2020 Magic Millions - 11th January - Qld Gallops - Racehorse TALK
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2020 Magic Millions - 11th January - Qld Gallops - Racehorse TALK

Author Topic: 2020 Magic Millions - 11th January  (Read 1422 times)

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Offline PoisonPen7

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O.P. « 2019-Dec-23, 11:11 PM »

Offline PoisonPen7

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« 2019-Dec-23, 11:18 PM Reply #1 »
There is a horse going around on Thursday on debut for the Snowdens at Randwick Race 1

#4 Lord Of War is impeccably bred by Snitzel out of dual Group 1 winning mare Secret Admirer who won an Epsom and a Flight and was placed 7 times at Group 1 level. LOW is her third foal to race with one of the three already a stakes winner.

Won a recent barrier trial at Kembla in strong fashion after a couple of OK efforts in trials in town not beaten very far.

He is $8.50 for Thursday's race but is $101 for the MMs. If you are going to back him then best to have a little on him at the 100's because a win on Thursday would just about qualify him.

Online Jeunes

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« 2019-Dec-24, 06:36 AM Reply #2 »
Alligator Blood is running in the Millions series. I have not read anything what is happening after the Millions as it will be his 3rd run after his Caulfield Guineas placing.

I honestly thought with a good spell, he would have been stronger to tackle some of the 1400-1600m races in Melbourne and Sydney in the autumn as he can race both ways quite effectively.

MM is weaker but the races like the Guineas, All Star Mile, Doncaster, Ryder, Orr, Futurity etc would have been right up his alley as he has a very good sprint and the fields bar the big miles are usually a lot smaller than the MM race.

Offline ianb

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« 2019-Dec-24, 10:22 AM Reply #3 »
He's a gelding.

The 3 year old magic millions race only comes around once and I believe it's worth $2 million and it does seem like he should be a certainty. So why not head in that direction and then hopefully go for a spell.

Next year he'll be 4 and the races you mention will still be there.


Offline PoisonPen7

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« 2019-Dec-24, 11:04 AM Reply #4 »
He's a gelding.

The 3 year old magic millions race only comes around once and I believe it's worth $2 million and it does seem like he should be a certainty. So why not head in that direction and then hopefully go for a spell.

Next year he'll be 4 and the races you mention will still be there.

Agree.

At this point of time, I'd be surprised if they were not thinking main targets MM 3yo and 2020 Golden Eagle for Alligator Blood, and perhaps even The Everest if he can pick up a slot.

Those races look to be ideal distances for him as does the Stradboke/Doomben 10,000 double.

AB might be best served avoiding Melbourne/Sydney next autumn - maybe late Sydney for early racing in prep for Brisbane winter?

Online Jeunes

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« 2019-Dec-24, 11:29 AM Reply #5 »
I dont disagree with the fact that MM is a softer target but with maximum runners, it is going to be trickier than smaller fields.

Offline PoisonPen7

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« 2019-Dec-24, 01:53 PM Reply #6 »
But in MM races and Golden Eagle he is running against his age peers at set weights.

That would more than counter the risk of big fields IMO.

Online Jeunes

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« 2019-Dec-24, 02:53 PM Reply #7 »
Donít get me wrong PP, I agree with you. It comes down to the money and to be blunt, MM is a soft option for him so I canít blame the connections and I would do the same. 

If you look at his race record, he had his first two starts this time last year. Then he did not race for around 8 months before racing 4 times in the spring including his close 2nd in the Caulfield Guineas.

He spelled and it was around 2 months since he reappeared. If you look at the history, most Guineas winners donít do much later on. Pierata is the only that sticks out in the last few years but he had solid spells too.

I am gathering he might be spelled after the Guineas but I could be wrong. He is a gelding which makes it easier for the owners to chase the money but maybe if rested, he might grow up more. Most spring 3yos donít measure up in the autumn as others do catch up like how some 2yos group 1 winners donít usually go well as 3yos.

https://www.magicmillions.com.au/winners/

Offline PoisonPen7

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« 2019-Dec-25, 12:34 PM Reply #8 »
On Saturday in Race 1 at Randwick, #7 Return With Honour debuts for Gerald Ryan.

It is a Fastnet Rock half to dual NZ G1 winner Sacred Star (Telegraph + Waikato sprint)

On the basis of a 6 length barrier trial win recently it is only $26 for the MM's - no value there IMO but interested to see it go around. $6 in early markets for Saturday's race.

Offline PoisonPen7

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« 2019-Dec-26, 10:35 PM Reply #9 »
On Saturday in Race 1 at Randwick, #7 Return With Honour debuts for Gerald Ryan.

It is a Fastnet Rock half to dual NZ G1 winner Sacred Star (Telegraph + Waikato sprint)

On the basis of a 6 length barrier trial win recently it is only $26 for the MM's - no value there IMO but interested to see it go around. $6 in early markets for Saturday's race.

Won't be winning on Saturday because he won today  :shy:

Jockey found a way to be posted 3 deep on Lord Of War from barrier 5 in an 8 horse race and the horse tired in the last 250m.

Offline Arsenal

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« 2020-Jan-07, 08:27 PM Reply #10 »
Barrier draws today for the MM feature races Saturday capacity fields and no favours in the draw will likely put an end to upsetting the favourite in the 2yo....after AIM drew in close 2.

https://racingaustralia.horse/FreeFields/Acceptances.aspx?Key=2020Jan11%2CQLD%2CAquis%20Park%20Gold%20Coast

Ladbrokes offering a very generous $6 AIM it's all in

https://www.ladbrokes.com.au/racing/gold-coast/future/42c79b48-eb77-4230-819a-72b188839f1a


Giddy Up :beer:
« Last Edit: 2020-Jan-07, 08:31 PM by Arsenal »

Online Jeunes

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« 2020-Jan-08, 06:48 AM Reply #11 »
Alligator Blood seems to be a moral if he runs to his best on the weekend. The big issue would be luck in running and unfortunately with big fields you never know as some are just making up the numbers form wise. But as we all know form can quickly turn run with the right run etc.

The weather also looks good for the weekend so lots of sweat and tears coming up.

Online Gintara

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« 2020-Jan-08, 12:20 PM Reply #12 »
Alligator Blood seems to be a moral if he runs to his best on the weekend. The big issue would be luck in running and unfortunately with big fields you never know as some are just making up the numbers form wise. But as we all know form can quickly turn run with the right run etc.

The weather also looks good for the weekend so lots of sweat and tears coming up.

Granted he looks good but $1.75 in a big field around the GC looks poison to me  :chin:

I'll save on him and take the $17 Hightail & $16 Exhilarates as better plays  8)

Offline wily ole dog

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« 2020-Jan-08, 01:08 PM Reply #13 »
Rove them in a F4 at those prices

Online Jeunes

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« 2020-Jan-08, 08:38 PM Reply #14 »
Granted he looks good but $1.75 in a big field around the GC looks poison to me  :chin:

I'll save on him and take the $17 Hightail & $16 Exhilarates as better plays  8)

I agree regarding the price. He is a good horse though. I might be watching the race without an interest.

Good article about his future races if he goes on to win etc.

https://www.racenet.com.au/news/alligator-blood--from-dangerous--yearling-to-star-performer-20200108

Online Gintara

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« 2020-Jan-09, 09:34 AM Reply #15 »
Rove them in a F4 at those prices

Never works for me Wily.

Having over 10 years worth of records on my bets, year in year out my profit comes from win betting.

Online Jeunes

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« 2020-Jan-09, 01:47 PM Reply #16 »
Never works for me Wily.

Having over 10 years worth of records on my bets, year in year out my profit comes from win betting.

Donít let your wife see it.   :lol:


Online Gintara

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« 2020-Jan-09, 02:36 PM Reply #17 »
Donít let your wife see it.   :lol:

She's learnt not to ask  8)  :whistle:

Offline wily ole dog

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« 2020-Jan-10, 05:33 PM Reply #18 »
Some good racing tomorrow.

Looks like a favoured runners day to me

Online specialweek2

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« 2020-Jan-11, 02:38 PM Reply #19 »
What happened b4 race 5? Why put back a race?

Online Gintara

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« 2020-Jan-11, 02:53 PM Reply #20 »
Accident on the freeway, a number of runners aren't at the track including Alligator Blood   :sweat:

Online specialweek2

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« 2020-Jan-11, 02:57 PM Reply #21 »
Accident on the freeway, a number of runners aren't at the track including Alligator Blood   :sweat:
Thanks G.

Online Gintara

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« 2020-Jan-11, 03:00 PM Reply #22 »
c/racenet - https://www.racenet.com.au/news/fuel-tanker-crash-creates-magic-millions-dramas-20200111


Ben Dorries
2:24PM
11 January 2020


Gold Coast Magic Millions 3YO Guineas favourite Alligator Blood was one of several horses stuck in transit to the Gold Coast with a fuel tanker crash closing the Pacific Highway in both directions.

Alligator Blood's trainer David Vandyke told stewards the float carrying the Queensland boom horse was caught up in the traffic chaos and the float had to seek an alternate route.

Alligator Blood, the Caulfield Guineas runner-up, is $1.70 for the Guineas which had been scheduled to be run at 3.15pm (Queensland time).

However stewards have decided the races will be put back one race to try to allow Alligator Blood and others stuck in traffic to arrive on course.

Due to his late arrival, which will be after the two-hour permitted cut-off for Magic Millions horses to be on course, Alligator Blood will now need special dispensation from stewards to take his place in the Guineas.

Alligator Blood was part of a police escort to get to the track and Channel Seven showed footage of him finally arriving.

Chief steward Peter Chadwick said he had been in contact with various trainers and there was no choice but to put the meeting back to try to be fair to everybody.

Two-year-old Magic Millions Classic runners Gotta Kiss, Dusty Tycoon and Kavak, all Queenslanders, are also caught up in the traffic dramas as is Mick Price and Michael Kent Jr-trained Euphoric Summer.

Police have declared an emegency situation with near Helensvale, just north of the Gold Coast.

Queensland Fire and Emergency Services are also on scene to assist paramedics and police with the spill from the 20,000 litre tank.

Authorities have warned southbound lanes could remain closed ďfor hoursĒ with traffic from Brisbane to the Gold Coast facing long delays.

Online Jeunes

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« 2020-Jan-11, 06:43 PM Reply #23 »
Super performance by Alligator Blood. Will be intrigued to see what they do with him. He had 3 runs in the summer. I think he be too good for them in 1200-1400m races while the Australian or Randwick Guineas will be a good test.

They also could spell him for the winter carnival then bring him for the later spring races in Sydney.

Offline sobig

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« 2020-Jan-11, 06:45 PM Reply #24 »
Trainer has on a few occasions indicated that the Australian Guineas would be the next target


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