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Sydney Racing Selections - N.S.W Gallops - Racehorse TALK

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Offline fours

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« 2019-Mar-16, 05:39 PM Reply #1325 »
Gintara,

1 win and 1 3rd in last 10 starts on dead or good tracks versus 3 out of 4 within 2.5l of the winner in last 4 starts on soft or heavy before today and those 4 were all G1 and G2.

Fours


Offline PoisonPen7

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« 2020-Feb-29, 11:02 AM Reply #1326 »
Race 6 - 3:50PM HEINEKEN 3 SURROUND STAKES (1400 METRES)

Of $500,000.1st $287,000, 2nd $94,000, 3rd $49,500, 4th $22,250, 5th $12,250, 6th $5,000, 7th $5,000, 8th $5,000, 9th $5,000, 10th $5,000, Equine Welfare Fund $5,000, Jockey Welfare Fund $5,000. GROUP 1
Set Weights, Three-Years-Old, Fillies, Apprentices cannot claim.


No Last 10 Horse Trainer Jockey Barrier Weight
1 312x2914x1 FLIT James Cummings Hugh Bowman 7 56kg
2 113x4274x2 LYRE Anthony Freedman Kerrin McEvoy 2 56kg
3 41130x05x3 KIAMICHI James Cummings Ms Rachel King 6 56kg
4 11x211x FUNSTAR Chris Waller James McDonald 14 56kg
5 165x422x11 PROBABEEL (NZ) Jamie Richards Opie Bosson 5 56kg
6 11x5552x0 MISSILE MANTRA Peter & Paul Snowden Brenton Avdulla 1 56kg
7 1111 HOW WOMANTIC Ciaron Maher & David Eustace Jye McNeil 13 56kg
8 13x1131x XILONG Tony & Calvin McEvoy Glen Boss 12 56kg
9 23x2111x7 AKARI Brad Widdup Christian Reith 11 56kg
10 612x522x BETCHA FLYING Chris Waller Jason Collett 10 56kg
11 211x1 HEART OF THE OAK Gerald Ryan Tim Clark 3 56kg
12 0x21346x5 EMERALDS John Sargent Ben Melham 8 56kg
13 3x123x SAAS FEE Gerald Ryan Joshua Parr 9 56kg
14 76x22917x ASPECT RATIO John Sargent Andrew Adkins 4 56kg

The top 5 are in our list of 3YOs.

Probabeel was a distant second to Funstar in the Flight but might have a fitness advantage.

Flit is the one for me. Cannot fault her form.

Lyre and Kiamichi have to display that they have progressed from their 2YO days IMO.

Offline wily ole dog

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« 2020-Feb-29, 11:09 AM Reply #1327 »
PP, Flit was do good first up.

I'll forgive missile mantra the poor rum on the wet last start for my exotics

Offline PoisonPen7

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« 2020-Feb-29, 11:09 AM Reply #1328 »
Race 7 - 4:30PM TAB CHIPPING NORTON STAKES (1600 METRES)

Of $600,000.1st $344,000, 2nd $114,000, 3rd $58,000, 4th $28,000, 5th $14,000, 6th $6,000, 7th $6,000, 8th $6,000, 9th $6,000, 10th $6,000, Equine Welfare Fund $6,000, Jockey Welfare Fund $6,000. GROUP 1
Standard Weight for Age, Three-Years-Old and Upwards, Apprentices cannot claim.


No Last 10 Horse Trainer Jockey Barrier Weight
1 11x42147x5 AVILIUS (GB) James Cummings Hugh Bowman 8 59kg
2 2284x231x3 HAPPY CLAPPER Patrick Webster Tommy Berry 10 59kg
3 111x2223x1 TE AKAU SHARK (NZ) Jamie Richards Opie Bosson 13 59kg
4 132x1205x2 DREAMFORCE John Thompson Blake Shinn 4 59kg
5 6720x211x2 FIERCE IMPACT (JPN) Matthew Smith Brenton Avdulla 6 59kg
6 4x13141x0x DANCETERIA (FR) Kris Lees Kerrin McEvoy 14 59kg
7 2172x1260x HOMESMAN (USA) Anthony Freedman Ben Melham 2 59kg
8 11112617x9 COME PLAY WITH ME Chris Waller Joshua Parr 7 59kg
9 24x03374x6 LIFE LESS ORDINARY (IRE) Chris Waller Jason Collett 1 59kg
10 11x65800x8 ANGEL OF TRUTH Gwenda Markwell Sam Clipperton 11 59kg
11 5x5015222x CARIF Peter & Paul Snowden Tim Clark 12 59kg
12 21112x DJUKON (GB) Chris Waller Glyn Schofield 5 58.5kg
13 111x9410x4 VERRY ELLEEGANT (NZ) Chris Waller James McDonald 9 57kg
14 237x5955x5 DANZDANZDANCE Chris Waller Glen Boss 3 57kg

Avilius seems to prefer the Sydney way of going.

Fierce Impact looked gone behind Alabama Express but got going late to run 2nd and that might be the formline here.

Old Happy Clapper will give his honest best over his favourite track and distance.

A few other chances as well. Te Akau Shark is in a lot of the feature markets.

Offline fours

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« 2020-Feb-29, 04:50 PM Reply #1329 »
Hmmm,

I can fault flits form!

Fours

Offline PoisonPen7

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« 2020-Feb-29, 05:38 PM Reply #1330 »
Hmmm,

I can fault flits form!

Fours

Probabeel was a distant second to Funstar in the Flight but might have a fitness advantage.

Flit is the one for me. Cannot fault her form.


- well I wasn't that far amiss.

Geez fours, you are pretty good at coming on after the race - how about some input before the result is known.....

Offline fours

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« 2020-Feb-29, 06:05 PM Reply #1331 »
PP7,

Just having a laugh.

Bookies took a pasting at Flemington.

Fours

Offline PoisonPen7

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« 2020-Mar-04, 02:33 PM Reply #1332 »
There are 3 horses in at Randwick today by the wet track sire Not A Single Doubt, and the track is a Soft 7.

The first two won the first two races.

Will be a 100% record if Montserrat wins the 5th race.

Offline PoisonPen7

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« 2020-Mar-05, 12:25 AM Reply #1333 »
These two races are both worth $500,000. One is Group 1 and the other is Group 2. The Group 2 looks by far the better race. The Handicappers ratings back that up.

The Bostonian ($12) doesn't mind it wet. Small field but looks a good betting race with Alizee, Savitiano and Standout engaged.

Race 5 - 3:05PM HEINEKEN 3 CANTERBURY STAKES (1300 METRES)

Of $500,000.1st $287,000, 2nd $94,000, 3rd $49,500, 4th $22,250, 5th $12,250, 6th $5,000, 7th $5,000, 8th $5,000, 9th $5,000, 10th $5,000, Equine Welfare Fund $5,000, Jockey Welfare Fund $5,000. GROUP 1
Standard Weight for Age, Three-Years-Old and Upwards, Apprentices cannot claim.


No Last 10 Horse Trainer Jockey Barrier Weight Hcp Rating
1 1200x6101x MISTER SEA WOLF (IRE) Chris Waller Brenton Avdulla 4 59kg 111
2 x110x9358x THE BOSTONIAN (NZ) Tony Pike Nash Rawiller 1 59kg 110
3 111x161x77 BEGOOD TOYA MOTHER Daniel Bowman Declan Bates 3 59kg 107
4 06x1374x21 ALIZEE James Cummings Hugh Bowman 7 57kg 115
5 213x4101x1 SAVATIANO James Cummings James McDonald 2 57kg 112
6 x610190x32 WHITE MOSS Jason Coyle Ms Kathy O'Hara 6 57kg 107
7 1112x1 STANDOUT Gerald Ryan Tommy Berry 5 56kg 104

Nature Strip is the even money favourite but it is a long way up that Randwick rise, especially with a track lover like Santa Ana Lane running on. Old Redzel also is back at his favourite track and Deprive is right in this.

Race 6 - 3:45PM HYLAND RACE COLOURS CHALLENGE STAKES (1000 METRES)

Of $500,000.1st $287,000, 2nd $94,000, 3rd $49,500, 4th $22,250, 5th $12,250, 6th $5,000, 7th $5,000, 8th $5,000, 9th $5,000, 10th $5,000, Equine Welfare Fund $5,000, Jockey Welfare Fund $5,000. GROUP 2
Standard Weight for Age, Three-Years-Old and Upwards, Apprentices cannot claim.


No Last 10 Horse Trainer Jockey Barrier Weight Hcp Rating
1 1x514x225x SANTA ANA LANE Anthony Freedman Mark Zahra 7 58.5kg 119
2 014x4141x4 NATURE STRIP Chris Waller James McDonald 1 58.5kg 117
3 2862x138x2 REDZEL Peter & Paul Snowden Kerrin McEvoy 2 58.5kg 117
4 x19x3022x0 BALL OF MUSCLE Joseph Pride Glyn Schofield 6 58.5kg 108
5 x11x12714x DEPRIVE James Cummings Hugh Bowman 5 58.5kg 107
6 13226x7x13 JUNGLE EDGE Mick Bell Ms Jade Darose 3 58.5kg 107
7 2132x721x0 MISS LEONIDAS Shaun Dwyer Joe Bowditch 4 56.5kg 107
8 117x7x2 I AM IMMORTAL Anthony Freedman Tim Clark 8 56kg 84



Offline wily ole dog

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« 2020-Mar-05, 06:39 AM Reply #1334 »
Looks like the rain will trash the meeting, yet again

Offline PoisonPen7

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« 2020-Mar-06, 01:56 AM Reply #1335 »
It might not be a good quality year for the Canterbury Stks but this race first run in 1929 has been won by some of the greats of the Australian Turf.

The very first running was won by Amounis, a contemporary of Phar Lap. Amounis won 27 Stakes (or Principal) races including the Caulfied Cup, Cox Plate and Epsom - all up 12 races that would be classified as Group 1 these days.

I'm surprised how many winners of the Canterbury Stks appear in our Champion's thread

Amounis
Chatham

Lough Neagh
Beau Vite
Katanga
Tea Rose
Shannon
San Domenico
Sky High
Broker's Tip
Baguette
Manikato
Placid Ark
Emancipation
All Our Mob
More Joyous

and maybe a few that were close to the list

Eskimo Prince
Up And Coming
Cabochon
Favoured
Leica Show
Hartshill
Romantic Dream
Turf Ruler (how did he win at Canterbury!)
At Sea
Sir Dapper
Shogun Lodge
Dance Hero
Happy Clapper

Multiple Winners Of Canterbury Stks

At Sea
        1988
        1989
Holdfast
        1930
        1931
        1932
More Joyous
        2011
        2012
San Domenico
        1950
        1951
Sky High
        1961
        1962


Offline PoisonPen7

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« 2020-Mar-06, 02:03 AM Reply #1336 »
Couldn't find any Turf Ruler videos on YouTube (loved that horse), but the 1988 Canterbury Stks - introduced by a young Billy Birmingham - was won by one of the most popular Sydney horses in my time, At Sea, when he was a 6yo.

He had great tactical speed demonstrated here. Field includes Our Waverly Star who had the memorable clash with Bonecrusher in the 1986 Cox Plate


Offline PoisonPen7

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« 2020-Mar-06, 02:21 AM Reply #1337 »
Been some fast horses win the Challenge, first run in 1906

Multiple Winners Of Challenge Stks

At Sea
        1985
        1986
        1987
Cangronde
        1997
        1998
English
        2016
        2017
Felbeam
        1945
        1946
Gay Gauntlet
        1967
        1969
Golden Hop
        1913
        1914
High Caste
        1940
        1942
Razor Sharp
        1982
        1983
        1984
San Domenico
        1949
        1950
Star Of Florida
        2003
        2004


Razor Sharp won 3 in a row then the next 3 years were won by At Sea.

I thought this race was originally a Tatts race run in January? Maybe even New Years Day or Australia Day?


Offline wily ole dog

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« 2020-Mar-06, 12:05 PM Reply #1338 »
At Sea won both of those races from 85 to 89 :clap2:
Anyone got his full record?

Amazing how many of these past greats disappear from modern day discussion

Offline PoisonPen7

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« 2020-Mar-07, 01:27 PM Reply #1339 »
Sydney track likely to be upgraded to a Slow 6.

And yet another Not A Single Doubt wins - Farnan makes it 3 wins and 1 second for NASD progeny past 4 Sydney metro runners on rain affected going.

Offline nemisis

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« 2020-Mar-28, 10:48 AM Reply #1340 »
Always an interesting exercise doing pedigrees on wet tracks.

Contrition is a long shot in today's Vinery but 1st time over 2000 metres for all the fillies on a wet track means breeding depth will count.
Having Montjeu on the paternal side and Shinko King on the maternal side.....surely worth a nibble.
Stamina won't  be a problem for her and slogging wet tracks can take class out of the equation......1st time right-handed is an unknown.

One way to look silly I suppose, is tipping $100 shots on racing forums.  :lol:

Let's hope there is no strong bias in the track today.

Offline PoisonPen7

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« 2020-Mar-29, 03:06 AM Reply #1341 »
Always an interesting exercise doing pedigrees on wet tracks.

Contrition is a long shot in today's Vinery but 1st time over 2000 metres for all the fillies on a wet track means breeding depth will count.
Having Montjeu on the paternal side and Shinko King on the maternal side.....surely worth a nibble.
Stamina won't  be a problem for her and slogging wet tracks can take class out of the equation......1st time right-handed is an unknown.

One way to look silly I suppose, is tipping $100 shots on racing forums.  :lol:

Let's hope there is no strong bias in the track today.

It's good fun trying to pick "mudders" according to breeding.

Winner of that race was by.......Not A Single Doubt. $16.

Offline nemisis

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« 2020-Mar-29, 11:06 AM Reply #1342 »
It's good fun trying to pick "mudders" according to breeding.

Winner of that race was by.......Not A Single Doubt. $16.
Great sire Not A Single Doubt.......2000 metres plus on wet ground ?.......I can't do it.

I keep seeing Rory's Jester in the pedigree......the big white Rory's Jester/ Crown Jester blaze in the breed is a constant reminder.

No big white blaze on Shout The Bar though and my zero account balance this morning is proof that 'trust what your eyes tell you a bit more than your head.'

I'm sure the Jimmy Choux filly, Two Illicit will have the measure of the Vinery field in The Oaks, although I will be having another few $'s each-way on Contrition.......just enough there.

Offline nemisis

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« 2020-Apr-05, 09:56 AM Reply #1343 »
The handicap ratings on yesterday's TJ Smith deserve praise........ no need to go looking for any 'inherent variance'  :biggrin:

In a very serious Group 1 sprint.....Nature Strip, Santa Ana Lane, Pierata took ratings of 118 into the race and Redzel 117.
Big boys certainly stood up there.

Trust the handicap ratings at WFA was on the first page of my racing 'rule  book'.......I need to go and find that book   :lol:  

Great run by Tofane off her 107 rating......surely a good race for her somewhere and Ocean Park proving to be a very good wet track stallion.

Offline fours

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« 2020-Apr-05, 11:38 AM Reply #1344 »
nemisis,

Waller himself told you when to expect variance with Nature Strip and when not to..... But that's kinder garden stuff.

Handling The Doncaster a but tougher.

Fours

Offline PoisonPen7

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« 2020-Apr-05, 08:38 PM Reply #1345 »
Great sire Not A Single Doubt.......2000 metres plus on wet ground ?.......I can't do it.

I keep seeing Rory's Jester in the pedigree......the big white Rory's Jester/ Crown Jester blaze in the breed is a constant reminder.

No big white blaze on Shout The Bar though and my zero account balance this morning is proof that 'trust what your eyes tell you a bit more than your head.'

I'm sure the Jimmy Choux filly, Two Illicit will have the measure of the Vinery field in The Oaks, although I will be having another few $'s each-way on Contrition.......just enough there.

First winner yesterday Doubtland continued the run of Not A Single Doubt's on wet tracks recently. Won like a horse who is up to better races too.

Last winner was by Rubick who now has over 20% win strike rate on wet tracks (23.6% this season). Rubisaki looks like a possible Everest contender if he keeps winning like that.

Offline PoisonPen7

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« 2020-Apr-12, 11:22 PM Reply #1346 »
The first few races at Warwick Farm tomorrow have some interesting runners. The prospect of a Heavy 8 or 9 makes it tough though.

R1 #1 Spokesman ran into G1 placegetter Prague on debut (soft track) then franked the form with a city maiden win before being put out. 5 kg above the limit is a steadier.

#3 Major Murphy - stablemate of Prague - looked 500-1 to win at the 200m mark on debut. Got back on the tight turning Wyong track but his sectionals over the last 100m must have been fantastic. Very strong at the end for a comfortable win. Big looking horse. Like the toppie is by Press Statement.

#5 Can Do It by No Nay Never (also the sire of #9) is on debut. 3 trials and looked very good in his second trial win then given a break and one more trial. Trainer Jean Dubois might have left something in the tank for his first start but he has struck a strong 2YO Hcp.

Grant Buckley performed a miracle to get #7 Glaciers up on debut. Also looked 500-1 at some point in the straight. Would think the extra 400m would be in her favour.

Waller has 4 in the race and the one right down the bottom #13 Xylaroo by I Am Invincible will also be suited by the 1300m and some weight relief.



In Race 2, both #7 Duenna and #14 Thinking Cap looked a little stiff last start - as did #12 So Charming on Saturday but assuming she will be scratched.

The favourite is the debut Snitzel filly #6 Archanna who looked like she never got out of 2nd gear in her last trial.

She is a half sister the The Autumn Sun so creates a lot of interest in this race.


In race 3 #5 Re Edit is 3rd up for Waller out to 2100m. Last campaign had two so-so runs before coming third to Master Of Wine 3rd up. Two so-so runs this time in. Soft track form reads 4:0-0-0 but all those have been early in the campaign over unsuitable distances. Won at the track on debut on a Heavy 8. Should get a nice run in the back half of the field from the rails barrier.

$10 each way in the 9 horse field hoping he is running on down the outside late.

Offline PoisonPen7

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« 2020-Apr-13, 01:25 PM Reply #1347 »
In Race 2, both #7 Duenna and #14 Thinking Cap looked a little stiff last start - as did #12 So Charming on Saturday but assuming she will be scratched.

The favourite is the debut Snitzel filly #6 Archanna who looked like she never got out of 2nd gear in her last trial.

She is a half sister the The Autumn Sun so creates a lot of interest in this race.


Archanna $2.45 to $6.00 (was shorter than that last night).

Fractious in the barriers. Vet inspection. Raced 3 deep tossing her head around.

Wins like The Autumn Sun.

Big future for her.

Offline Arsenal

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« 2020-Apr-21, 12:09 PM Reply #1348 »



This is as close to a photo finish that we can get ..it shows the finish of race 7 on Saturday ......Super Seth put in an enormous performance I'm on him @$5.50 the place and I was positive he ran third and looking at the image I can't believe the judge's decision which  went to Fasika on the inside...... I don't believe that Fasika beat Super Seth look at the image above and see if you agree.

Giddy Up :beer:

Offline sobig

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« 2020-Apr-21, 03:04 PM Reply #1349 »
Very close but expanding the image on the ATC site shows a very small but clear margin to Fasika


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