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Inflated fields – assessing the consequences about to unfold - Racing Talk - Racehorse TALK

Author Topic: Inflated fields – assessing the consequences about to unfold  (Read 40040 times)

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Offline wily ole dog

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« 2019-Apr-01, 06:21 AM Reply #200 »
Hunter is a poor tipster.

Lester exceptional

Offline Dave

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« 2019-Apr-04, 03:11 PM Reply #201 »
I don't believe this thread is still going,I thought it would have run out a long time ago.........
I would like to add that I love big fields where luck counts.....that is why it is called Gambling.......

lets take a poll.....how many times has Pete or Authorized or any other Punter on this forum backed Winx?

That is the only way to take luck out of the equation.......and even then she is still just flesh and Blood, you can never completely eliminate Luck.....if you did you would also eliminate Bookies and the TAB......if results were easy to pick for lazy morons you could never get a bet on............there needs to be 2 sides to make a contract.......it ain't rocket science, you know what they say.....if you can't stand the heat....get out of the Kitchen!!
Remember the story of King Midas, be careful of what you wish for
P.S. unlike Champs of the past, both Winx and Black Caviar are boooorrrriiiinnnng!........they should be racing for Ribbons cos that is all they are worth, they take away any semblance of competition.....and I appreciate they are magnificent horses and I love them for that.......but to want that kind of thing to run through our racing any more often.....is booorrring!

Offline wily ole dog

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« 2019-Apr-04, 03:35 PM Reply #202 »
Dave, the point lost on Mair and his brain farts is that the vast majority of races that he claims are affected by big field & interference is a total nonsense.
I’ve asked him to highlight interference in numerous races and he can’t or doesn’t.
The reason is he’s a bald faced liar pushing his own barrow.

Gutless, self centred, twits like him operate on the premise of throw plenty mud, not honesty

Offline Dave

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« 2019-Apr-04, 10:06 PM Reply #203 »
Yeah wily but gee you have to admire his tenacity.............he knows he is on his own but sticks to his guns, which is OK I am a lot like that myself but if others disagree with me I don't bang my head on a Brick wall until everyone agrees with me, I know I am right and that is all I care about........but only an idiot would waste their time trying to change what others think to the nth degree like Pete does
I am an Atheist but I would never try to convince the Pope there is no God, I figure he'll find out soon enough and I don't care that much anyway....

But Pete would be banging at the Door of the Vatican every day until the Pope conceded Pete was right.....not sure who would win that one but it would at least Keep Pete busy for a while??

Offline Peter Mair

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« 2019-May-16, 03:35 AM Reply #204 »


Shocking prospects for Saturday -- it could hardly be worse

Inflated fields all over for Saturday and the contest will be about the venue to show the biggest dividends -- the worst outcome for punters.

............ it is hard to go past Flemington  ................. it is mid year............... it is low grade filler  ......... and 5 of the 9 races are over 1400m.


Offline wily ole dog

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« 2019-May-16, 07:47 AM Reply #205 »
Poor Pete , You’re now lying to your self  :lol:

5 races over 1400m.
Field sizes of 11, 12,13,16 & 12

Under your much blurted brain farts that is on one race where the field is “inflated “ under your much spewed criteria of 14 maximum

You’ve tied your self in knots  :lol:

Offline Dave

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« 2019-May-16, 05:11 PM Reply #206 »
Pete you poor silly old fool, Good punters love big fields Stupid/Lazy Punters like some I could name may like small fields......but as the saying goes "God helps those who help themselves.....and Christ helps those that can't"......all I can say is Christ help Pete.....cos no one else can!

wily while I admire your tenacity almost as much as I admire Pete's.....but if Christ can't help Pete.....you are pushing the proverbial uphill trying to help him!

Offline Peter Mair

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« 2019-May-16, 06:05 PM Reply #207 »


5 races over 1400m. Field sizes of 11, 12,13,16 & 12


Races over 1400 m at both Flemington and Caulfield are notoriously unfair.

This is especially so for low-rated horses running in restricted low-grade races -- as on Saturday.

Acceptances for these races should be limited to 10 of which 2 would be emergencies -- 8 to start.

.......... in the normal course the no-hoper horses likely to run 10th will go to the front and hog the rails ....... and when they falter and fall back the runners there to win will be impeded.

The best chance for a favoured runner is to draw well and sit very handy to the turn and avoid the clutter.

Watch and see on Saturday!

Offline wily ole dog

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« 2019-May-16, 09:06 PM Reply #208 »

wily while I admire your tenacity almost as much as I admire Pete's.....but if Christ can't help Pete.....you are pushing the proverbial uphill trying to help him!

It’s good sport watching the idiot embarrass himself  :lol:

Offline wily ole dog

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« 2019-May-16, 09:10 PM Reply #209 »

5 races over 1400m. Field sizes of 11, 12,13,16 & 12


Races over 1400 m at both Flemington and Caulfield are notoriously unfair.


.......... in the normal course the no-hoper horses likely to run 10th will go to the front and hog the rails ....... and when they falter and fall back the runners there to win will be impeded.

The best chance for a favoured runner is to draw well and sit very handy to the turn and avoid the clutter.

Watch and see on Saturday!

You’ ve provided zero proof of this brain fart on the previous 300 times you’ve been requested to do so.

One day you may get it right  :lol:

Offline Peter Mair

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« 2019-May-17, 12:12 AM Reply #210 »



.............Saturday may be another 'one day' ........ the 'fours-wily' duo may like to vote on Friday!

Offline Peter Mair

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« 2019-May-17, 05:04 AM Reply #211 »


Will wily, fours & dave be voting early this weekend?

In an effort to entice these intrepids out of their boxes on Friday, I would suggest an all up lay on these favoured and well-drawn runners:

R4 No 3 & R8 No 9  .......... and probably R2 no 2

Conversely, if 9 does not win the 5th, I would be wanting to see the betting sheets.



 

Offline wily ole dog

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« 2019-May-17, 07:41 AM Reply #212 »
Plenty of pre post tipping here Peter. The proof is there. What about you actually answering a question put to you for once :bulb:

Offline Peter Mair

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« 2019-May-18, 05:11 AM Reply #213 »


Oh-No -- call for the betting sheets!


9. Begood Toya Mother (2)  Entitled to be favourite off the back of three outstanding wins but is he a $1.70 chance? For ours the answer is an emphatic NO! Three runs back he won a Bm64 at Warrnambool then followed it up in the same class at Cranbourne before a midweek Bm70 win at Sandown when he won by 6½ lengths. However while he was getting the runs on the board in lesser grade he’s up to Bm78 grade now and we know inside barriers at the 1400m can be tricky, and he’s drawn the two.

Offline wily ole dog

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« 2019-May-18, 07:31 AM Reply #214 »
Oh  Peter looking to be spoon fed again , if you don’t like the fave work  around it then aim for one of your big F4s :/

6, 11, 3,4, & 12 are darts to throw at the board or do some form and find your own    :lol:
« Last Edit: 2019-May-18, 07:33 AM by wily ole dog »

Offline fours

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« 2019-May-18, 08:25 AM Reply #215 »
Peter,

Rather than seeing the betting sheets after the race is run you need to look at the markets before they jump.

For instance I almost fell off my chair when 150/1 was offered for O'reilly's Crumpet as it was so wrong - AND WRONG is where your chance of profit lies.

If the price is right you cannot profit - not on win and place bets anyway.

Fours
ps Peter this means that EVERY HORSE IN THE FIELD IS A POTENTIAL TIP.

pps Unfortunately for you Peter properly assessing prices is above your IQ level - at least on what you demonstrate on this forum.
« Last Edit: 2019-May-18, 08:35 AM by fours »

Offline wily ole dog

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« 2019-May-18, 01:36 PM Reply #216 »
3 of the 1400m races are run and Mair yet again looking stupid with his claims   :lol:

Offline fours

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« 2019-May-18, 03:11 PM Reply #217 »
SR7 Black On Gold is overs at $34.00

Fours

Offline fours

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« 2019-May-18, 03:24 PM Reply #218 »
Peter,

Big field and the fav wins  --- YOU FAIL!

Big field and I tip a >30/1 horse as a value pick and it is in the finish for 4th and a lovely First Four payout. Again YOU FAIL!

Before the race - so again YOU FAIL!

Give it up.

Fours

Offline fours

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« 2019-May-18, 03:40 PM Reply #219 »
BR8 at $61.00 savvy coupe certainly overs on a good track

Offline fours

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« 2019-May-18, 03:55 PM Reply #220 »
SR 8 gresham is value

Offline fours

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« 2019-May-18, 04:17 PM Reply #221 »
BR9 Light Up The Room ready now and class NOT an issue so the 70/1 is great value

Fours

Offline fours

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« 2019-May-18, 04:26 PM Reply #222 »
Last..... drown your sorrows with Inn Keeper in the Goodwod at 34/1

Offline fours

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« 2019-May-18, 04:58 PM Reply #223 »
Now you know why I suggested start with 50c tickets rather than $500 win bets1

Try some Love magic at 150/1 in the last at Morphetville - this a class 75 and has won a class 84 .. and has a 40% win strike rate on a good track.

Fours
won a trial before the first up run and is rarley out of the first 4 places - have a look!

Offline Peter Mair

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« 2019-May-23, 01:23 AM Reply #224 »

Product quality control -- how low can you go?


The prospects for racing on Saturday are, again, simply appalling -- overcrowded fields of low-grade horses.

Brisbane aside, only a couple of runners rate above100 and most average less than 75  --  normal prize-money is still on the table, including lavish lumps for running 10th.

The saddest reflection of all this is the dynamic trio here looking for long-shots to find a bet.




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