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Author Topic: Inflated fields – assessing the consequences about to unfold  (Read 1058 times)

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Offline PoisonPen7

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« 2018-Aug-13, 12:46 AM Reply #25 »
The early quadrella paid some $25 k

The F4 dividends on races 3,4,5&6 were $5.5k, 7k 7k &40k.

....... most punters did not win on those races.

The quadrella was Ok -- only I knew that Voodoo Lad was the lay of the day.

I outlaid $20 on the Melbourne Quaddie but only got $16 back. At least I am satisfied with the knowledge that the integrity of the quaddie races passed the "Mair Pub Test"   :lol:

Offline pegasyber

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« 2018-Aug-13, 08:28 AM Reply #26 »
  P. M. said above:
Quote
....... most punters did not win on those races.

  Actually 97% or thereabout, of punters do not WIN on ALL Races.  :what: :what: :what:

Offline wily ole dog

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« 2018-Aug-13, 02:06 PM Reply #27 »
It’s also noted Mair hasn’t been able to tell us what races and horses were affected by his supposed inflated fields.

He’s been exposed as being full of shite again

Offline Peter Mair

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« 2018-Aug-15, 07:24 PM Reply #28 »

Caulfield quadrella wreckers for Saturday

Already one can say that two races scheduled for Saturday are likely to be 'rough'.

Race 4, a BM 84 over 1400m,  has a field of 16 + four emergencies -- wait for it!

Race 6, over 1100m for 3yro fillies, has a field of 16 + 3 emergencies -- and giving it 'G3' status is hardly sensible for a race likely to be another 'wait for it' event.

Even the main event -- aG2 over 1400m with 16 accepting --  is an invitation to a dance macabre.

Why would RVL do this?


Offline Dave

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« 2018-Aug-16, 09:53 AM Reply #29 »
Well Pete I hope you are right, I will be backing a couple of roughies in both races.....but is you are that is only because punters are not very b-r-i-t-e..........big fields are great to bet in, there is a lot of "mug" money in the pool and for that I would like to say THANKS Pete

Offline wily ole dog

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« 2018-Aug-16, 11:49 AM Reply #30 »
Hey Dave, here's a scoop. Even if your so incredibly ignorant as Mair is and cant find a horse to back, any sane person would just choose another race to bet on instead.
Not our brain dead advocate, Peter though  :lol:

Offline Peter Mair

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« 2018-Aug-16, 06:33 PM Reply #31 »

Best wishes Dave

The point to not be missed is that the outcome of inflated-field races is beyond the ken of those expecting the form guide to be useful and those expecting the form guide to be useless.

.......... only on Sunday morning does calm reflection show how what did happen was, incredibly,  predictable enough but overlooked by almost all on Friday.

Offline wily ole dog

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« 2018-Aug-16, 08:46 PM Reply #32 »
The main thing proven on Sunday is that You’ve been proven to be constantly wrong with your crap.

Offline Dave

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« 2018-Aug-17, 12:52 AM Reply #33 »
Pete if you and most punters were a detectives criminals would run rampant, unless they came up to you and confessed you would struggle to catch a jaywalker!!! Punting is like being a master detective trying to find a really smart murderer, there are not always a trail of bread crumbs leading you straight to a winner or a murderer....if winning was that easy every winner would be the same price as Winx, who would want that?.....you need to look for clues, sometimes they are subtle, sometimes they hit you in the face so even you could see them.....but the satisfaction you get from finding the subtle clues far outweighs the obvious ones.........people like you are either too lazy or too stupid to look under the surface for clues........but just finding clues is not the answer to winning on the punt.....you have to evaluate them, give them a value i.e. a price....once you learn how to do that, you will be well on the way to being a winning punter.....
You have had this explained to you many times, why are you still beating this drum? Are you obsessed with losing, are you a masochist by nature??, you are the definition of a Masochist...........you keep saying something won't work and you can't win doing it.....but you keep doing it??? is that crazy or what? if you are going to continue to punt, I have an idea that might interest you........learn how!

Offline wily ole dog

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« 2018-Aug-18, 02:09 PM Reply #34 »
Caulfield quadrella wreckers for Saturday

Already one can say that two races scheduled for Saturday are likely to be 'rough'.

Race 4, a BM 84 over 1400m,  has a field of 16 + four emergencies -- wait for it!

Well, idiot Mair wrong again.

Winner salutes at 2-1 and punters over joyed :clap2:
And the draw didn’t matter either so, Pete, you’re wrong on 2 fronts in the one race  :lol:

Offline wily ole dog

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« 2018-Aug-19, 07:48 AM Reply #35 »
Caulfield quadrella wreckers for Saturday

Race 6, over 1100m for 3yro fillies, has a field of 16 + 3 emergencies -- and giving it 'G3' status is hardly sensible for a race likely to be another 'wait for it' event.

Even the main event -- aG2 over 1400m with 16 accepting --  is an invitation to a dance macabre.

Why would RVL do this?


Oh well Peter. You don’t learn do you.

Monty told  you to throw 5 darts not 4.

Sadly for you all 4 were wrong, again

R4.....as discussed above, you were wrong
R6 sees the crowds favourite, Sunlight salute
R8 sees the 5-1 shot win and it was not your predicted “dance macabre”
4th dart peter, not a quaddy wrecker in sight. Quad paid a paltry $380

Mair goes home wrong but punters overjoyed  :bop:

Offline Dave

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« 2018-Aug-19, 04:26 PM Reply #36 »
Wily I must agree with Pete on one point, Barriers are very important at certain starts at Caulfield......the actual results not withstanding.......you must give credit where it's due or you risk your own credibility

Offline wily ole dog

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« 2018-Aug-19, 05:06 PM Reply #37 »
Dave, Mairs problem is that if he ever raises a good point he ruins it by applying blanket coverage.
The bloke has zero balance.
Of course barriers matter at times but you just can’t  put a line through all of them without doing the form.
Mair fails on both fronts. Form & balance

Pace of the race,  distance, horses racing style, track conditions, what has drawn the “supposed better barriers” and a thing called track bias.

Mair takes none of those factors into consideration and it’s why his theories are constantly proved wrong
« Last Edit: 2018-Aug-19, 05:08 PM by wily ole dog »

Offline Peter Mair

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« 2018-Aug-19, 05:49 PM Reply #38 »

Some acceptable outcomes and some not

The early quadrella paid $8,000,  there were two F4 dividends of some $ 20,000 and four of the others averaged some $3,000.

Offline wily ole dog

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« 2018-Aug-19, 07:44 PM Reply #39 »
That’s the best you’ve got  :lol:

Offline Peter Mair

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« 2018-Aug-19, 07:48 PM Reply #40 »

My 'enough' always beats the 'best' of others!

Offline wily ole dog

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« 2018-Aug-19, 07:50 PM Reply #41 »
There’s only one thing your beating is yourself


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