Author Topic: Country and Provincial NSW (Read 186744 times)

PoisonPen7 · « 2018-Aug-19, 12:07 AM **Reply #1000** »

I'm backing the Wauchope trained #10 Allzin in this.

It is unconventionally trained by Graham Hoy and always resumes in longer races.

Last time in it ran 3rd first up in a Canterbury BM79 over 1900m with 56 kg.

Prep before that resumed in a Randwick 1600m BM74 with 59 kg and ran 3rd.

Both times it trialled well prior to the first up run and Allzin recently won a Taree trial. Gets in on the limit weight. Runs it's best races just sitting off the pace and will get a nice run from barrier 3. The $18 appeals each way.

PoisonPen7 · « 2018-Aug-19, 04:08 AM **Reply #1001** »

Taree Cup Meeting thoughts for Early Quaddie plus Cup

Race 1

Very strong set weights maiden over 1000m with some city form.

Richard Freedman has sent up #14 Ungaurded first up. Hopelessly missed the start in a trial at Canterbury then moved nicely to run 4th. Two city runs on wet tracks for one placing. A worry if it misses the start from the rails.

#6 Quick Nick has had 3 starts. At it's 2nd start it ran 3rd in a Newcastle maiden to Sangita (Snowden horse nommed for the Golden Rose) and Group 1 winner El Dorado Dreaming!! Then was sixth in town and then spelled. Two trials in preparation for this.

#2 Commissioner has run into Ef Troop and Futooh in a couple of city runs and not disgraced.

#1 Biggles Would Go was a "running on" 4th on debut and the 2nd horse out of that race stablemate Tartufo Bianco won well on Friday.

These runners rate way ahead of anything else. The unraced #9 Shamus Star has had a little bit of a nibble and is only $8.50.

TIPS: 14-6-2-1-9

Race 2

A lot of runners come out of a Kempsey maiden that was one Kris Lees' horse Sunreel who graduated to Class 1 with a 5 length win last week at Newcastle. Looking at the replay of that race the best runs were from the lightly raced #6 Ted's Dream and the fast finishing #16e Backhouse Frilly.

#13 Lose The Snip ran a strong race to run 2nd to Our Espisito on Coff's Cup day. The 4th horse Meccabeh, a French import trained by Matt Dunn won as an odds on favourite winner at Doomben midweek.

TIPS: 6-16-13

Race 3

Line through the bottom 3.

#5 Editors and #3 Dixie Lad drawn to get good runs and have the peak ratings to win this.

#6 Phrases, #9 Triple Choice trained by Richard Freedman and #10 Northern Charm all ran in the same race over 1400m last start. I thought the old grey Phrases ran the best race of the three and he meets Triple Choice a half better and is 4th run back stepping up to a suitable distance on his home track and Bindi and Peter had a big priced winner on Friday.

Clare Cunningham is on fire and the city form if #7 Sacred Edge and the fact it is 3rd run back it looks the on top selection. #1 Tinker Dan has the grandstand but is 3rd run back and RT on board to cuddle him. He actually beat Sacred Edge last campaign and meets the horse better.

TIPS: 7-6-9-5-3-1

Race 4

There is a nice formline here with #1 Lady Wahoo. Easily beat Mizzy last start who ran 2nd to Ready To Prophet at Warwick Farm previous start. Ready To Prophet ran a close 4th to Fiesta in the G2 Silver Shadow yesterday. Gets 61 kg under the handicap conditions though which is a 7.5 kg rise on her maiden win.

The odds on favourite is Gai's #3 Fearless Girl. She was very weak in the last 200m last start in town - not sure if there was something wrong - but cannot possibly have her at that price.

#2 Selective looked sharp in a trial win and beat city winner Sedition last campaign.

#6 Luciola Belle was a hard held 3rd in a trial behind Cup runner Allzin and has good first up form.

#9 Dame Kiri is down in class and weight having had the misfortune of running into Darbies Blugirl last start

TIPS: 2-1-3-9-6

Race 7 Taree Cup.

As mentioned earlier took some nice odds about #10 Allzin. How is this for a trial - reckon he is going to be ready for the 2000m first up

https://racing.racingnsw.com.au/FreeFields/VideoResult.aspx?MeetDate=2018Aug09&VenueCode=MTY1OTA0Mg==&RaceNumber=1&MeetingCategory=Trial&VideoFileType=Last400m

#1 Olympic Dream - out of form.
#3 Our Gravano beaten only 4.6 by Raqeeq and Just Shine in town last start. Up 2 kg on that run.
#4 Loving Home. 2017 Port Cup winner. Has lost that form. 4th run back. Would need to improve a few lengths.
#5 All But Gone. Well up to this on form. 4th run back so should be ready to show best.
#6 Invictus. Wingham Cup winner who has been racing in town but not very well.
#7 Dubaiinstyle. Best city form gives him a chance but poor win strike rate (3 from 27).
#8 Shalmaneeser. Richard Freedman's Cup hope. 3rd run back. First two runs commendable in midweek city. Shocking draw for him but drops a bit in weight to offset that.
#9 Lady Evelyn. Favourite on the basis of a 3 length win in the Cup prelude and drops 4.5 kg. Placed in town in FM BM75.
#10 Allzin - selected and discussed before
#11 Bold And Groovy - Ken Howard winner on limit and stays there. Qld form before that consistent with big weights. 54 kg and a good draw leaves him in the chances.
#12 Don Pellegrino - dropping massively in weight and well drawn. City placed a few times in career and working to peak fitness.
#13 Red Dubawi. Regular city placegetter who has drawn the rails. If the rider pushes up a little at the start has a chance.
#14 Chalcedony. Not finsihed worse than 5th in last 10 runs and won over coursse and distance with 60kg tow starts back. 5th to Lady Evelyn in the prelude last start but beaten 5.6. Down 5.5 kg.

TIPS: 10-5-9-8 and outside chances to 12-13-11-14-7

wily ole dog · « 2018-Aug-19, 01:43 PM **Reply #1002** »

The benefits of doing complete form

One day I’ll get the chance.
A cursory glance at 5he video of its only run and you have to wonder why Fair Dinkum went around at such big odds

PoisonPen7 · « 2018-Aug-22, 09:11 PM **Reply #1003** »

Pretty rare we have a Listed Race on a Thursday

Race 7 - 4:20PM POLYTRACK ROWLEY MILE [LISTED RACE] (1600 METRES)

Of $150,000.1st $84,000, 2nd $28,200, 3rd $13,350, 4th $6,750, 5th $3,450, 6th $2,250, 7th $2,250, 8th $2,250, 9th $2,250, 10th $2,250, Equine Welfare Fund $1,500, Jockey Welfare Fund $1,500. LISTED
Handicap, Minimum Weight 54kg, Three-Years-Old and Upwards, Apprentices cannot claim.

No	Last 10	Horse	Trainer	Jockey	Barrier	Weight(kg)	Benchmark
1	053722x240	RED EXCITEMENT		SCRATCHED	16	59	103
2	25x2309561	MISTER SEA WOLF (IRE)	Chris Waller	James McDonald	4	58.5	102
3	1000x32255	INVINZABEEL	Chris Waller	Tye Angland	9	56.5	98
4	1131119x	NORTHWEST PASSAGE	Gai Waterhouse	Adam Hyeronimus	18	56.5	98
5	4313x13721	FLOW	James Cummings	Kerrin McEvoy	7	56	97
6	x9063431x0	PRINCE CHERI (FR)	John O'Shea	Ms Rachel King	14	56	97
7	x306025674	SHIRAZ		SCRATCHED	11	56	97
8	124x32267x	ALWARD (IRE)	Chris Waller	Ms Kathy O'Hara	1	55.5	96
9	1274340x00	EMBLEY	Bjorn Baker	Andrew Adkins	3	55.5	96
10	6x31124x09	SHOW A STAR	Bjorn Baker	Glyn Schofield	10	55.5	96
11	7x40738969	AMOVATIO	Chris Waller	Lee Magorrian	5	55	95
12	2686x0931x	BLACK ON GOLD	Chris Waller	Tommy Berry	2	55	95
13	3310x5580x	CISMONTANE (NZ)	Gai Waterhouse	Tim Clark	13	55	95
14	311x7121x2	I AM SERIOUS	Chris Waller	Jay Ford	17	54	93
15	x634224333	SPECIAL MISSILE	John P Thompson	Sam Weatherley(a)	8	54	93
16	x4x8416432	DAGNY (NZ)	Chris Waller	Jason Collett	12	54	90
17e	78168x5013	LIVE TO DREAM		SCRATCHED	6	54	78
18e	39x7521728	DYNAMIC DYNASTY		SCRATCHED	15	54	54

PoisonPen7 · « 2018-Aug-22, 10:07 PM **Reply #1004** »

This is how I've rted the Rowley Mile

FLOW          62   $4F
INVINZABEEL       61.5   $10
I AM SERIOUS       61.5   $5.50
------------
MISTER SEA WOLF (IRE)    60.5   $5
NORTHWEST PASSAGE    60.5   $17
DAGNY (NZ)       60   $11
SPECIAL MISSILE    60   $12
CISMONTANE (NZ)    58.5   $34
SHOW A STAR       58.5   $19
PRINCE CHERI (FR)    58   $51
BLACK ON GOLD       58   $9.50
ALWARD (IRE)       57.5   $14
AMOVATIO       57   $21
EMBLEY          56   $71

Am confident that from the draw and under the weight allocations that the top 3 will be in the finish.

Flow has had the measure of Invinzabeel last two starts but the weights are slowly creeping into Invinzabeel's favour.

The thing going for I Am Serious is it's consistency - 12 starts for 7 wins and 4 placings. Flow also has a good strike rate - 19 starts for 5 wins and 8 placings.

All 3 are drawn well. I Am Serious will get back and there should be some pace on.

Mr Sea Wolf will get back and barrier 4 might be a hindrance.

Northwest Passage hasn't raced for 16 months but 7 starts for 5 wins and a placing (one of the wins in Listed class over 2500m) and two trials going into this. Might be a good one to add a bit of value in exotics.

PoisonPen7 · « 2018-Aug-24, 03:34 AM **Reply #1005** »

Race 7 - 4:10PM THE RIVERVIEW HOTEL MURWILLUMBAH CUP (1530 METRES)

Of $38,000.1st $21,310, 2nd $7,470, 3rd $3,800, 4th $1,780, 5th $880, 6th $400, 7th $400, 8th $400, 9th $400, 10th $400, Equine Welfare Fund $380, Jockey Welfare Fund $380.
Handicap, Minimum Weight 54kg, Apprentices can claim.
BOBS Bonus Available Up To $19250

No	Last 10	Horse	Trainer	Jockey	Barrier	Weight	Hcp Rating
1	x763254166	YABA DABL DOYA	Kenneth Deacon	Glen Colless	9	62kg	85
2	157x503006	BEL BURGESS	David Murphy	Leah Kilner(a2/53kg)	2	61.5kg	84
3	1006953926	BODEGA NEGRA	Bruce Hill	Matthew McGuren	7	60.5kg	82
4	0x67531516	ZAMEX	Matthew Dunn	Clayton Gallagher(a0/52.5kg)	1	59kg	79
5	4174417164	FUTURE EVENT	John Zielke	Micheal Hellyer	14	56kg	73
6	20x8262754	LIBERTY ISLAND	Bruce Hill	Ben Looker	10	55.5kg	72
7	8225x92492	RED LETTER DAY	Ben Hull	Tegan Harrison	13	55.5kg	72
8	8769x43211	FASTA THAN LIGHT	Patrick Duff	Ms Miki Nakao(a2/50kg)	3	55kg	71
9	8781292148	BALIUS	Brad Witt	Jed Hodge(a1.5/54.5kg)	8	54.5kg	70
10	5x62627111	MADAM SHAZAM	Toby Edmonds	Ryan Maloney	6	54kg	70
11	x877007100	KINCAPLE CHIEF (NZ)		SCRATCHED	11	54kg	69
12	2x50x58499	ANNE BONNY		SCRATCHED	16	54kg	68
13e	15438x0074	MYSTICAL RENEGADE	Matthew Dunn	Jim Byrne	5	54kg	68
14e	x545x95612	HOTEL COSTE	Bruce Hill	Mark Du Plessis	12	54kg	64
15e	x444422496	ON DEMAND	Patrick Duff		15	54kg	64
16e	7813663x04	SECRET CODE (NZ)	Darleen Duryea		4	54kg	62

PoisonPen7 · « 2018-Aug-24, 07:09 AM **Reply #1006** »

Cup Day. Track is a Firm 2 with prediction of showers from late morning.

Race 1 going for #1 Wainui Gold on the basis that it has been running well with these weights whereas a lot of the other chances are going up under the handicap conditions. But no surprise to see #2, #3, #4 or #5 win - put a line through 6 and below.

Race 2 is a weak maiden and gone for #2 Makfi Amour on the basis that it looked very strong at then end of it's trial win. The other unraced one #3 Pirlo was 2nd to Hayburner in a trial and that horse has come out since and ran 2nd this class. Both horses well flagged and in the market so the value has gone a bit.

Race 3 the only one I could rule out is the bottom one. Have gone for #4 Pundit - cannot see why it is $17 as it appears very open and drawn to get a gun run. #7 Mosserati appears to have come back for his second campaign a vastly improved horse.

Race 4 #12 Hayburner picks himself from the rails. Place certainty. #2 House Arrest Victorian import will improve over the distance. Forget last run where jockey thought there was something wrong and pulled the horse up.

Race 5 line through 9-11. The 7 might not start. Any of the top 4 plus #8 could win (1 and 3 are out). #6 Paroo River picked on consistency.

Race 6 The Newmarket have selected #6 Divine Dice. Was running away from them at the Goldie and drops 2.5 kg on that run. Ex Victorian who beat stakes placed Sherrif John Stone and was running around against horses like I Boogi and 5th in the Daybreak Lover in 2017. If any rains come get on R6 #9 Sunset Hills

Race 7 the Cup not much mathematically between #13 Mystical Renegade, #7 Red Letter Day and #4 Zamex. The two Dunn runners are drawn best (MR and Z).

Race 8 anything could win this. The old bloke #2 Phrases ran at the Cup meeting at Taree on Sunday and was stuck 3 deep for the last half of the race but he stuck well. As Bindi and Peter do they back them up quickly and with a bit of luck he should be very close to the money at his 4th run back from a long spell. #8 Light Motion over the odds with the featherweight as well.

Best R4 #12 and R6 #6

PoisonPen7 · « 2018-Aug-31, 05:08 AM **Reply #1007** »

Race 7 - 4:35PM 2018 CARLTON DRAUGHT WYONG GOLD CUP (2100 METRES)

Of $160,000.1st $89,690, 2nd $30,080, 3rd $14,265, 4th $7,195, 5th $3,695, 6th $2,375, 7th $2,375, 8th $2,375, 9th $2,375, 10th $2,375, Equine Welfare Fund $1,600, Jockey Welfare Fund $1,600. LISTED

Quality, Minimum Weight 54kg, Apprentices cannot claim.

No	Last 10	Horse	Trainer	Jockey	Barrier	Weight(kg)	Benchmark
1	363x051320	DESTINY’S KISS	Joseph Pride	Jay Ford	8	61	107
2	4221x46531	MORTON’S FORK	James Cummings	Hugh Bowman	2	58	101
3	3939x70053	TESTASHADOW	Gary Portelli	Ms Rachel King	1	56.5	98
4	703x972411	HARPER’S CHOICE	Gerald Ryan	Tye Angland	9	56	97
5	686x0931x5	BLACK ON GOLD	Chris Waller	James McDonald	3	55	95
6	060x729884	DARK EYES	Gai Waterhouse	Tim Clark	4	55	95
7	334157x244	CARZOFF (FR)	Chris Waller	Kerrin McEvoy	7	54	89
8	x532x108x0	GOATHLAND (IRE)	Kim Waugh	Glyn Schofield	6	54	85
9	647769x691	SHALMANESER	Richard Freedman	Corey Brown	5	54	73

#1 Destiny's Kiss is something of a freak. He has won 9 Listed races but no Group races

Year   Race Name   Status   Distance
2013   ATC Winter Cup   L   2400m
2016   ATC Australia Day Cup   L   2400m
2016   ATC Christmas Cup   L   2400m
2016   Gos RC Gosford Gold Cup   L   2100m
2017   ATC Australia Day Cup   L   2400m
2017   City Tatt's City Tattersall's Club Cup   L   2400m
2017   Tatt's NSW Tattersall's Club Cup   L   2400m
2017   WyongRC Wyong Gold Cup   L   2100m
2018   ATC W J McKell Cup   L   2400m

He won this race last year.

Now a 10 year old he was with Robert Smerdon originally and at one stage had won 5 out 6 in a row.

Apart from his 9 Listed wins you can add:

3rd 2013 Summer Cup G3
3rd 2013 Tatts Cup LR
3rd 2014 Gosford Cup LR
2nd 2014 McKell Cup LR
3rd 2015 Lord Mayor's Cup LR
3rd 2017 Gosford Cup LR
3rd 2017 Winter Cup LR
3rd 2018 Tatts Cup LR
3rd 2018 Aust Day Cup LR
2nd 2018 Winter Cup LR

Just wonder if he can win with 7 above the limit in a field that is full of runners who have been doing quite well.

Waller and Waterhouse seem to be the key.

PoisonPen7 · « 2018-Sep-02, 06:33 AM **Reply #1008** »

Race 8 - 4:57PM PACIFIC NATIONAL MOREE CUP (1400 METRES)

Of $40,000.1st $19,700, 2nd $7,150, 3rd $3,750, 4th $2,200, 5th $1,300, 6th $1,100, 7th $1,000, 8th $1,000, 9th $1,000, 10th $1,000, Equine Welfare Fund $400, Jockey Welfare Fund $400.

Handicap, Minimum Weight 54kg, Apprentices can claim.
BOBS Bonus Available Up To $9625

No	Last 10	Horse	Trainer	Jockey	Barrier	Weight(kg)
1	3x40006801	BROTHERLY SECRET	Shane Edmonds	Matthew McGuren	4	61
2	1631x06041	OGGIE	Scott Rodgers	Christopher Bryen	3	61
3	1060x30662	DESERT MARSHAL	Jane Clement	Ms Mikayla Weir(a0/51kg)	6	59.5
4	1006x09x0x	DISTINCTIVE LOOK	David J Smith	Ashley Morgan	15	59.5
5	x0x9468210	LANDMARKS	Scott Cumming	Jodi Worley	16	59
6	5162x47193	NARANJA	Pat Webster	Ms Zoe White(a0/52.5kg)	13	57
7	13753010x3	ELJETEM	Rochelle Smith	Josh Oliver	8	56
8	74x4196114	SKYSCRAPER	Mark Mason	Ben Looker	14	56
9	037473x818	FREE BILLY	Peter Sinclair	Geoffrey Snowden	10	55.5
10	9050587415	MELTED MOMENTS	Paul Grills	Allan Chau	9	55
11	x3084106x0	LONELY ORPHAN	Lesley Jeffriess	Ms Leanne G Henry	17	54
12	8x12122276	ROCKATORIO	Nathan Sinclair	Blake Spriggs	11	54
13	98x0791567	BAROQUE GIRL	Peter Sinclair	Ms Skye Bogenhuber	7	54
14	991718x729	MOONLIGHT SPY	Sue Grills	Ms Belinda Hodder	1	54
15e	3x27111316	TRACK FLASH	Peter Sinclair	Ms Wendy Peel(a2/50kg)	5	54
16e	1407510841	APACHE LAD	Colin Dixon	Brooke Stower	2	54
17e	5446x60747	ZATIGEROO	Bryan Dixon		12	54

A lot of pace in this race. #1 Brotherly's Secret will want to lead as will #5 Landmarks from barrier 16. #8 Skyscraper will also want to be pushing forward from out wide.

If Skyscraper were to guaranteed get some luck I would have it on top.

Looking for a run on horse here. #3 Desert Marshall meets Broth. Secret 4 kg better for being beaten 1.75 over 1300m last start. #4 Distinctive Look is a dual Highway winner who might have had some problems since then. Looked to be given a big hit out in a 1000m trial at Bathurst.

PoisonPen7 · « 2018-Sep-13, 06:06 PM **Reply #1009** »

Race 7 - 4:35PM SHARP ELECTRONICS GROUP NEWCASTLE GOLD CUP (2300 METRES)

Of $200,000.1st $113,800, 2nd $37,600, 3rd $18,300, 4th $8,900, 5th $4,900, 6th $2,500, 7th $2,500, 8th $2,500, 9th $2,500, 10th $2,500, Equine Welfare Fund $2,000, Jockey Welfare Fund $2,000. GROUP 3

No	Last 10	Horse	Trainer	Jockey	Barrier	Weight	Hcp Rating
1	27x56164x5	AUVRAY (FR)	Richard Freedman	Tye Angland	4	59.5kg	109
2	63x0513206	DESTINY’S KISS	Joseph Pride	Jay Ford	8	58kg	106
3	34157x2441	CARZOFF (FR)	Chris Waller	Kerrin McEvoy	7	54kg	97
4	6313882218	FIRST CRUSH	Chris Munce	Mark Du Plessis	11	54kg	97
5	03x9724115	HARPER’S CHOICE	Gerald Ryan	Brenton Avdulla	13	54kg	97
6	310x5580x0	CISMONTANE (NZ)	Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott	Glyn Schofield	14	54kg	95
7	60x7298842	DARK EYES	Gai Waterhouse & Adrian Bott	Tim Clark	1	54kg	95
8	61246x8068	VASSAL (GB)	Chris Waller	Michael Walker	5	54kg	92
9	0151330x00	PERIBSEN (IRE)	John O'Shea	SCRATCHED	10	54kg	90
10	731x783789	GRAND DREAMER	Darren Weir	Corey Brown	9	54kg	88
11	6356172523	MONGOLIAN WOLF	Darren Weir	Andrew Gibbons	2	54kg	86
12	532x108x04	GOATHLAND (IRE)	Kim Waugh	Tommy Berry	12	54kg	85
13	4111x51270	JUST SHINE (NZ)	Clare Cunningham	Jason Collett	3	54kg	83
14	21x8748613	SEGENHOE (NZ)	Clare Cunningham	Christian Reith	6	54kg	76

wily ole dog · « 2018-Sep-13, 07:53 PM **Reply #1010** »

Cracking good meeting

PoisonPen7 · « 2018-Sep-16, 01:14 AM **Reply #1011** »

Race 8 - 4:52PM DUBBO CITY TOYOTA GOLD CUP (1600 METRES)

Of $60,000.1st $28,400, 2nd $10,600, 3rd $5,500, 4th $3,600, 5th $2,400, 6th $1,800, 7th $1,625, 8th $1,625, 9th $1,625, 10th $1,625, Equine Welfare Fund $600, Jockey Welfare Fund $600.

No	Last 10	Horse	Trainer	Jockey	Barrier	Weight(kg)	Benchmark
1	168x867121	GAUGUIN (NZ)	John Sargent	Jeff Penza	20	61	86
2	556236x010	SIR BARB (NZ)	Clare Cunningham	SCRATCHED	17	60.5	85
3	1313x49123	A MAGIC ZARIZ	Cecil Hodgson	Ms Winona Costin	2	59.5	83
4	935423x350	DISTURBANCE (NZ)	Barbara Joseph, Paul & Matt Jones	Mathew Cahill	9	57.5	79
5	71106x7342	RED KNOT	Rodney Northam	Serg Lisnyy	18	57	78
6	5157x37405	ALL BUT GONE	Damien Lane		16	56	76
7	351818x073	MAKEADANE	John P Thompson	Sam Weatherley(a0/53.5kg)	14	56	76
8	006x09x0x0	DISTINCTIVE LOOK	David J Smith	Ashley Morgan	7	55.5	75
9	2x5x367287	MARQUEE	Luke Pepper	Robbie Dolan(a2/49kg)	10	55.5	75
10	216277x056	MIAMI DADE	Brett Cavanough	James Innes Jnr	3	55.5	75
11	31x26048x9	STEAMIN’	Michael Mulholland	Andrew Banks	11	55	74
12	12x6244331	WILD CAVALIER	Gayna Williams	Anthony Cavallo	19	54.5	73
13	1854681095	MARABEL	Wendy Roche	SCRATCHED	15	54	74
14	6827x912x2	ANNECY	Don & Andrew Ryan	Ms Eleanor Webster-Hawes	5	54	73
15	722311x251	MAGIC OVER THE BAY	Wayne Collison	Greg Ryan	13	54	71
16	3084106x05	LONELY ORPHAN	Lesley Jeffriess	Ms Leanne G Henry	1	54	67
17e	32x6351225	GO THE GANTRY	Gayna Williams	Grant Buckley	6	54	66
18e	2212679740	MISTER MARMALADE	Danny Williams	SCRATCHED	8	54	64
19e	370x952696	WELCOME ART	Andrew Molloy		12	54	63
20e	4515346661	DAPPERIZED	Gayna Williams	Ms Mikayla Weir(a0/51kg)	4	54

PoisonPen7 · « 2018-Sep-18, 03:34 AM **Reply #1012** »

Good meeting at Kembla tomorrow.

Kembla

R1 #1 Charm Offensive - top rater who is in well at the weights. Should have enough pace to get an OK sit here from the wide barrier as a few of these are slow. #4 His Kingdom was placed in his only start in a feature 2YO race at Muswellbrook.

R2 #5 Sebring Express - if anywhere near it's top will go close on best rated run when placed in town. 2nd to Saturday's Brisbane winner Goldfinch in a trial.

R3 there is a lot of pace and if they ride #4 Nai'a with patience might get the drop on them. #2 Kathmandu has never been out fo a place in 7 runs and has a second to Stella Victoria in the formlines (another Brisbane winner on Saturday!!)

R4 Extremely open race where I put a line through 5, 8 and afew down the bottom and gave everything else a chance. The two favourites are niclkey bred but too short in this field for mine.

R5 #8 Semper Videlis resumed like a new horse and Waller horses when they hit their form usually maintain it. This looks ideal placement and has drawn 4 where it will get a nice sit.

R6 Favourites all look a chance but no fun in the odds. Interesting debut runner in #10 Sparkling Rose by Charge Forward and which is related to Grosvenor and National Gallery as well as a direct female line to Gay Poss who was a very good horse all those years ago.

R7 I thought #10 Ligulate looked excellent each way value at the $5 given it ran 2nd to Stakes winner Futooh then 5th to Slipper winner Estijaab before a spell. Won it's maiden then 5th in town to Reginae beaten only 2.9 lengths when got too far back.

BEST: R5 #8 into each way R7 #10

Parlay R1, R3, R5 and R7.

wily ole dog · « 2018-Sep-18, 07:33 AM **Reply #1013** »

Only 2 for me today
Cool and Neat, now ready after arriving back fro: HK

Quinny in the last. Sky Boy drawn badly & ligulate drawn perfectly in the last

PoisonPen7 · « 2018-Oct-04, 12:39 AM **Reply #1014** »

That is an interesting runner in Race 3 at Gosford tomorrow.

NZ trainer Stephen Marsh has a couple in at the meeting with R3 #8 Mark Two last start running 5th in the NZ Oaks behind Savvy Coup. Prior to that only 3 starts including a 2nd and a 4th at Group 2 level.

Gets into the set weights maiden over a mile on the limit. $1.50 means it is too short to back but should be interesting viewing.

PoisonPen7 · « 2018-Oct-04, 06:26 PM **Reply #1015** »

Quote from: PoisonPen7 on 2018-Oct-04, 12:39 AM

That is an interesting runner in Race 3 at Gosford tomorrow.

NZ trainer Stephen Marsh has a couple in at the meeting with R3 #8 Mark Two last start running 5th in the NZ Oaks behind Savvy Coup. Prior to that only 3 starts including a 2nd and a 4th at Group 2 level.

Gets into the set weights maiden over a mile on the limit. $1.50 means it is too short to back but should be interesting viewing.

Stephen Marsh ended up with two winners at Gosford today.

PoisonPen7 · « 2018-Oct-04, 06:30 PM **Reply #1016** »

Race 7 - 4:40PM 2018 CARLTON DRAUGHT PORT MACQUARIE CUP (2000 METRES)

Of $150,000.1st $76,500, 2nd $27,500, 3rd $13,250, 4th $6,750, 5th $5,000, 6th $4,000, 7th $3,500, 8th $3,500, 9th $3,500, 10th $3,500, Equine Welfare Fund $1,500, Jockey Welfare Fund $1,500.

Quality, Minimum Weight 55kg, Weight Raised 1kg, Apprentices cannot claim.
BOBS&BOBS Extra Bonus available: $22,500

No	Last 10	Horse	Trainer	Jockey	Barrier	Weight
1	2x108x0444	GOATHLAND (IRE)	Kim Waugh	Jay Ford	7	58kg
2	7769x69132	SHALMANESER	Richard Freedman	Andrew Adkins	1	58kg
3	162x743622	EXOTERIC (GB)	Chris Waller	Tommy Berry	10	57kg
4	48x2511265	GOLD AMBITION (NZ)	Michael Costa	Ben Looker	5	54kg
5	40x648x056	SOCIAL ELEMENT (NZ)	Gai Waterhouse	James Innes Jnr	3	54kg
6	x879080970	LOVING HOME (GB)	Tess Wilkes	Ms Rachael Murray	15	54kg
7	4x46456433	VALENTINO ROSSA	Jason Coyle	Sam Weatherley(a)	12	54kg
8	333152x678	BACKHOUSE BILLY	Jenny Graham	Peter Graham	2	54kg
9	6126615521	LADY EVELYN	Jason Deamer	Andrew Gibbons	4	54kg
10	9630159343	DEW DROP	SCRATCHED		13	54kg
11	7606362523	HIS KYLLACHY (IRE)	Tess Wilkes	Robert Thompson	14	54kg
12	1609249135	PACKEN	Gerard Jenkinson	Josh Adams	11	54kg
13	52x435x721	MARY’S GIRL	Julie Pratten	Matthew Paget	9	54kg
14	412x054362	FINANCIAL	Tony Ball	Grant Buckley	8	54kg
15e	6608467807	FASTQUEST (IRE)	SCRATCHED		6	54kg

PoisonPen7 · « 2018-Oct-04, 06:43 PM **Reply #1017** »

Track is currently a Soft 5. Weather is listed as "Fine".

Intuitively I don't know if the 3 topweights have been given enough weight to equalize the race.

#1 Goathland and #2 Shalmaneezer carried 53.5 and 53 resp. in the Group 3 won by the Melbourne horse Miss Admiration a couple of Saturdays ago.

#3 Exoteric comes off the back of very consistent Brisbane Open class form.

The best performed of those on the minimum weight are #9 Lady Evelyn (won a BM-70 in the city with the same weight), #7 Valentino Rossa (3rd with 59.5 kg in the same race - drops 5.5 kg here) and #5 Social Element trained by Gai and Adrian and a close 6th to The Lord Mayor in a Saturday BM88 last start. He will carry 1 kg more.

I'd be prepared to put a line through the rest. Mary's Girl only won her maiden last start.

I'll go at this stage (really would like to see a few races first because the track can display bias some days - either on the rails or out wide).

7-2-1-5-3-9

That is a really favourable weight drop for VR but he has a poor win strike rate. Best strike rate among those is Exoteric

wily ole dog · « 2018-Oct-04, 06:53 PM **Reply #1018** »

I think rain is on the way

ratsack · « 2018-Oct-04, 09:58 PM **Reply #1019** »

im heading to my first meeting at Kembla Grange on Saturday , in the members with a couple of other Character's

any tips excepted

PoisonPen7 · « 2018-Oct-05, 07:23 AM **Reply #1020** »

Quote from: ratsack on 2018-Oct-04, 09:58 PM

im heading to my first meeting at Kembla Grange on Saturday , in the members with a couple of other Character's

any tips excepted

See what I can come up with mate. Enjoy the day and say G'day to Spudda and Chuggers for me.

Hope it still goes ahead. If not give me a bell if you want to catch up in the Shire somewhere. Cronulla Leagues have a nice setup.

Cheers.

PoisonPen7 · « 2018-Oct-05, 07:38 AM **Reply #1021** »

Quote from: PoisonPen7 on 2018-Oct-04, 06:43 PM

Track is currently a Soft 5. Weather is listed as "Fine".

Intuitively I don't know if the 3 topweights have been given enough weight to equalize the race.

#1 Goathland and #2 Shalmaneezer carried 53.5 and 53 resp. in the Group 3 won by the Melbourne horse Miss Admiration a couple of Saturdays ago.

#3 Exoteric comes off the back of very consistent Brisbane Open class form.

The best performed of those on the minimum weight are #9 Lady Evelyn (won a BM-70 in the city with the same weight), #7 Valentino Rossa (3rd with 59.5 kg in the same race - drops 5.5 kg here) and #5 Social Element trained by Gai and Adrian and a close 6th to The Lord Mayor in a Saturday BM88 last start. He will carry 1 kg more.

I'd be prepared to put a line through the rest. Mary's Girl only won her maiden last start.

I'll go at this stage (really would like to see a few races first because the track can display bias some days - either on the rails or out wide).

7-2-1-5-3-9

That is a really favourable weight drop for VR but he has a poor win strike rate. Best strike rate among those is Exoteric

Have changed my mind with the weather and looking at the last meeting on a slow track where the ones on the fence won most races.

#2 Shalmaneezer has the superior wet track credentials. Was only beaten 1.5 into 3rd place in the harder Gosford Cup. Followed that up with a close 2nd to Miss Admiration in a Group 3 at Rosehill.

From barrier 1 should be close to the rails either just behind the pace or making it. Is in peak form with the biggest margin beaten this 5 run campaign being 3.4 lengths thus far.

And as observed before these three at the top of the weights look to be in pretty well at the weights with the 54 kg limit - if it were the old days with a 48 kg limit a lot of the ones on the bottom would get that weight so are at a distinct disadvantage. And the trainer is fast making a good reputation as a conditioner of horses.

Earlier in the meeting spotted the topweight #1 Brother Magic in the first race who should be on the pace for his second race start having placed on a slow track at the course and distance on debut. Goes from handicap to set weights maiden which should eliminate a few of those down the list. Currently $11.

#12 Malea Magic as the get out bet in the last.

wily ole dog · « 2018-Oct-05, 09:00 AM **Reply #1022** »

PP
Is it unusual for the fence to be the spot? I seem to recall thy always came down the outside fence at Port when it was wet. Maybe that was before the renovations

PoisonPen7 · « 2018-Nov-01, 11:08 AM **Reply #1023** »

Quote from: wily ole dog on 2018-Oct-05, 09:00 AM

PP
Is it unusual for the fence to be the spot? I seem to recall thy always came down the outside fence at Port when it was wet. Maybe that was before the renovations

Don't like the track at all for punting purposes.

Some days they arrive down the outside fence. Others they don't and the leaders on the turn seem to be at an advantage.

And all up it is a very short tight turning track. They recently spent a heap on it. Track is very close to town so no chance of expanding it. They could sell it for a bomb and use the money to renovate Wauchope down the road but I'm sure trainers like Jenny Graham would have something to say about that.

PoisonPen7 · « 2018-Nov-01, 11:18 AM **Reply #1024** »

There is a 3yo filly that won on debut for Johnny Sargent going around in Gosford Race 6 #7 Katie Did It (in the Gerry Harvey colours and no doubt Katie refers to his wife Katie Page - granddam was the racecaller's nightmare horse Kakakakatie who won two stakes races).

Jumps up to FM Class 1 but a lot to like about it's strong finish on debut. 2nd horse in that race is twice placed in town. Gai's horse has good form but will carry the full grandstand.

https://racing.racingnsw.com.au/FreeFields/VideoResult.aspx?MeetDate=2018Oct21&VenueCode=MTM0NTA1&RaceNumber=1&MeetingCategory=Professional&VideoFileType=Last400m