Not too much wrong with Caulfield Race 8 on 22/09/2018 The Sir Rupert Clarke Stakes, over 1400 metres and a crowded field. Sure the favourite # 2 was a manufactured incorrect favourite, and that is why one must take full notice of the FORM.
* VF140817 CF82209F * RACE NAME ID* [ CF82209F 2018. SIR RUPERT CLARKE STAKES,,,,,, 1400 mtrs]. COMPRUN 09-22-2018. AT 08:34:23 RESULT [ 1 10 8 2 ~ 4 12 ] F4 $15,832. # 1 $13.70 win.
VF140817 CF82209F * SPD ORD TABNO [ 4 1 3 12 16 13 9 8 15 5 11 10 2 14 7 ] T5 HI HIT. USE SPD UPTO 1450m
VF140817 CF82209F * SPD RATNG ORD [ 999 977 966 962 962 942 924 912 912 910 906 894 890 878 845 ] /1. IN SPEED ORDER
VF140817 CF82209F * AT TRK n DIST SPD [ RW14 AV12 RW12 DB13 RW20 DB20 FL14 MV12 MV12 CF14 CF14 CF14 AV16 CF14 FL16 ] IN SPD ORD*
VF140817 CF82209F * RQOD SPD RORD [ 5.4 6.8 8.7 9.5 9.5 15.2 26.2 40.3 40.3 44.6 50.2 78.2 89.8 126.1 321.2 ] $PRICE/1 CALCULATED RQD ODDS IN RATING ORDER *
VF140817 CF82209F * AVAL ODDS FIXD[ ] MANUALLY KEY IN FIXED PRICES SPEED RATING ORDER
VF140817 CF82209F * WMSPD ORD TNO [ 4 16 12 1 3 13 9 11 15 5 10 8 14 2 7 ] * ] BMVRS/W [ ]*SPL*
VF140817 CF82209F * WMSPD RTG ORD [ 1022 996 992 987 979 972 961 946 945 940 937 935 915 890 875 ] IMPORTANT
VF140817 CF82209F * RQOD WMSPD RO [ 5.7 7.9 8.7 9.8 11.6 13.7 18.7 31 32 39.7 46.4 49.3 104.3 221.6 332.8 ] IN WMSPD ORDER. $PRICE/1 CALCULATED RQD ODDS ON WT MODIFIED SPEED RATINGS *
VF140817 CF82209F * FXD ODDS AVAIL[ 6 15 23 13 23 13 34 61 9 26 21 5 71 5 31 ] FIXED ODDS AVAILABLE IN WMSPD ORDER
VF140817 CF82209F * GW$CLASS$ ORD [ 3 13 1 16 15 8 9 2 12 5 14 11 4 10 7 ]. 2 HOME O 14d 100m -.5k --- 7y] [ 8 LAND O 14d 200m -3k --- 5y] [ 3 SHOWTI 21d 0m -2k 4y] [ 13 OREGON 21d 0m -4k 5y.
* No 1 Jungle Cat was the Knowledge Base ( or Mechanical Method ) Win selection in PP7's competition and available on the Forum well before the race was run.
VF140817 CF82209F * KEY SPEED NOS [ 1 +!. +I/C. +GW!. =*NK*. .]>1. 4 +!. 5 7 +!. 8 +!. +TJ!. 9 +I/C. +TJ!. 10 +!. 12 +!. +I/C. +TJ!. 13 +I/C. +GW!. +TJ!. 14 +!. +TJ!. 16 +I/C. +GW!.] +!. =LRWD ]. *HiWM>GW$C [ < 2 +!. <. < 8 +TJ!. +!. < ]. *N1/2W<<SP= 3 13 << 1 4 7 8 10 12 14 5 <<=BDUPL. *BP%P*= 4 <: ]. <<] S/WDual IS [ 1 1 kg. ] *
RESULT [ 1 10 8 2 ~ 4 12 ] # 4 *!MUST KEEP!*d. # 1 *!MUST KEEP!*d. # 12 *!MUST KEEP!*d. # 2 *!MUST KEEP!*d. # 8 *!MUST KEEP!*d. SPCL TR/JK/COMBOS [ 8 9 11 12 13 14 15 16 ] DBL CHK *HI$E=[ # 1 ] JUNGLE CAT]. *SCNDHI$E=[ # 7 ] HELLOVA ST}. <<GW1+ [ 3 13 1 16 15 ]* LRWDV= [ 4 1 7 12 2 8 . +A= LR7D [ 10 ]. . +A= LR7D [ 14 ]. ] I/CCL=[ 16 12 1 3 13 9 DUPGWPAC=[ 1 5 8 9 13 14 15 ].* MKUP [ 0 @ $ 0 ]** * INSURANCE VAL[ 0 0 FXD= $0. 0 FXD= $0.] BET NOW! * VALUNOS [ ]* * T5TTLMVS[ 8 14 5 9 10 A S/A. DBLCHK TJC]. *LR7DS=[ 10 6yo 14 6yo ] *CRUSHD=[ 7 2 8 10 15 ] ESP*[ 1 4 7 8 10 12 14 5 ]*]. * SPLRESIDS [ ** [ 1 2 4 5 7 8 9 10 12 14 15 ] ** CONSIDER NSW/VIC TAB F4S + *SUPASPL [ 0 0kg ]. *BMVRDPL= 1 4 7 8 10 12 14 5 *** RUN END NORMALLY ***. CALC TIME= 2.4 Secs.
Based on the very basic information not even requiring a computer to derive, just look at the Must Keep selections: # 4 comes fifth, # 1 Wins, # 12 comes sixth, # 2 comes fourth and # 8 comes third and one of the two "seven days to last run" horses # 10 comes second. The computer had rightly removed # 7 being an 8 year old and having one other problematic item of data as well, that made its selection marginal.