M Costa is an up and coming trainer. He is striking this season at better than 20%. He has a reputation for placing his horses very astutely. His winners are often very heavily backed.
He has 2 runners in race 4 at Eagle Farm tomorrow, Malahide and Phobetor.
The opening fav is Vega One, at odds on.
Costa’s Malahide was the opening second fav.
Vega One and Malahide are stakes horses. Alongside the good mare, Manaya, Malahide would be just about the best performed horse in M Costa’s stable.
Vega One, Malahide and others in the race have ratings which are miles above that of Phobetor, whose 2 wins from 3 starts have come in restricted races at the Gold Coast.
In a handicap, Vega One would be required to give Phobetor 8.5kgs and Malahide would have to give him 4.5kgs.
As it happens, under the conditions of the race, Phobetor meets Vega One at level weights and has to give Malahide 2kgs.
M Cahill, who rides a lot for M Costa, won a trial on Phobetor and rode him to success on debut, rides Malahide tomorrow.
So why is Phobetor even in this race, when the astute trainer has his best 3yo running, with an obvious winning chance, and there must be a plethora of much weaker and more suitable options for Phobetor to go through his grades?
Buggered if I know. But someone apparently does, as Phobetor’s firmed from $15 on Wednesday to $5 with the TAB, and is now second fav to Vega One.