Author Topic: Horses to follow (Read 14104 times)

firezuki · « 2018-Oct-06, 05:19 PM **Reply #125** »

Avilius not as impressive today but still got there.

Not sure about him from a Melbourne Cup prospective distance wise but he did race closer today.

Find it strange that he is now outright favourite for the Cup.

wily ole dog · « 2018-Oct-06, 06:33 PM **Reply #126** »

He wasnt as impressive because he was under a strangle hold for way too long.
Big win and ridden differently he would have put 5 lengths on them

PoisonPen7 · « 2018-Oct-06, 11:01 PM **Reply #127** »

Quote from: firezuki on 2018-Oct-06, 05:19 PM

Avilius not as impressive today but still got there.

Not sure about him from a Melbourne Cup prospective distance wise but he did race closer today.

Find it strange that he is now outright favourite for the Cup.

Tail swisher. Won't get 3200m. People shouldn't waste their money

PoisonPen7 · « 2018-Oct-06, 11:14 PM **Reply #128** »

I thought the Weir 3YO Extra Brut is now the pick of the 3 year olds. That was a very dominant win in the UCI at only his 4th start in a race (3 wins and a 2nd) coming from as far back as Winx did.

He is by Domesday and is only the 2nd foal to race of his dam Dom Perion (by Redoutes). Nothing really stands out in the breeding but he does have some claim to be related to Lyphard on his dam side - 32 stakes winners of some of the best races around the planet during the 70s and 80s.

Still a colt so hope they keep him that way.

wily ole dog · « 2018-Oct-07, 08:49 AM **Reply #129** »

He certainly charged through the line like a good un

firezuki · « 2018-Oct-07, 07:05 PM **Reply #130** »

Quote from: wily ole dog on 2018-Oct-06, 06:33 PM

He wasnt as impressive because he was under a strangle hold for way too long.
Big win and ridden differently he would have put 5 lengths on them

YOu may be right and a four kilo drop won't hurt either.

PoisonPen7 · « 2018-Oct-08, 01:12 AM **Reply #131** »

What about the Weir 3YO filly Amphitrite? Can she win the Thousand Guineas?

The reason I ask is that I had a couple of lazy dollars on her at $81 in that race after reading an article on racing.com a month or two ago which had some advice on early feature bets. Wish I could remember who wrote the article

firezuki · « 2018-Oct-12, 06:50 AM **Reply #132** »

She impressed the hell out of me.

Gintara · « 2018-Oct-12, 12:02 PM **Reply #133** »

Quote from: firezuki on 2018-Oct-06, 05:19 PM

Avilius not as impressive today but still got there.

Not sure about him from a Melbourne Cup prospective distance wise but he did race closer today.

Find it strange that he is now outright favourite for the Cup.

Remember drops 4 or so kg into the MC.

Just needs some luck in the run with cover (like they all do) & he's got a turn of foot that will see him go a long way in a MC

Did I mention I'm on @ $170/1

PoisonPen7 · « 2018-Oct-12, 01:39 PM **Reply #134** »

Quote from: Gintara on 2018-Oct-12, 12:02 PM

Remember drops 4 or so kg into the MC.

Just needs some luck in the run with cover (like they all do) & he's got a turn of foot that will see him go a long way in a MC

Did I mention I'm on @ $170/1

Well done on the 170-1 mate.

I had him running in a stack of features via the Metrop at good odds as well.

I have some doubts about him seeing out a strong 3200m however. When Cummings said he was going to bypass The Metrop for The Bart Cummings I thought that was a "tell" that Cummings has the same view - he would have got a (say) 3.5 kg penalty for winning the Metrop which would have been enough to get him into the field but he chose the easier race.

He only fell in in the Bart Cummings beating two horses who will probably meet him on better terms if they get in.

But I'll cheer him on for you if he looks the winner at some stage

PoisonPen7 · « 2018-Oct-13, 02:17 PM **Reply #135** »

Quote from: PoisonPen7 on 2018-Oct-08, 01:12 AM

What about the Weir 3YO filly Amphitrite? Can she win the Thousand Guineas?

The reason I ask is that I had a couple of lazy dollars on her at $81 in that race after reading an article on racing.com a month or two ago which had some advice on early feature bets. Wish I could remember who wrote the article

Still not sure where I read the recommendation to back that horse. Could have been racing.com or Racing & Sports.

fours · « 2018-Oct-13, 03:45 PM **Reply #136** »

PP7,

The imbecile told us all.....

Fours

firezuki · « 2018-Oct-13, 04:11 PM **Reply #137** »

Quote from: firezuki on 2018-Oct-12, 06:50 AM

She impressed the hell out of me.

I sure did.

Authorized · « 2018-Oct-14, 03:19 PM **Reply #138** »

Race 9 - 10. SUPERA

K & B KELSO

Barrier 9
55.5kg (8st 10lb)

17 Oct 18 TE AROHA Race 09 - 04:29 1400m - Donaghys Pure Flush (Bm72)

[LR: 179 days]

Wins Pl Starts: 2 (33.3%) - 1 (16.7%) - 6

WPS Last 12 mths: 2 (40.0%) - 1 (20.0%) - 5

Good Tracks: 0 (0.0%) - 0 (0.0%) - 1

Dead Tracks: 2 (50.0%) - 1 (25.0%) - 4

Slow Tracks: no starts

Heavy Tracks: 0 (0.0%) - 0 (0.0%) - 1

All Weather: no starts

Distance +/-: 0 (0.0%) - 1 (100.0%) - 1

Crs & Distance: no starts

Your Black Book Comment: [Click to Edit Comment]

Authorized · « 2018-Oct-17, 07:12 PM **Reply #139** »

Race worth watching.

sobig · « 2018-Oct-17, 08:58 PM **Reply #140** »

Very similar to Sacred Falls beginning.

Gintara · « 2018-Oct-17, 09:10 PM **Reply #141** »

Quote from: wily ole dog on 2018-Aug-20, 04:21 PM

R1Gunnedah, wow.its a long way to the big smoke but this bloke will do it

Burning Crown

Next years Kosciuszko winner coming to town in a highway this week. Early markets look $3 into $2.1

wily ole dog · « 2018-Oct-18, 07:43 AM **Reply #142** »

He would have won it this year and we would have got a price

I wonder if connections were approached

wily ole dog · « 2018-Oct-26, 05:49 PM **Reply #143** »

Not sure if I want to follow him given his form but Writing Unexpected in the first at Canterbury just ran an amazing race.
Take a look at the replay