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Sydney Racing Selections - N.S.W Gallops - Racehorse TALK

Author Topic: Sydney Racing Selections  (Read 223128 times)

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Offline PoisonPen7

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« 2018-Apr-07, 02:36 PM Reply #1300 »
150-1 shot in the Sires. Beaten in a Newcastle maiden last start  :stop:


Offline fours

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« 2018-Apr-07, 05:25 PM Reply #1301 »
PP7,

Newcastle people will tell you that the are much higher class than Sydney...

Cessnock... not so much

Fours

Offline PoisonPen7

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« 2018-Apr-14, 12:13 PM Reply #1302 »
I have this great theory where there is track bias favouring the rails horses in the last 200m at Randwick then they come down the outside in the 2nd race.

Nothing wrong with the track  :confused1:

Online specialweek2

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« 2018-Apr-14, 04:04 PM Reply #1303 »
Why was the Japanese horse scr in Sydney Cup?

Offline PoisonPen7

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« 2018-Apr-14, 04:06 PM Reply #1304 »
Why was the Japanese horse scr in Sydney Cup?

Have to wait for the stewards report but something was wrong with it when it arrived behind the barriers.

Online sobig

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« 2018-Apr-14, 04:28 PM Reply #1305 »
Apparently Moreira was not happy with his action and asked the vets to examine.

Offline PoisonPen7

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« 2018-May-09, 11:59 AM Reply #1306 »
First four races at Warwick Farm today - all favourites ridden by Kerrin who is back in Sydney. Two for Waller. One for Snowden. One for Cummings.

I'm loading up  :)

Offline PoisonPen7

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« 2018-May-09, 12:54 PM Reply #1307 »
BANG!

First one never in doubt   :lol:

Offline PoisonPen7

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« 2018-May-16, 07:31 AM Reply #1308 »
At Warwick Farm today, we get what I call a "God Race".

There is no point studying the form for this race.

The outcome will be determined by God.

James McDonald has his return ride on an odds on shot R1 #1 Cormac.

If God is on his side and all is forgiven now the horse will win.

If God (and a few forum members who have little compassion) think he needs to be punished more then he will get beat.

There is no other determinant for the outcome of this race. I will be backing God and James and anchoring it in a few parlays.

Later on in the day I though R6 #2 Lipizzan would be primed for a first up win and will be looking to see if there is any backing for the Perry horse with the featherweight first up - #12 Painted Lady in that same race.

In the last if #2 Oxford Poet can get over to the lead without much effort he should be hard to run down. With horses like Osborne Bulls and Cradle Mountain in the formlines of Oxford Poet, it is hard to fathom how #9 is the early favourite.

Offline PoisonPen7

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« 2018-May-19, 02:08 AM Reply #1309 »
Race 3 at Rosehill tomorrow promises to be an exciting affair.

If they ride #7 Goldfinch the same tearaway way they did last start it will make for interesting viewing. #8 Sedition just nabbed him. 100m less and Goldfinch is 2.5 kg better off. $14 Goldfinch. $7.50 Sedition  :chin:

It was interesting that the well performed Chauffeur accepted with 60.5 kg then didn't make it past Friday Night. One of the effects of that is that the stablemate #6 Legadema carries 55.5 kg down from 59 and 59.5 kg last two starts.

But #9 Charlayne is up only 0.5 kg for being beaten 3.4 lengths by Houtzen in a G3 over the carnival. Looks like the best rated run in the race.

#2 Curdled was running around against Pierata up at the Gold Coast before a spell and his form is pretty good apart from that.

Favourite is the filly #5 Epidemic who has been placed in Listed company so should give a good sight.

Pretty good race for this time of year and for a 3YO BM82.

Offline PoisonPen7

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« 2019-Feb-09, 09:31 PM Reply #1310 »
Pretty sure you could have got $80 about Cisco Bay (winner of the last) yesterday.

Has started $6.50 with no deductions. Kristen Buchanen stable cleans up.

Offline wily ole dog

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« 2019-Feb-10, 06:44 AM Reply #1311 »
I know itís after the fact but I actually considered backing him. Thought I was being silly  :lol:

Offline ianb

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« 2019-Feb-10, 08:10 AM Reply #1312 »
Pretty sure you could have got $80 about Cisco Bay (winner of the last) yesterday.

Has started $6.50 with no deductions. Kristen Buchanen stable cleans up.

I can't understand how the market got this horse so wrong.

I had it marked as a possible winner as soon as the nominations came out on Monday. Cisco Bay had won second up in its previous preparation. Then it rained on Friday night to give the horse his preferred racing conditions.One of my punting acquaintances mentioned before the race that he had backed it at $60 on Thursday.  Another mentioned it had been tipped at $50 on the radio. All of this in a rather small pubtab in Queensland.

Sadly for me I did not take advantage of the good price on offer early. I simple took it in exotics on the day. They did pay quite well so I was satisfied with my effort.

Surely not enough effort was put into the form by those framing the market.

Offline fours

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« 2019-Feb-10, 09:09 AM Reply #1313 »
ianb

I have a pet theory that those framing the markets leave a few deliberate errors for themselves to clean up on.

There is also the factor of market manipulation  - the number of times a horse is forced out to >40/1 on the parimutuals that should be under 15/1 is more common than most realise. Takes less money than you would think to do this and for a rebate player thats not a problem anyway. Cleaning up on the exotics is the goal there.

Fours

Offline PoisonPen7

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« 2019-Feb-10, 09:15 AM Reply #1314 »
Paul Joice tipped it on Thursday Night on Formlines Extra (Thoroughbred Central) apparently.

Offline PoisonPen7

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« 2019-Feb-13, 12:04 PM Reply #1315 »
Race 6 - 3:50PM THE STAR APOLLO STAKES (1400 METRES)

Of $250,000.1st $140,250, 2nd $46,800, 3rd $22,700, 4th $11,125, 5th $6,125, 6th $4,000, 7th $3,500, 8th $3,500, 9th $3,500, 10th $3,500, Equine Welfare Fund $2,500, Jockey Welfare Fund $2,500. GROUP 2

Standard Weight for Age, Three-Years-Old and Upwards, Apprentices cannot claim.


No Last 10 Horse Trainer Jockey Barrier Weight
1 2x1213x75x HAPPY CLAPPER Patrick Webster Sam Clipperton 1 59kg
2 14656x641x PATRICK ERIN (NZ) Chris Waller Sam Weatherley(a) 4 59kg
3 22x332222x BRIMHAM ROCKS (GB) Chris Waller Jay Ford 5 59kg
4 8x260408x1 TOM MELBOURNE (IRE) Chris Waller Glyn Schofield 6 59kg
5 x111x1111x WINX Chris Waller Hugh Bowman 3 57kg
6 0121x6138x UNFORGOTTEN Chris Waller Kerrin McEvoy 8 57kg
7 521x53330x EGG TART Chris Waller Brenton Avdulla 7 57kg
8 768x83002x ALOISIA (NZ) Ciaron Maher & David Eustace Tim Clark 2 57kg

Offline PoisonPen7

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« 2019-Feb-13, 12:23 PM Reply #1316 »
Season Race Name Horse Trainer Jockey Weight Distance Time
2017/18 THE STAR APOLLO STAKES Group 2 ENDLESS DRAMA(IRE) Chris Waller  Tye Angland  59kg  1400 m 1:22.46 
2016/17 THE STAR APOLLO STAKES Group 2 WINX Chris Waller  Hugh Bowman  57kg  1400 m 1:22.57 
2015/16 OPTUS BUSINESS APOLLO STAKES Group 2 WINX Chris Waller  Hugh Bowman  57kg  1400 m 1:22.03 
2014/15 OPTUS APOLLO STAKES Group 2 CONTRIBUTER(IRE) John O'Shea  James McDonald  59kg  1400 m 1:22.09 
2013/14 SCHWEPPES APOLLO STAKES Group 2 APPEARANCE Guy Walter  Blake Shinn  57kg  1400 m 1:21.97 
2012/13 SCHWEPPES APOLLO STAKES Group 2 ALMA'S FURY Paul Murray  Blake Shinn  59kg  1400 m 1:27.32 
2011/12 HAKO AUSTRALIA APOLLO STAKES Group 2 RAIN AFFAIR Joseph Pride  Corey Brown  59kg  1400 m 1:22.34 
2010/11 APOLLO STAKES Group 2 MELITO Gerald Ryan  Brenton Avdulla  57kg  1400 m 1:22.28 
2009/10 WINNING EDGE PRESENTATIONS CLASSIC (APOLLO STAKES) Group 2 DANLEIGH Chris Waller  Hugh Bowman  59kg  1400 m 1:22.91 
2008/09 WINNING EDGE PRESENTATIONS CLASSIC Group 2 TUESDAY JOY(NZ) Gai Waterhouse  Blake Shinn  57kg  1400 m 1:25.78 
2007/08 WINNING EDGE PRESENTATIONS CLASSIC Group 2 RACING TO WIN John O'Shea  Hugh Bowman  59kg  1400 m 1:24.33 
2006/07 WINNING EDGE PRESENTATIONS CLASSIC Group 2 DESERT WAR Gai Waterhouse  Hugh Bowman  59kg  1400 m 1:22.23 
2005/06 BRIDE TO BE APOLLO STAKES Group 2 IKE'S DREAM John Hawkes  Darren Beadman  55.5kg  1400 m 1:22.15 
2004/05 APOLLO STAKES Group 2 GRAND ARMEE Gai Waterhouse  Danny Beasley  58kg  1400 m 1:21.06 
2003/04 APOLLO STAKES Group 2 PRIVATE STEER John O'Shea  Larry Cassidy  55.5kg  1400 m 1:23.54 
2002/03 APOLLO STAKES Group 2 LONHRO John Hawkes  Darren Beadman  58kg  1400 m 1:22.49 
2001/02 APOLLO STAKES Group 2 HA HA Gai Waterhouse  Jim Cassidy  52kg  1400 m 1:23.10 
2000/01 APOLLO STAKES Group 2 SUNLINE(NZ) Trevor McKee  Greg Childs  55.5kg  1400 m 1:25.45 
1999/00 APOLLO STAKES Group 2 SUNLINE(NZ) Trevor McKee  Greg Childs  55.5kg  1400 m 1:27.69 

Offline PoisonPen7

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« 2019-Feb-16, 11:33 AM Reply #1317 »
Paul Joice tipped it on Thursday Night on Formlines Extra (Thoroughbred Central) apparently.

He has tipped the toppie Almost Court in the last at Sydney as his best at odds - currently $17 fixed.

His best for the day is Race 2 #1 Nothin' Like Harry ($2.20 fixed).

The Duff's best at odds is Race 7 #9 Madam Rouge at $13 and his best for the day is Race 4 #10 Diplimatico ($2.70 fixed).

Tony Brassel's Sydney special is Race 8 #1 I Am Excited ($6)

Offline PoisonPen7

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« 2019-Feb-16, 11:55 AM Reply #1318 »
Reckon that first winner Tenley will be a big chance in the Slipper.

Just checked and TAB have still got it at $50 so had a snip.

Offline PoisonPen7

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« 2019-Mar-09, 01:57 PM Reply #1319 »
Reckon that first winner Tenley will be a big chance in the Slipper.

Just checked and TAB have still got it at $50 so had a snip.

Reminds me of Octagonal this girl. Not a 1200m horse but her class getting her through. A Meg Dor who can sprint. Pace on in the Slipper should suit but watch out when the distances get out over 1400m and longer.

$6 equal favourite in the Slipper after today's effort but probably better value at the same price in the Sires.


Offline wily ole dog

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« 2019-Mar-10, 06:46 AM Reply #1320 »
Well spotted PP

Offline tigerboy

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« 2019-Mar-10, 09:26 AM Reply #1321 »
Does look to be 1400m horse is best backed now to win Sires Produce $6 is alright.

Offline fours

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« 2019-Mar-16, 08:55 AM Reply #1322 »
Hmmm,

Coolmore Classic on a heavy track...

LAY Oregon's Day ( mum sunk in the wet - tiny hooves )

Bet Aloisia 2nd up in the wet performs well and in this distance range in particular ... found wanting in larger distances or off form and thus the price today

Fours

Offline fours

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« 2019-Mar-16, 04:08 PM Reply #1323 »
Well Well,

Close up 5th for Aloisia from barrier 20. Jockey stuck to his strategy so not blaming him but much closer than the price suggested.

Fours

Offline Gintara

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« 2019-Mar-16, 05:25 PM Reply #1324 »


Bet Aloisia 2nd up in the wet performs well and in this distance range in particular ... found wanting in larger distances or off form and thus the price today

Fours

After the fact I know 4s but I'd hardly say she performs well in the wet  :what: I've got her pegged as a dry tracker  :shy:

The stable have been open that she performs best in Sydney now with the change in drug rules.
« Last Edit: 2019-Mar-16, 05:35 PM by Gintara »


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