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Author Topic: Inflated fields Ė assessing the consequences about to unfold  (Read 96140 times)

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Online wily ole dog

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« 2019-Dec-07, 06:51 AM Reply #325 »
Well Iíve got 4 in my black book and I like another 3 so Iím confident of a win. Hoping for the quaddy as some I like are big prices

As usual, punters, have a bet when Mair says not to as heís never been right

Offline Peter Mair

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« 2019-Dec-07, 07:33 PM Reply #326 »


Races run -- I got it right

............  some others have the same regard for the 'truth'  that other loudmouth trumpeter.

Some respectful recognition would be appropriate.

Offline nemisis

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« 2019-Dec-07, 08:12 PM Reply #327 »
Well done to the Kiwi connections of Etah James.......gutsy little staying daughter of Raise The Flag rewarded their perseverance with a big payday.
Always goes around at big odds and plenty seem to have missed her last run.......strange but good.

Was I on?.....no...... I'm off the punt......was on last start of course!.....and the start before that and so on.  :what:

Certainly a "smokie" in the last, Peter........not a local but 20's into 7's, so some leave the course happy.

Offline Peter Mair

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« 2019-Dec-07, 08:33 PM Reply #328 »


 VAINSTREAM   -- was my only winner at  Pakenham today  -- 5 @ 20/1 returned 105.

Offline nemisis

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« 2019-Dec-07, 08:36 PM Reply #329 »

 VAINSTREAM   -- was my only winner at  Pakenham today  -- 5 @ 20/1 returned 105.
So it was you who crunched the price.  :lol:


Offline fours

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« 2019-Dec-08, 06:25 AM Reply #330 »
Etah James wins EASILY but at 70/1...Ö

Punters simply cannot do the form!

The horse was prepared and set for the race by the trainer and everything was easily on display regarding intent and what the horse was ideally suited for as a target race.

Come on people the horse had only won 3 out of 5 at that distance before this race > how many wins do you need before you see this?   Peter's claims of insiders and running them dead are all blown asunder with this one. His assumptions are simply wrong.

Fours
ps yes for those who did see it this comment is not for you UNLESS you saw it and dismissed it due to the price allowed by others - dunce cap for you! I've had my turns at wearing the cap too...

Online wily ole dog

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« 2019-Dec-08, 06:54 AM Reply #331 »

 VAINSTREAM   -- was my only winner at  Pakenham today  -- 5 @ 20/1 returned 105.


Races run -- I got it right

Some respectful recognition would be appropriate.



What, you were incapable of finding any of Neighbourhood, Snitzcraft, Midas Prince, yulong January or Eureka Street? So what recognition do you think you need?

Thankfully punters, clearly, ignored your advice and bet up rather than stay away
« Last Edit: 2019-Dec-08, 06:58 AM by wily ole dog »

Online wily ole dog

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« 2019-Dec-08, 07:33 AM Reply #332 »
Etah James wins EASILY but at 70/1...Ö

Punters simply cannot do the form!

The horse was prepared and set for the race by the trainer and everything was easily on display regarding intent and what the horse was ideally suited for as a target race.

Come on people the horse had only won 3 out of 5 at that distance before this race > how many wins do you need before you see this?   Peter's claims of insiders and running them dead are all blown asunder with this one. His assumptions are simply wrong.

Fours
ps yes for those who did see it this comment is not for you UNLESS you saw it and dismissed it due to the price allowed by others - dunce cap for you! I've had my turns at wearing the cap too...

Price certainly isnít a true indication of form or ability. I had a ripper of a day with some big priced collects.
The best being $31


Sadly I gave a lot back in Perth on my old mate Pike and some strategy flaws elsewhere   :lol:
« Last Edit: 2019-Dec-08, 07:36 AM by wily ole dog »

Offline Jeunes

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« 2019-Dec-08, 07:49 AM Reply #333 »
Interesting day yesterday especially in Sydney. Torajoy cost my mate at least $50k on a $100 quaddie bet with a corporate.

It was 600% or similar as he bets on 2 selections each leg. He picks fav and another. He had Outrageous and Strome in the last.

I prefer to lose prior to the last leg.   :lol:

Offline Peter Mair

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« 2019-Dec-08, 08:09 AM Reply #334 »


Not a good day -- not a good time of the year

Declared 'dividends' tell the story -- a sad story across the east-coast board.

The 6 quadrellas on the east-coast yesterday paid some $15,000 on average -- ordinary punters cannot do it.

It is a truly festive season for the fixed-odds corporates and the syndicates  -- aided and abetted by administrators swapping bucks for integrity in the product quality.

The Villiers meeting on Saturday may be better -- but RVL will spoil a day of low grade racing at Flemington by inflating the fields with 10th-place hopefuls.


Online wily ole dog

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« 2019-Dec-08, 08:23 AM Reply #335 »
Interesting day yesterday especially in Sydney. Torajoy cost my mate at least $50k on a $100 quaddie bet with a corporate.

It was 600% or similar as he bets on 2 selections each leg. He picks fav and another. He had Outrageous and Strome in the last.

I prefer to lose prior to the last leg.   :lol:


Sadly I had outrageous going for big bucks as well, especially after backing the Party Girl at the crazy odds they offered.

Apparently it bled which explains the shocking run

Offline Peter Mair

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« 2019-Dec-08, 01:55 PM Reply #336 »

Offline HarmersHaven

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« 2019-Dec-08, 02:26 PM Reply #337 »

Not a good day -- not a good time of the year

Declared 'dividends' tell the story -- a sad story across the east-coast board.

The 6 quadrellas on the east-coast yesterday paid some $15,000 on average -- ordinary punters cannot do it.



My God you are a sick/vile human.

Knowing your previous form and willingness to lie by using fake/rubbery numbers, I decided to try and 'reverse-engineer' your latest effort - "six East-coast Quaddies".

I settled on them being Pakenham, Rosehill, Newcastle, Gold Coast, Toowoomba and Doomben., Happy to be corrected if they're not your six, although I think I'm on the right track as their average Quaddie payout was $13,404 - in the ballpark for your quotes/assertions but ALWAYS on the under-stated side of your reality.

What you fail to mention (no doubt hoping people will just gloss over your lies and take you at face value) is that 50% of your dataset, half of your dataset, three of your six listed Quaddies paid the following:

Newcastle - $209.50
Gold Coast - $280.30
Toowoomba - $72.90

How can you look at yourself in the mirror/keep a straight face/not have an undiagnosed brain injury quoting your $15k number (over-stated) when 72.90, 209.50, 280.30 dividends make up HALF of your dataset.


Just FRO.

Online wily ole dog

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« 2019-Dec-08, 05:38 PM Reply #338 »

Newcastle - $138
Gold Coast - $395
Toowoomba - $123



Above are the early quaddies at this venues  :lol:

Offline Peter Mair

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« 2019-Dec-08, 08:53 PM Reply #339 »


A barking dog feeds me to the lines

The only racing of any relevance  in Australia allows the forming of a difference of opinion  about the outcome based on known form.

The only racing run in Australia that remains relevant on this score is run in Sydney on Saturdays.

[RVL has decided to abandon any concept of

Offline napes

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« 2019-Dec-09, 11:42 AM Reply #340 »
He's passed out mid-dribble   :lol:   :lol:

Online wily ole dog

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« 2019-Dec-09, 11:50 AM Reply #341 »
The idiot even contradicts himself with every post

No wonder his lying arse was sacked from having any involvement in the industry   :lol:


Offline Peter Mair

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« 2019-Dec-09, 07:10 PM Reply #342 »



................ the end of the sentence was left for the wily one to complete before he was sent to his kennel for the night

Offline Peter Mair

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« 2019-Dec-13, 11:55 AM Reply #343 »


Black-Saturday arrives tomorrow


Fixed-odds bookmakers will be funding a good Christmas from tomorrows races.

We knew that the racing at Flemington tomorrow would probably be beyond the reach of most punters -- and that is confirmed by the stuff served up -- 4 sprints and 2 over 1400 and inflated fields all day have the warning bell clanging -- even punters.com is saying 'no bet' in four of the races.

Sydney is equally bereft of sensible betting opportunities with inflated low grade fields --  a special problem is that the form from the recent 'million dollar' standalones has no proper foundation and the hype will mislead.

........... the idea that Quackerjack will win is illustrative.......and 16 two yros running for $500k over 1000m is  a prelude to a punting disaster ............be very wary.


Online wily ole dog

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« 2019-Dec-13, 05:28 PM Reply #344 »
Hey Pete  have you bothered to do any form for tomorrow or have you just accepted the thoughts of some commercial organization who told you not to?

Offline Peter Mair

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« 2019-Dec-13, 07:57 PM Reply #345 »


---- settle on Sunday -- why go the early crow? -- you could, possibly, have looked good

Online wily ole dog

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« 2019-Dec-13, 08:21 PM Reply #346 »
So the answer is No, you havenít done the form  :lol:

Youíre as weak as piss  :lol:

Online wily ole dog

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« 2019-Dec-14, 06:17 PM Reply #347 »


Sydney is equally bereft of sensible betting opportunities with inflated low grade fields --  a special problem is that the form from the recent 'million dollar' standalones has no proper foundation and the hype will mislead.

........... the idea that Quackerjack will win is illustrative........


Well you are a goose. Mair wrong again but seeing as you admitted to doin NO form thatís what you get  :lol:   :lol:

Online wily ole dog

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« 2019-Dec-14, 08:53 PM Reply #348 »


Black-Saturday arrives tomorrow


Fixed-odds bookmakers will be funding a good Christmas from tomorrows races.

We knew that the racing at Flemington tomorrow would probably be beyond the reach of most punters -- and that is confirmed by the stuff served up -- 4 sprints and 2 over 1400 and inflated fields all day have the warning bell clanging -- even punters.com is saying 'no bet' in four of the races.



Oh, and the quaddy at Flemington only paid a paltry $800 and the extra $575

Clearly punters ignored the moronic advice from Mair and they clean up🥳

will The self promoting fool ever get it right  :lol:
« Last Edit: 2019-Dec-14, 08:54 PM by wily ole dog »

Offline Jeunes

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« 2019-Dec-14, 09:23 PM Reply #349 »


Oh, and the quaddy at Flemington only paid a paltry $800 and the extra $575

Clearly punters ignored the moronic advice from Mair and they clean up🥳

will The self promoting fool ever get it right   :lol:

The biggest ďnormalĒ quaddie was $6.6k in Morphetville. It seemed to be huge overs. In Sydney with the big fields, it only paid $500.


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