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Offline Peter Mair

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« 2021-Oct-27, 06:34 PM Reply #1350 »

THE RIDE OF YOUR LIFE

Get ready boys and girls to be taken on the ride of your life over the next six weeks.

Administrators, bouyed by the standard of commentary on the forum, have got something to remember in store.

The rort starts on Saturday ----- in Sydney and Melbourne.

You all know what way up is and quite capable of calling up the 'results' of the same races run in 2020.

.............. the most-punter set will be left reeling ...........as they were last year.

The bookmaker set are again salivating at the prospect of 'takeout rates' close to 100%.


Offline wily ole dog

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« 2021-Oct-28, 08:34 AM Reply #1351 »
No comment on you being exposed as a dunce yesterday?

Offline Peter Mair

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« 2021-Oct-28, 07:08 PM Reply #1352 »


Will 'Bradburys' make a mockery of the form for Saturday?

You bet.

As the form assessments are reflecting in major on-line site's 'algorithmic' tips for Saturday, it should be mainly a day for favoured horses to win and place. The fields are over-full of long-priced 'acceptors' that have no hope.

We know that the no-hopers will disrupt the running of the 'mainly'.

We know there will be 'rough results' that will defy most-punters but line the trouser-pockets of the corporate bookmakers, now savouring the prospect of a cannibal kiling field for the next six weeks.

.... as for the 'rough results' compromising the form-guides ....... one need look no further than race-fields inflated with Bradburys ............. watch for the aspiring Bradburys going to the lead before compounding and failing ........... and disrupting the race outcome as they impede the running of contenders there to win.

.............. we know this will happen ..... we know it is unfairly intended to happen ............ and that no one will say 'stop-it'.




Offline wily ole dog

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« 2021-Oct-28, 07:19 PM Reply #1353 »
You know nothing you fool. Youíre theories are constantly exposed as brain farts.
Itís my duty to warning any casual observers that you are always wrong  :biggrin:

Online Jeunes

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« 2021-Oct-28, 07:25 PM Reply #1354 »
You know nothing you fool. Youíre theories are constantly exposed as brain farts.
Itís my duty to warning any casual observers that you are always wrong    :biggrin:  

Wily, I would like PMís assessment of early and normal quaddies in Sydney and Melbourne.

I would like his estimates of the amounts.

I for one would be very happy to have a moderate to good chance of winning a big Quaddie than having a bigger shot of winning a $30 -$50 Quaddie.

Offline Peter Mair

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« 2021-Oct-28, 08:36 PM Reply #1355 »


Will pre-post clarity be contradicted on Saturday?

As things stand, on both good-4 tracks, there are clear expectations of 'fair-to-form' outcomes in some races.

In Sydney, putting aside the early tripe, these 'clear expectations' include:

Race 5 --- 2 from 6 ........... Race 6 ---- 2 ........... Race 7 ........... 9, 2, 1 ............ Race 8 .........4,6,8,12 ..........Race 9 ...4,5,1,3 ......... Race 10 .....[4,5,11,13].

In Melbourne, putting aside questionable G status, these 'clear expectations' include:

Race 2 ........ 4 from 7......... Race 3 .......[1,2,3,4] ................. Race 4 .... 7 2 4 1... Race 5 ....3,9,1,13 ............ Race6 .... 1,4,2,9 ........... Race 7 ...........9,4,6,7 ............. Race 8 ..........14,6,11,10 ........... Race 9 ........5,7,11 ..........

...... we will see ............. let us all observe the patterns in the races.............. let us explain the outcomes



Offline Peter Mair

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« 2021-Oct-28, 09:18 PM Reply #1356 »

The boss-man deplores speed humps


Johnny Get Angry's position in the Cup field has come under fire after being beaten a combined margin of 48L at his last two starts.

Outspoken jockey Glen Boss, winner of three consecutive Melbourne Cups aboard the great Makybe Diva, was particularly scathing of Johnny Get Angry taking up a spot in the 24-horse field.

"He shouldn't be in the race. He's going to attract no turnover, no money," Boss told RSN listeners on Wednesday.

"He's simply going to do nothing for the race, apart from being a bit of a speed hump.


[.......... 'johnny' will have supporters .......... from omen-bets ................ and the mitwit 'want to lose' riff-raff that make a mockery of the race and the day]

Let's keep our eye on 'Johnny' before we get angry ....... about the Cup ........ about the totality of 'cup day' ................ making a mockery of most-punters paying the industry freight (and the corporates rich)..


Offline wily ole dog

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« 2021-Oct-29, 07:27 AM Reply #1357 »

Will pre-post clarity be contradicted on Saturday?

As things stand, on both good-4 tracks, there are clear expectations of 'fair-to-form' outcomes in some races.

In Sydney, putting aside the early tripe, these 'clear expectations' include:

Race 5 --- 2 from 6 ........... Race 6 ---- 2 ........... Race 7 ........... 9, 2, 1 ............ Race 8 .........4,6,8,12 ..........Race 9 ...4,5,1,3 ......... Race 10 .....[4,5,11,13].

In Melbourne, putting aside questionable G status, these 'clear expectations' include:

Race 2 ........ 4 from 7......... Race 3 .......[1,2,3,4] ................. Race 4 .... 7 2 4 1... Race 5 ....3,9,1,13 ............ Race6 .... 1,4,2,9 ........... Race 7 ...........9,4,6,7 ............. Race 8 ..........14,6,11,10 ........... Race 9 ........5,7,11 ..........

...... we will see ............. let us all observe the patterns in the races.............. let us explain the outcomes

You never do  :biggrin:

You made a claim last week that got the field size wrong and you claimed interference where there was none.
When presented with those facts you shut up shop, refused to retract the falsehoods and just rinsed and repeated the same rubbish :bulb:

Offline wily ole dog

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« 2021-Oct-29, 07:31 AM Reply #1358 »
Wily, I would like PMís assessment of early and normal quaddies in Sydney and Melbourne.

I would like his estimates of the amounts.

I for one would be very happy to have a moderate to good chance of winning a big Quaddie than having a bigger shot of winning a $30 -$50 Quaddie.

And clearly so would punters given the pool sizes that occurred during the week

Another fact that Peter chose to ignore and run from :bulb:

Offline Peter Mair

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« 2021-Oct-31, 09:31 AM Reply #1359 »


RVL's 'rough-result' day-one was not good for most punters


While (see below) rose-coloured glasses at one of the newscorpse stables reported a 'punter's feast' yesterday the reality was very different ............ when betting in Melbourne it pays to get some inside late-mail.

................ alternatively, consider the race outcomes if the horses 'hoping to run 10th' were not accepted to run ...as usual the no-hopers went to the front on the rail, before falling back and impeding others there to run on.

...... it will be a shocker on Tuesday .....as usual.


Punters feast on fairly successful day out Derby day at Flemington brings together the Ďbest of the bestí in many categories but can, generally speaking, be a tough betting proposition. On Saturday - again, generally speaking - it proved a pretty good one for punters, with some very well-backed horses saluting, notably Hitotsu, Home Affairs and Minhaaj.

Offline wily ole dog

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« 2021-Oct-31, 10:37 AM Reply #1360 »


................ alternatively, consider the race outcomes if the horses 'hoping to run 10th' were not accepted to run ...as usual the no-hopers went to the front on the rail, before falling back and impeding others there to run on..[/i]

You repeatedly get this wrong.

Now, having not watched the replays can you tell me what races this ďimpedingĒ took place in?

Offline nemisis

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« 2021-Oct-31, 11:35 AM Reply #1361 »
It was a great day yesterday.....was I a winner?......not really

Thankfully I put some spare change weeks ago on I'm Thunderstruck @$11.
He's a good horse.....might be great according to Bowman.....well spotted me!

Have to say though Wily.....impeded is a word that could describe Artorius.
Would have been great to see him "unimpeded"!

Offline wily ole dog

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« 2021-Oct-31, 11:58 AM Reply #1362 »
Well, he had to pick off gaps but thatís him anyways and was expected by most

The way Mair talks you would think there was carnage. Iíll watch the replays as usual but Iím prepared to say to didnít see bolters collapsing in the lead & causing interference  :whistle:



Further to that, straight racing is different but it was In the Congo led and did cause interference to Shaquero who was trailing it in  the fence. Is any suggesting in the Congo was a bolter and should not have run?

The unlucky runner if you could say that was Overpass who was clearly riding to instructions to smother the horse and produce late.
Pilot error

Around the bends, Colette & Superstorm had no issues coming from well back and through the field
« Last Edit: 2021-Oct-31, 12:08 PM by wily ole dog »

Offline Wenona

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« 2021-Nov-01, 10:28 PM Reply #1363 »
OK, on the eve of our wonderful Melbourne Cup let's all reflect on the wisdom of our resident genius PM.


Quote from: Peter Mair on 2020-Jan-05, 06:58  PM
 I would have a rule 'scratching' horses at the gates with an SP > 20/1,  until the field is reduced to 10 or less.


Unfortunately ol' Pete's wisdom won't be taken up by the racing authorities and we will be denied our eight horse Melbourne Cup tomorrow.  :tears:


Offline wily ole dog

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« 2021-Nov-02, 07:41 AM Reply #1364 »
 :clap2:Arsey :clap2:

Offline Peter Mair

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« 2021-Nov-03, 12:26 PM Reply #1365 »


Cannibal-Carnival Racing ...........betting is not compulsory


In a week where the most-punter set normally gets eaten alive, some cautions are in order:

Tomorrow at Flemington -- Race 5 over 1400 for 3yro fillies has a field of 16: Race 7 a BM80 over 1600 has 16 starters and the quadrella finishes with a 1000m scamper for 16 3yro fillies.

Saturday at Flemington -- Race 4 for 3yros over 1400 has 16 to start; Race7 over 1400 has 14 and the last over 1100 has 16.


Not to be outdone, RNSW 'announces' the end of its racing for the year with a program full of pot-holes -- a HWY, a Country Classic, a MIdway and a 1100 race for twelve 2yros as the first leg of the quadrella.

......... this two-state feast on punter-flesh will whet the appetite for  the 'saturday-standaways' over the next weeks at Cranbourne, Ballarat and Kembla (twice).

 ................... best wishes with that lot [ ....the movies are back on to assist with alternatives.]


Offline wily ole dog

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« 2021-Nov-03, 04:15 PM Reply #1366 »
.........betting is not compulsory

I

Well youíve finally woken up  :lol:

Offline Peter Mair

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« 2021-Nov-03, 06:10 PM Reply #1367 »


Betting is not compulsory ......... but betting is the business of racing


..........  why would RVL and RNSW schedule so many races that most-punters would be well advised to not bet on.

At Rosehill on Saturday only the final three races are worth considering.

In Melbourne only the two G1s offer a fair well-informed betting opportunitry -- otherwise too-big fields and unfair 'CD' situations risk making 'the form' irrelevant.

Offline wily ole dog

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« 2021-Nov-04, 08:35 AM Reply #1368 »


Betting is not compulsory ......... but betting is the business of racing


..........  why would RVL and RNSW schedule so many races that most-punters would be well advised to not bet on.

At Rosehill on Saturday only the final three races are worth considering.

In Melbourne only the two G1s offer a fair well-informed betting opportunitry -- otherwise too-big fields and unfair 'CD' situations risk making 'the form' irrelevant.


Peter, just because YOU advise it doesnít make it right. Time and time again in you have had your pontifications blown out of the water


Online fours

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« 2021-Nov-04, 10:34 AM Reply #1369 »
Peter,

Given that >98% of punters lose nearly all punters are best advised to never bet on any race what so ever.

Fours


Offline Peter Mair

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« 2021-Nov-04, 06:11 PM Reply #1370 »

How great was Oaks Day -- most-punters eaten alive

The main quadrella paid $17k and the average F4 dividend for 6 of the 9 races was $10k+.

-- 13 ran in Race 5 over 1400 for 3yro fillies -- the odds-on winner was followed in by three 30/1+ longshots: the F4 in Race 7 paid $14k (a BM80 over 1600 with 16 starters) and the last, a 1000m scamper for 16 3yro fillies, had an F4 paying $9k.

........ can't wait for Saturday.

Offline wily ole dog

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« 2021-Nov-04, 07:10 PM Reply #1371 »

Cannibal-Carnival Racing ...........betting is not compulsory


In a week where the most-punter set normally gets eaten alive, some cautions are in order:

Tomorrow at Flemington -- Race 5 over 1400 for 3yro fillies has a field of 16: Race 7 a BM80 over 1600 has 16 starters and the quadrella finishes with a 1000m scamper for 16 3yro fillies.



Hey Peter Youíre wrong again.

Race 5 saw the favourite backed off the map into $1.30  :lol:
R7 won by the heavily backed 2nd favourite

Punters over joyed on the races you highlighted as a looming disaster

Give up whilst your only a lap behind



Offline Peter Mair

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« 2021-Nov-05, 07:19 AM Reply #1372 »

BET WITH MATES -- LET MATES SHARE THE POOL


Racing administrators are hell bent on the inflated-field racing that makes 'winning' impossible for the most-punter set.

Sportsbet is concurrently promoting, to 'mates', a marketing strategy that will feed off a difference of opinion among 'mates' in a group.

...... the question arises, if the mates are collectively destined to lose when betting with a bookmaker, why not just leave the 'mates pool' on the table ..and share it back according to who got closest.

.... enjoy the race .......... walk away with some not none........... .and save the takeout tax into the bargain.




Offline wily ole dog

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« 2021-Nov-05, 08:30 AM Reply #1373 »
Peter proving he canít admit he was wrong.....again  :lol:

Offline wily ole dog

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« 2021-Nov-06, 04:27 PM Reply #1374 »

........ can't wait for Saturday.

Hope youíve survived the day Peter.

I may be going the early crow but I hope youíre alive in this massive quaddie divvy that looms, as you predicted


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