 8 54.5kg 70
10 5x62627111 MADAM SHAZAM Toby Edmonds Ryan Maloney 6 54kg 70
11 x877007100 KINCAPLE CHIEF (NZ)
SCRATCHED 11 54kg 69
12 2x50x58499 ANNE BONNY
SCRATCHED 16 54kg 68
13e 15438x0074 MYSTICAL RENEGADE Matthew Dunn Jim Byrne 5 54kg 68
14e x545x95612 HOTEL COSTE Bruce Hill Mark Du Plessis 12 54kg 64
15e x444422496 ON DEMAND Patrick Duff
15 54kg 64
16e 7813663x04 SECRET CODE (NZ) Darleen Duryea
4 54kg 62

Offline PoisonPen7

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« 2018-Aug-24, 07:09 AM Reply #1006 »
Cup Day. Track is a Firm 2 with prediction of showers from late morning.

Race 1 going for #1 Wainui Gold on the basis that it has been running well with these weights whereas a lot of the other chances are going up under the handicap conditions. But no surprise to see #2, #3, #4 or #5 win - put a line through 6 and below.

Race 2 is a weak maiden and gone for #2 Makfi Amour on the basis that it looked very strong at then end of it's trial win. The other unraced one #3 Pirlo was 2nd to Hayburner in a  trial and that horse has come out since and ran 2nd this class. Both horses well flagged and in the market so the value has gone a bit.

Race 3 the only one I could rule out is the bottom one. Have gone for #4 Pundit - cannot see why it is $17 as it appears very open and drawn to get a gun run. #7 Mosserati appears to have come back for his second campaign a vastly improved horse.

Race 4 #12 Hayburner picks himself from the rails. Place certainty. #2 House Arrest Victorian import will improve over the distance. Forget last run where jockey thought there was something wrong and pulled the horse up.

Race 5 line through 9-11. The 7 might not start. Any of the top 4 plus #8 could win (1 and 3 are out). #6 Paroo River picked on consistency.

Race 6 The Newmarket have selected #6 Divine Dice. Was running away from them at the Goldie and drops 2.5 kg on that run. Ex Victorian who beat stakes placed Sherrif John Stone and was running around against horses like I Boogi and 5th in the Daybreak Lover in 2017. If any rains come get on R6 #9 Sunset Hills

Race 7 the Cup not much mathematically between #13 Mystical Renegade, #7 Red Letter Day and #4 Zamex. The two Dunn runners are drawn best (MR and Z).

Race 8 anything could win this. The old bloke #2 Phrases ran at the Cup meeting at Taree on Sunday and was stuck 3 deep for the last half of the race but he stuck well. As Bindi and Peter do they back them up quickly and with a bit of luck he should be very close to the money at his 4th run back from a long spell. #8 Light Motion over the odds with the featherweight as well.

Best R4 #12 and R6 #6

Offline PoisonPen7

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« 2018-Aug-31, 05:08 AM Reply #1007 »
Race 7 - 4:35PM 2018 CARLTON DRAUGHT WYONG GOLD CUP (2100 METRES)

Of $160,000.1st $89,690, 2nd $30,080, 3rd $14,265, 4th $7,195, 5th $3,695, 6th $2,375, 7th $2,375, 8th $2,375, 9th $2,375, 10th $2,375, Equine Welfare Fund $1,600, Jockey Welfare Fund $1,600. LISTED

Quality, Minimum Weight 54kg, Apprentices cannot claim.



No Last 10 Horse Trainer Jockey Barrier Weight(kg) Benchmark
1 363x051320 DESTINYíS KISS Joseph Pride Jay Ford 8 61 107
2 4221x46531 MORTONíS FORK James Cummings Hugh Bowman 2 58 101
3 3939x70053 TESTASHADOW Gary Portelli Ms Rachel King 1 56.5 98
4 703x972411 HARPERíS CHOICE Gerald Ryan Tye Angland 9 56 97
5 686x0931x5 BLACK ON GOLD Chris Waller James McDonald 3 55 95
6 060x729884 DARK EYES Gai Waterhouse Tim Clark 4 55 95
7 334157x244 CARZOFF (FR) Chris Waller Kerrin McEvoy 7 54 89
8 x532x108x0 GOATHLAND (IRE) Kim Waugh Glyn Schofield 6 54 85
9 647769x691 SHALMANESER Richard Freedman Corey Brown 5 54 73

#1 Destiny's Kiss is something of a freak. He has won 9 Listed races but no Group races

Year   Race Name   Status   Distance
2013   ATC Winter Cup   L   2400m
2016   ATC Australia Day Cup   L   2400m
2016   ATC Christmas Cup   L   2400m
2016   Gos RC Gosford Gold Cup   L   2100m
2017   ATC Australia Day Cup   L   2400m
2017   City Tatt's City Tattersall's Club Cup   L   2400m
2017   Tatt's NSW Tattersall's Club Cup   L   2400m
2017   WyongRC Wyong Gold Cup   L   2100m
2018   ATC W J McKell Cup   L   2400m
 
He won this race last year.

Now a 10 year old he was with Robert Smerdon originally and at one stage had won 5 out 6 in a row.

Apart from his 9 Listed wins you can add:

3rd 2013 Summer Cup G3
3rd 2013 Tatts Cup LR
3rd 2014 Gosford Cup LR
2nd 2014 McKell Cup LR
3rd 2015 Lord Mayor's Cup LR
3rd 2017 Gosford Cup LR
3rd 2017 Winter Cup LR
3rd 2018 Tatts Cup LR
3rd 2018 Aust Day Cup LR
2nd 2018 Winter Cup LR

Just wonder if he can win with 7 above the limit in a field that is full of runners who have been doing quite well.

Waller and Waterhouse seem to be the key.

Offline PoisonPen7

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« 2018-Sep-02, 06:33 AM Reply #1008 »
Race 8 - 4:57PM PACIFIC NATIONAL MOREE CUP (1400 METRES)

Of $40,000.1st $19,700, 2nd $7,150, 3rd $3,750, 4th $2,200, 5th $1,300, 6th $1,100, 7th $1,000, 8th $1,000, 9th $1,000, 10th $1,000, Equine Welfare Fund $400, Jockey Welfare Fund $400.

Handicap, Minimum Weight 54kg, Apprentices can claim.
BOBS Bonus Available Up To $9625


No Last 10 Horse Trainer Jockey Barrier Weight(kg)
1 3x40006801 BROTHERLY SECRET Shane Edmonds Matthew McGuren 4 61
2 1631x06041 OGGIE Scott Rodgers Christopher Bryen 3 61
3 1060x30662 DESERT MARSHAL Jane Clement Ms Mikayla Weir(a0/51kg) 6 59.5
4 1006x09x0x DISTINCTIVE LOOK David J Smith Ashley Morgan 15 59.5
5 x0x9468210 LANDMARKS Scott Cumming Jodi Worley 16 59
6 5162x47193 NARANJA Pat Webster Ms Zoe White(a0/52.5kg) 13 57
7 13753010x3 ELJETEM Rochelle Smith Josh Oliver 8 56
8 74x4196114 SKYSCRAPER Mark Mason Ben Looker 14 56
9 037473x818 FREE BILLY Peter Sinclair Geoffrey Snowden 10 55.5
10 9050587415 MELTED MOMENTS Paul Grills Allan Chau 9 55
11 x3084106x0 LONELY ORPHAN Lesley Jeffriess Ms Leanne G Henry 17 54
12 8x12122276 ROCKATORIO Nathan Sinclair Blake Spriggs 11 54
13 98x0791567 BAROQUE GIRL Peter Sinclair Ms Skye Bogenhuber 7 54
14 991718x729 MOONLIGHT SPY Sue Grills Ms Belinda Hodder 1 54
15e 3x27111316 TRACK FLASH Peter Sinclair Ms Wendy Peel(a2/50kg) 5 54
16e 1407510841 APACHE LAD Colin Dixon Brooke Stower 2 54
17e 5446x60747 ZATIGEROO Bryan Dixon
12 54

A lot of pace in this race. #1 Brotherly's Secret will want to lead as will #5 Landmarks from barrier 16. #8 Skyscraper will also want to be pushing forward from out wide.

If Skyscraper were to guaranteed get some luck I would have it on top.

Looking for a run on horse here. #3 Desert Marshall meets Broth. Secret 4 kg better for being beaten 1.75 over 1300m last start. #4 Distinctive Look is a dual Highway winner who might have had some problems since then. Looked to be given a big hit out in a 1000m trial at Bathurst.

Offline PoisonPen7

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« 2018-Sep-13, 06:06 PM Reply #1009 »
Race 7 - 4:35PM SHARP ELECTRONICS GROUP NEWCASTLE GOLD CUP (2300 METRES)

Of $200,000.1st $113,800, 2nd $37,600, 3rd $18,300, 4th $8,900, 5th $4,900, 6th $2,500, 7th $2,500, 8th $2,500, 9th $2,500, 10th $2,500, Equine Welfare Fund $2,000, Jockey Welfare Fund $2,000. GROUP 3

No Last 10 Horse Trainer Jockey Barrier Weight Hcp Rating
1 27x56164x5 AUVRAY (FR) Richard Freedman Tye Angland 4 59.5kg 109
2 63x0513206 DESTINYíS KISS Joseph Pride Jay Ford 8 58kg 106
3 34157x2441 CARZOFF (FR) Chris Waller Kerrin McEvoy 7 54kg 97
4 6313882218 FIRST CRUSH Chris Munce Mark Du Plessis 11 54kg 97
5 03x9724115 HARPERíS CHOICE Gerald Ryan Brenton Avdulla 13 54kg 97
6 310x5580x0 CISMONTANE (NZ) Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott Glyn Schofield 14 54kg 95
7 60x7298842 DARK EYES Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott Tim Clark 1 54kg 95
8 61246x8068 VASSAL (GB) Chris Waller Michael Walker 5 54kg 92
9 0151330x00 PERIBSEN (IRE) John O'Shea SCRATCHED 10 54kg 90
10 731x783789 GRAND DREAMER Darren Weir Corey Brown 9 54kg 88
11 6356172523 MONGOLIAN WOLF Darren Weir Andrew Gibbons 2 54kg 86
12 532x108x04 GOATHLAND (IRE) Kim Waugh Tommy Berry 12 54kg 85
13 4111x51270 JUST SHINE (NZ) Clare Cunningham Jason Collett 3 54kg 83
14 21x8748613 SEGENHOE (NZ) Clare Cunningham Christian Reith 6 54kg 76



Offline wily ole dog

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« 2018-Sep-13, 07:53 PM Reply #1010 »
Cracking good meeting
 :clap2:

Offline PoisonPen7

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« 2018-Sep-16, 01:14 AM Reply #1011 »
Race 8 - 4:52PM DUBBO CITY TOYOTA GOLD CUP (1600 METRES)

Of $60,000.1st $28,400, 2nd $10,600, 3rd $5,500, 4th $3,600, 5th $2,400, 6th $1,800, 7th $1,625, 8th $1,625, 9th $1,625, 10th $1,625, Equine Welfare Fund $600, Jockey Welfare Fund $600.

No Last 10 Horse Trainer Jockey Barrier Weight(kg) Benchmark
1 168x867121 GAUGUIN (NZ) John Sargent Jeff Penza 20 61 86
2 556236x010 SIR BARB (NZ) Clare Cunningham SCRATCHED 17 60.5 85
3 1313x49123 A MAGIC ZARIZ Cecil Hodgson Ms Winona Costin 2 59.5 83
4 935423x350 DISTURBANCE (NZ) Barbara Joseph, Paul & Matt Jones Mathew Cahill 9 57.5 79
5 71106x7342 RED KNOT Rodney Northam Serg Lisnyy 18 57 78
6 5157x37405 ALL BUT GONE Damien Lane
16 56 76
7 351818x073 MAKEADANE John P Thompson Sam Weatherley(a0/53.5kg) 14 56 76
8 006x09x0x0 DISTINCTIVE LOOK David J Smith Ashley Morgan 7 55.5 75
9 2x5x367287 MARQUEE Luke Pepper Robbie Dolan(a2/49kg) 10 55.5 75
10 216277x056 MIAMI DADE Brett Cavanough James Innes Jnr 3 55.5 75
11 31x26048x9 STEAMINí Michael Mulholland Andrew Banks 11 55 74
12 12x6244331 WILD CAVALIER Gayna Williams Anthony Cavallo 19 54.5 73
13 1854681095 MARABEL Wendy Roche SCRATCHED 15 54 74
14 6827x912x2 ANNECY Don & Andrew Ryan Ms Eleanor Webster-Hawes 5 54 73
15 722311x251 MAGIC OVER THE BAY Wayne Collison Greg Ryan 13 54 71
16 3084106x05 LONELY ORPHAN Lesley Jeffriess Ms Leanne G Henry 1 54 67
17e 32x6351225 GO THE GANTRY Gayna Williams Grant Buckley 6 54 66
18e 2212679740 MISTER MARMALADE Danny Williams SCRATCHED 8 54 64
19e 370x952696 WELCOME ART Andrew Molloy
12 54 63
20e 4515346661 DAPPERIZED Gayna Williams Ms Mikayla Weir(a0/51kg) 4 54

Offline PoisonPen7

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« 2018-Sep-18, 03:34 AM Reply #1012 »
Good meeting at Kembla tomorrow.

Kembla

R1 #1 Charm Offensive - top rater who is in well at the weights. Should have enough pace to get an OK sit here from the wide barrier as a few of these are slow. #4 His Kingdom was placed in his only start in a feature 2YO race at Muswellbrook.

R2 #5 Sebring Express - if anywhere near it's top will go close on best rated run when placed in town. 2nd to Saturday's Brisbane winner Goldfinch in a trial.

R3 there is a lot of pace and if they ride #4 Nai'a with patience might get the drop on them. #2 Kathmandu has never been out fo a place in 7 runs and has a second to Stella Victoria in the formlines (another Brisbane winner on Saturday!!)

R4 Extremely open race where I put a line through 5, 8 and  afew down the bottom and gave everything else a chance. The two favourites are niclkey bred but too short in this field for mine.

R5 #8 Semper Videlis resumed like a new horse and Waller horses when they hit their form usually maintain it. This looks ideal placement and has drawn 4 where it will get a nice sit.

R6 Favourites all look a chance but no fun in the odds. Interesting debut runner in #10 Sparkling Rose by Charge Forward and which is related to Grosvenor and National Gallery as well as a direct female line to Gay Poss who was a very good horse all those years ago.

R7 I thought #10 Ligulate looked excellent each way value at the $5 given it ran 2nd to Stakes winner Futooh then 5th to Slipper winner Estijaab before a spell. Won it's maiden then 5th in town to Reginae beaten only 2.9 lengths when got too far back.


BEST: R5 #8 into each way R7 #10

Parlay R1, R3, R5 and R7.

Offline wily ole dog

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« 2018-Sep-18, 07:33 AM Reply #1013 »
Only 2 for me today
Cool and Neat, now ready after arriving back fro: HK

Quinny in the last.  Sky Boy drawn badly & ligulate drawn perfectly in the last

Offline PoisonPen7

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« 2018-Oct-04, 12:39 AM Reply #1014 »
That is an interesting runner in Race 3 at Gosford tomorrow.

NZ trainer Stephen Marsh has a couple in at the meeting with R3 #8 Mark Two last start running 5th in the NZ Oaks behind Savvy Coup. Prior to that only 3 starts including a 2nd and a 4th at Group 2 level.

Gets into the set weights maiden over a mile on the limit. $1.50 means it is too short to back but should be interesting viewing.

Offline PoisonPen7

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« 2018-Oct-04, 06:26 PM Reply #1015 »
That is an interesting runner in Race 3 at Gosford tomorrow.

NZ trainer Stephen Marsh has a couple in at the meeting with R3 #8 Mark Two last start running 5th in the NZ Oaks behind Savvy Coup. Prior to that only 3 starts including a 2nd and a 4th at Group 2 level.

Gets into the set weights maiden over a mile on the limit. $1.50 means it is too short to back but should be interesting viewing.

Stephen Marsh ended up with two winners at Gosford today.

Offline PoisonPen7

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« 2018-Oct-04, 06:30 PM Reply #1016 »
Race 7 - 4:40PM 2018 CARLTON DRAUGHT PORT MACQUARIE CUP (2000 METRES)

Of $150,000.1st $76,500, 2nd $27,500, 3rd $13,250, 4th $6,750, 5th $5,000, 6th $4,000, 7th $3,500, 8th $3,500, 9th $3,500, 10th $3,500, Equine Welfare Fund $1,500, Jockey Welfare Fund $1,500.

Quality, Minimum Weight 55kg, Weight Raised 1kg, Apprentices cannot claim.
BOBS&BOBS Extra Bonus available: $22,500


No Last 10 Horse Trainer Jockey Barrier Weight
1 2x108x0444 GOATHLAND (IRE) Kim Waugh Jay Ford 7 58kg
2 7769x69132 SHALMANESER Richard Freedman Andrew Adkins 1 58kg
3 162x743622 EXOTERIC (GB) Chris Waller Tommy Berry 10 57kg
4 48x2511265 GOLD AMBITION (NZ) Michael Costa Ben Looker 5 54kg
5 40x648x056 SOCIAL ELEMENT (NZ) Gai Waterhouse James Innes Jnr 3 54kg
6 x879080970 LOVING HOME (GB) Tess Wilkes Ms Rachael Murray 15 54kg
7 4x46456433 VALENTINO ROSSA Jason Coyle Sam Weatherley(a) 12 54kg
8 333152x678 BACKHOUSE BILLY Jenny Graham Peter Graham 2 54kg
9 6126615521 LADY EVELYN Jason Deamer Andrew Gibbons 4 54kg
10 9630159343 DEW DROP SCRATCHED
13 54kg
11 7606362523 HIS KYLLACHY (IRE) Tess Wilkes Robert Thompson 14 54kg
12 1609249135 PACKEN Gerard Jenkinson Josh Adams 11 54kg
13 52x435x721 MARYíS GIRL Julie Pratten Matthew Paget 9 54kg
14 412x054362 FINANCIAL Tony Ball Grant Buckley 8 54kg
15e 6608467807 FASTQUEST (IRE) SCRATCHED
6 54kg

Offline PoisonPen7

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« 2018-Oct-04, 06:43 PM Reply #1017 »
Track is currently a Soft 5. Weather is listed as "Fine".

Intuitively I don't know if the 3 topweights have been given enough weight to equalize the race.

#1 Goathland and #2 Shalmaneezer carried 53.5 and 53 resp. in the Group 3 won by the Melbourne horse Miss Admiration a couple of Saturdays ago.

#3 Exoteric comes off the back of very consistent Brisbane Open class form.

The best performed of those on the minimum weight are #9 Lady Evelyn (won a BM-70 in the city with the same weight), #7 Valentino Rossa (3rd with 59.5 kg in the same race - drops 5.5 kg here) and #5 Social Element trained by Gai and Adrian and a close 6th to The Lord Mayor in a Saturday BM88 last start. He will carry 1 kg more.

I'd be prepared to put a line through the rest. Mary's Girl only won her maiden last start.

I'll go at this stage (really would like to see a few races first because the track can display bias some days - either on the rails or out wide).

7-2-1-5-3-9

That is a really favourable weight drop for VR but he has a poor win strike rate. Best strike rate among those is Exoteric

Offline wily ole dog

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« 2018-Oct-04, 06:53 PM Reply #1018 »
I think rain is on the way

Offline ratsack

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« 2018-Oct-04, 09:58 PM Reply #1019 »
im heading to my first meeting at Kembla Grange on Saturday , in the members with a couple of other Character's

any tips excepted   lol

Offline PoisonPen7

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« 2018-Oct-05, 07:23 AM Reply #1020 »
im heading to my first meeting at Kembla Grange on Saturday , in the members with a couple of other Character's

any tips excepted   lol

See what I can come up with mate. Enjoy the day and say G'day to Spudda and Chuggers for me.

Hope it still goes ahead. If not give me a bell if you want to catch up in the Shire somewhere. Cronulla Leagues have a nice setup.

Cheers.

Offline PoisonPen7

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« 2018-Oct-05, 07:38 AM Reply #1021 »
Track is currently a Soft 5. Weather is listed as "Fine".

Intuitively I don't know if the 3 topweights have been given enough weight to equalize the race.

#1 Goathland and #2 Shalmaneezer carried 53.5 and 53 resp. in the Group 3 won by the Melbourne horse Miss Admiration a couple of Saturdays ago.

#3 Exoteric comes off the back of very consistent Brisbane Open class form.

The best performed of those on the minimum weight are #9 Lady Evelyn (won a BM-70 in the city with the same weight), #7 Valentino Rossa (3rd with 59.5 kg in the same race - drops 5.5 kg here) and #5 Social Element trained by Gai and Adrian and a close 6th to The Lord Mayor in a Saturday BM88 last start. He will carry 1 kg more.

I'd be prepared to put a line through the rest. Mary's Girl only won her maiden last start.

I'll go at this stage (really would like to see a few races first because the track can display bias some days - either on the rails or out wide).

7-2-1-5-3-9

That is a really favourable weight drop for VR but he has a poor win strike rate. Best strike rate among those is Exoteric

Have changed my mind with the weather and looking at the last meeting on a slow track where the ones on the fence won most races.

#2 Shalmaneezer has the superior wet track credentials. Was only beaten 1.5 into 3rd place in the harder Gosford Cup. Followed that up with a close 2nd to Miss Admiration in a  Group 3 at Rosehill.

From barrier 1 should be close to the rails either just behind the pace or making it. Is in peak form with the biggest margin beaten this 5 run campaign being 3.4 lengths thus far.

And as observed before these three at the top of the weights look to be in pretty well at the weights with the 54 kg limit - if it were the old days with a 48 kg limit a lot of the ones on the bottom would get that weight so are at a distinct disadvantage. And the trainer is fast making a good reputation as a conditioner of horses.

Earlier in the meeting spotted the topweight #1 Brother Magic in the first race who should be on the pace for his second race start having placed on a slow track at the course and distance on debut. Goes from handicap to set weights maiden which should eliminate a few of those down the list. Currently $11.

#12 Malea Magic as the get out bet in the last.

Offline wily ole dog

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« 2018-Oct-05, 09:00 AM Reply #1022 »
PP
Is it unusual for the fence to be the spot? I seem to recall thy always came down the outside fence at Port when it was wet. Maybe that was before the renovations :chin:

Offline PoisonPen7

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« 2018-Nov-01, 11:08 AM Reply #1023 »
PP
Is it unusual for the fence to be the spot? I seem to recall thy always came down the outside fence at Port when it was wet. Maybe that was before the renovations :chin:

Don't like the track at all for punting purposes.

Some days they arrive down the outside fence. Others they don't and the leaders on the turn seem to be at an advantage.

And all up it is a very short tight turning track.  They recently spent a heap on it. Track is very close to town so no chance of expanding it. They could sell it for a bomb and use the money to renovate Wauchope down the road but I'm sure trainers like Jenny Graham would have something to say about that.

Offline PoisonPen7

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« 2018-Nov-01, 11:18 AM Reply #1024 »
There is a 3yo filly that won on debut for Johnny Sargent going around in Gosford Race 6 #7 Katie Did It (in the Gerry Harvey colours and no doubt Katie refers to his wife Katie Page - granddam was the racecaller's nightmare horse Kakakakatie who won two stakes races).

Jumps up to FM Class 1 but a lot to like about it's strong finish on debut. 2nd horse in that race is twice placed in town. Gai's horse has good form but will carry the full grandstand.

https://racing.racingnsw.com.au/FreeFields/VideoResult.aspx?MeetDate=2018Oct21&VenueCode=MTM0NTA1&RaceNumber=1&MeetingCategory=Professional&VideoFileType=Last400m


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