Mounting Yard Analysts - Racing Talk - Racehorse TALK harm-plan

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Mounting Yard Analysts - Racing Talk - Racehorse TALK

Author Topic: Mounting Yard Analysts  (Read 26659 times)

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Offline Jeunes

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« 2019-Dec-29, 01:01 PM Reply #150 »
First in Naarcote was a horse called” Call me James”.

Obviously not fit enough as finished last in a 6 horse field.

Offline HarmersHaven

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« 2019-Dec-29, 01:36 PM Reply #151 »
Damn Tweeter, I must be on the wrong version as I can only seem to view tweets AFTER THE EVENT.

"1/1 winner tweet", tweeted 1.15, jump time 1.00, nothing tweeted prior to jump time
"2/2 winner tweet", tweeted 1.42, jump time 1.35, nothing tweeted prior to jump time
"3/3 winner tweet", tweeted 1.49, jump time 1.40, nothing tweeted prior to jump time
"4/4 winner tweet", tweeted 2.17, jump time 2.10, nothing tweeted prior to jump time

I'm going to have to go to the App Store or somewhere and download the newest version of Twitter or something.

My current version shows ZERO TWEETS before the event starts.


Wish me luck.

Offline 28.8

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« 2019-Dec-29, 02:12 PM Reply #152 »
Type in the banner link

Offline Wenona

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« 2019-Dec-29, 03:03 PM Reply #153 »
I was able to find WOT's free mounting mail tips and signed up.

I can confirm the tips were posted prior to the event - except the first 2 races which were run prior to me accessing the site.

WOT tipped in 11 races then pulled the pin on the day.

I compiled the results with the view of posting them regardless of how they went .... so here they are.

P1 is top pick etc the score is obviously the fitness rating.

The dividends on the left relate to the top selection and are the Betfair SP's without any commission deducted.

When accepting the terms and conditions one of the T&C was that the ratings weren't the actual fitness ratings which I found very odd - after watching the tips today I got the impression the tips were just put into a layout that had ratings already in it - this view was reinforced when after a late scratching of a second pick the third pick was elevated up a line to second pick with a rating 1 point higher than it had previously.

           
$30.80 $16.21           
BSPWBSPPP1 CameRaceP1 P2 P3 P4 
$4.60 $1.76 Won Mornington r1797397196296
$6.76 $2.19 Won Cowra r2596496    
$3.54 $1.39 Won Mornington r21978971396496
$2.48 $1.56 Won Cowra r3596      
  $1.80 3rd Mornington r311979971096896
$2.23 $1.44 Won Murwillumbah r1796496895695
   Unpl Mornington r41196296695995
$11.19 $2.30 Won Sunshine Coast r2396296195495
  $2.34 2nd Murwillumbah r2796496895695
  $1.43 3rd Mornington r5597197296996
   Unpl Cowra r5396596295795
« Last Edit: 2019-Dec-29, 03:20 PM by Wenona »

Online wily ole dog

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« 2019-Dec-29, 06:02 PM Reply #154 »
Type in the banner link

What’s a banner link?
Why are you scared to get us involved by helping us!

Offline Wenona

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« 2019-Dec-29, 06:20 PM Reply #155 »
This is the page that had the tips.

https://live.28point8.com/t/latest

I found it through a search that landed me on a page where I had to register, so I don't know if you can just use the link.

Offline 28.8

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« 2019-Dec-29, 06:24 PM Reply #156 »
I can tip 5-6 hours x  3 times a week

or

5-6 days for 3 hours a day.

I get confused when out of gas.

Online wily ole dog

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« 2019-Dec-29, 06:27 PM Reply #157 »
I can tip 5-6 hours x  3 times a week

or

5-6 days for 3 hours a day.

I get confused when out of gas.

28

Why are you not being helpful to us here who are keen to support you?

Offline JWesleyHarding

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« 2019-Dec-29, 06:41 PM Reply #158 »



Offline 28.8

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« 2019-Dec-29, 07:07 PM Reply #159 »
There are always non believers on forums, I just don't bother with them.

They want attention, but not from me.

Offline 28.8

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« 2019-Dec-29, 07:11 PM Reply #160 »
How can the 4 go up a % when their is a scratching?

About 20 years ago a 100 - 99 - 98  etc were not specific enough for those close finished across the line.

So I started rating horses in a 1/4 of a percentage, to get that added edge.

So a horse may 98.00% - 98.25% - 98.50% - 98.75% - 99%

In today's late scratching, the 4 on only 95.25% went up when the 9 95.50% was scratch.

It is just the science of fitness.

Online wily ole dog

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« 2019-Dec-29, 07:23 PM Reply #161 »
There are always non believers on forums, I just don't bother with them.

They want attention, but not from me.

That’s really your answer?

Offline gunbower

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« 2019-Dec-29, 07:34 PM Reply #162 »
Can't believe anyone would give this goose the time of day. Imagine him standing next to the finalists in the men's 100 metres at the Olympic games and suggesting so and so can win because he has superior "fitness " . I guess ability and therefore form wouldn't come into the result. What a load of cr-p. !! . And yet some fools fall for this dribble. This bloke is starting to make Mair look like a genius.

Offline HarmersHaven

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« 2019-Dec-29, 07:38 PM Reply #163 »
How can the 4 go up a % when their is a scratching?

About 20 years ago a 100 - 99 - 98  etc were not specific enough for those close finished across the line.

So I started rating horses in a 1/4 of a percentage, to get that added edge.

So a horse may 98.00% - 98.25% - 98.50% - 98.75% - 99%

In today's late scratching, the 4 on only 95.25% went up when the 9 95.50% was scratch.


It is just the science of fitness.

I'm genuinely curious as to how the fitness rating (%) of one animal can change upon the scratching of another runner?

i.e pre-scratching rating of 95.25, post-scratching rating of 95.50. Fitness improve between pre- and post- scratching?
« Last Edit: 2019-Dec-29, 07:40 PM by HarmersHaven »

Online Gintara

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« 2019-Dec-29, 08:24 PM Reply #164 »

They want attention

That's got to be the quote of the year from the biggest attention seeker ever!

  :lol:   :lol:   :lol:

Online Gintara

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« 2019-Dec-29, 08:25 PM Reply #165 »
I'm genuinely curious as to how the fitness rating (%) of one animal can change upon the scratching of another runner?

i.e pre-scratching rating of 95.25, post-scratching rating of 95.50. Fitness improve between pre- and post- scratching?

Maybe it did another lap of the parade yard  :whistle:   :lol:

Offline 28.8

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« 2019-Dec-29, 10:59 PM Reply #166 »
It did not change it just went up the ladder and the 2nd fittest

Offline 28.8

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« 2019-Dec-29, 11:13 PM Reply #167 »
Hedge the first two fittest, win and place, if like, that is my goal for most races to perform.

Pro punters never just bet on 1 horse.

Though most of my fittest horses perform each way, and is enough.

ONE TIP RACE

100% STRIKE RATE, Pot 40%, now this is gem in the crown, 1 selective horse with a fitness edge.

Exactas are placing members a mile in front.

You work out how your want to bet with those numbers or pass and back your own numbers, I am not right all the time.

Bet on who u like.

Offline 28.8

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« 2019-Dec-29, 11:15 PM Reply #168 »
POT 60%

Offline 28.8

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« 2019-Dec-29, 11:46 PM Reply #169 »
Late at night I like watching the jumps races in UK, they are spectacular.

I bet $1 a place.

Offline 28.8

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« 2019-Dec-29, 11:51 PM Reply #170 »
Gardens of Babylon runs 2nd at $2 a place, I doubted my $1 wahoo

Offline 28.8

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« 2019-Dec-30, 11:41 PM Reply #171 »
Dogs live streaming on Facebook, On The Way to the Boxes.

Fitness tips on the way to boxes, probably 20k% - 30k% profits.

Fittest dogs - early speed - lead around the first corner - win

Best run 8 winners in a row.

Simple rules, behave or you are banned for life.

Coming again soon, a good night out.

James

Offline 28.8

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« 2019-Dec-31, 08:45 AM Reply #172 »
The dogs nights live, also include harness fitness winners.

Offline 28.8

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« 2019-Dec-31, 09:09 AM Reply #173 »
FREE live fitness % tips today about 1pm

Offline 28.8

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« 2019-Dec-31, 10:36 AM Reply #174 »
BETTING TO WIN, nothing else matters.

Win stats are not the big picture.

Betting to win is all that matters.

The other day I went the 3 @ $1.70 a place instead of the odds on (9) at $1.60 / $1.10

Both of level fitness, the 3 was a better hedge bet and ran third, bet 1 x 8 and the race shows a profit.

10 days ago I went the 1 at Flemington at 20/1, it ran a great third @ $4 a place, stats say a losing tip, wrong; was a great winning tip.

Members know this and all that matters is to show a profit on the race, nothing else.

Also the other day there was about 2,000% profit in exotics, a nice days work.



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