I am keen on Renew. Archie Alexander is a rising star in the Victorian training ranks and he did a fabulous job to take over the training of Renew from Marco Botti on short notice and turn his form around last spring. His recent form doesn't look much but it has been trackwork really. This has always been his target race and he gets into it extremely well at the weights particularly relative to the toppie. 2 miles is his go. He is a genuine stayer with no great turn of hoof but if the pace is genuine he will come into his own.
Taiyoo has been a tremendous racehorse this campaign but there are few negatives he needs to over come. 59kg is a lot of weight, 14 is not a great gate, and there has been some hard racing in his campaign and this is his first crack at 2 miles.
Renew looks to be more favoured.