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Stormy's 2008 Melbourne Cup Chat and Thoughts - Racing Talk - Racehorse TALK

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Offline Stormy

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O.P. « 2008-Oct-11, 08:06 AM »
G'day Punter's,
[stormy]
Melbourne Cup is just up around the corner, well just had a look at the noms,

Efficient would one on the top contenders rated 67
Master O'Reilly is another contender that honest 69
Zipping is another contender and has proved over that can run the 3200. 70
Douro Valley can run the 3200 but better over the 1800 to 2000 59
Maybe Better is a horse that can handle the 3200 and can put in a good show. In 2006 ran a good third 4.5len. 58
The Fuzz can handle the 3200 but the class of horse in the cup are the worry, better over the shorter distances up to 2400. 55
Mandela is a horse that can handle the 3200. Been pushing of late up around the 2500. 59
On A Jeune has always race up around the distance and can mix it when right. 3200 is not a problem.59

More information coming later.
Any contribution ? would be great ! :beer: 8-)

  1st   2nd   3rd    
 
2007 Efficient 54.5 Purple Moon 53.5 Mahler 50.5 03:23.3
2006 Delta Blues 56.9 Pop Rock 53 Maybe Better 50 03:21.4
2005 Makybe Diva 58 On A Jeune 51 Xcellent 54 03:19.2
2004 Makybe Diva 55.5 Vinnie Roe 58 Zazzman 52.5 03:28.5
2003 Makybe Diva 51 She's Archie 50 Jardine's Lookout 55.5 3.19.90
2002 Media Puzzle 52.5 Mr. Prudent 52 Beekeeper 53.5 3.16.97
2001 Ethereal 52 Give The Slip 55 Persian Punch 57.5 3.20.43
2000 Brew 49 Yippyio 52 Second Coming 52.5 3.18.68
8-)
« Last Edit: 2008-Oct-11, 08:13 AM by Stormy »

Offline Stormy

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« 2008-Oct-12, 08:35 AM Reply #1 »
G'day punter's
What a run by Douro Valley this horse is stretching it legs for the big one I think !

        1st    4.   DOURO VALLEY    $35.60    $5.00    QUIN    1-4    $33.50    
    2nd    1.   POMPEII RULER       $1.20    TRIF    4-1-7    $331.80    
    3rd    7.   GUILLOTINE       $1.50    EXACTA    4-1    $106.10

I think too that Guillotine is nominated for the Melbourne Cup.

 8-) :beer:

Offline Tevez17

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« 2008-Oct-21, 09:12 PM Reply #2 »
Take the 5's on Septimus

Offline gratlog

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« 2008-Oct-22, 05:52 AM Reply #3 »
When I was in the Army I was with 1RAR in Townsville and our mascot was a little pony called Septimus so I'll have to back this one just out of sentiment.lol

Offline Stormy

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« 2008-Oct-25, 02:27 PM Reply #4 »
Just looking at a bit more form for the Melbourne Cup.

All the Good is a horse that should be looked at,
Zipping top contender
Master O'Reilly as we all know
Ice Chariot should be studied
Gallopin great run and can run the distance.

It's All good. :beer:

Offline Stormy

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« 2008-Oct-26, 07:39 AM Reply #5 »
Just some others to consider

Maybe Better, came 3rd in the 2006 Melbourne by 4.5Len can run the distance easy
Baughurst great run last start can run 2520m and 3200

Cheers Stormy

Offline gratlog

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« 2008-Oct-26, 07:52 AM Reply #6 »
I think Maybe Better has been retired.

I'm not sure but I think I read that somewhere.

Offline Stormy

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« 2008-Oct-26, 07:54 AM Reply #7 »
Stormy's Melbourne Cup Early Market.

[stormy]

ZIPPING $2.3
EFFICIENT $2.3
SEPTIMUS $2.5
MASTER OREILLY $2.7
BAUGHURST $3.2
GALLOPIN $3.2
ALL THE GOOD $4.0
NOM DU JEU $4.0
LITTORIO $5.5
HONOLULU $7.0
   

 8-) :beer:

Offline Stormy

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« 2008-Oct-28, 06:02 PM Reply #8 »
Just doing a bit of a study on some of the horses form over the past few weeks and months for the Melbourne Cup interesting really.

Nom du Jeu    4.5
Efficient    7
Littorio    9
Gallopin    11
Master O`Reilly    11
Mad Rush    15
Septimus    15
All The Good    17
C`est la Guerre    21
Zipping    21

Offline westie

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« 2008-Oct-28, 06:26 PM Reply #9 »
Stormy
Do you have Prize Lady rated and do you rate wet form, given the conditions over the next seven days.

Offline Stormy

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« 2008-Oct-28, 08:38 PM Reply #10 »
Ok mate leave it with me, let you know.
No Worries.
 :beer: 8-)

Offline westie

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« 2008-Oct-28, 08:43 PM Reply #11 »
Thanks, don't wish to create extra work for you.

Offline Stormy

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« 2008-Oct-30, 05:25 PM Reply #12 »
Just done a few more Studies, this is based on past form and times.

Nom Du Jeu (NZ)    $4.20
Littorio    $5.50
Mad Rush (GB)    $10.00
Septimus (IRE)    $13.00
C'est La Guerre    $15.00
Profound Beauty (IRE)    $19.00
Zipping    $19.00
Bauer (GB)    $19.00
All The Good (UAE)    $21.00
Honolulu (IRE)    $21.00
Viewed    $21.00
Gallopin    $26.00
Master OReilly    $26.00
Alessandro Volta (IRE)    $41.00
Barbaricus    $41.00
Red Ruler (NZ)    $41.00
Boundless (NZ)    $51.00
Yellowstone (GB)    $51.00
Ice Chariot    $67.00
Varevees (FR)    $67.00
Moatize    $81.00
Newport    $81.00
Zarita    $81.00
Largo Lad    $101.00
Prize Lady (NZ)    $101.00
Red Lord    $101.00
Riva San    $101.00
Baughurst    $151.00
Guyno    $151.00
Book Of Kells    $301.00
Capecover (NZ)    $301.00
Chiefcomingfirst    $301.00
Get Up Jude    $301.00
Glistening    $301.00
Dandaad    $401.00
Magic Instinct    $401.00
Saddler's Story    $401.00

Getting Closer to the MC. :beer: 8-)

Offline Stormy

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« 2008-Oct-30, 05:35 PM Reply #13 »
Looking at the past studies, there are a few horses repeating in all studies.?
Cheers Stormy. 8-)

Offline Tevez17

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« 2008-Oct-30, 08:06 PM Reply #14 »
Almost settled on Profound Beauty, Cest Le & Gallopin,

Offline Stormy

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« 2008-Oct-31, 05:14 PM Reply #15 »
Tevez17 don't be to hasty at this stage.
Just a tip.
It's All Good.

Offline Stormy

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« 2008-Oct-31, 05:30 PM Reply #16 »
Just a study on Weight Over Distance.
[stormy]

Horse Wght Dist
 
GALLOPIN 58 2500
ALL THE GOOD 65 2800
ALESSANDRO VOLTA 57.5 2200
BARBARICUS 56 2040
BAUER 58.5 2681
PRIZE LADY 56 3200
NOM DU JEU 57.5 2400
PROFOUND BEAUTY 63 2800
SEPTIMUS 63.5 2800
MASTER O'REILLY 54.5 2600
MAD RUSH 59 3000
LITTORIO 53 2000

 8-)

Offline Stormy

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« 2008-Nov-01, 07:49 PM Reply #17 »
A Look at the Melbourne Cup on Form And Time
[stormy]

Inc Tb Horse Odds+ BP WT Jockey Trainer
  7 Zipping $2.50 16 54.0 Nikolic, Danny Sadler, J D
  11 Littorio $3.60 17 52.5 King, Steven Blackiston, N A
  14 Gallopin $7.50 21 52.0 Winks, James O'brien, D T
  4 C'est La Guerre $10.00 5 54.0 Prebble, Brett Sadler, J D
  8 Mad Rush $18.00 4 53.5 Oliver, Damien L M Cumani
  10 Viewed $18.00 9 53.0 Shinn, Blake Cummings, J B
  12 Bauer $26.00 13 52.0 Brown, Corey L M Cumani
  5 Nom Du Jeu $31.00 1 54.0 Lloyd, J Baker, M
  13 Boundless $61.00 20 52.0 Childs, Greg Stephen Mckee
  23 Barbaricus $81.00 3 50.5 Baster, Stephen O'brien, D T
  17 Newport $101.00 15 51.5 Symons, Chris Perry, P M
  15 Guyno $201.00 8 52.0 Newitt, Craig Lou Luciani
  18 Profound Beauty $301.00 2 51.5 Boss, Glen D K Weld
  19 Red Lord $301.00 14 51.5 Hall, Nicholas Cummings, A J
  22 Alessandro Volta $401.00 11 50.5 Lordan, W M A P O'Brien
  21 Prize Lady $500.00 18 51.0 Sweeney, Mark Sanders, G K
  24 Moatize $500.00 19 50.0 Lindop, Clare Cummings, J B
  1 Septimus $500.00 10 58.5 Murtagh, John A P O'Brien
  2 Master O'Reilly $500.00 6 55.0 Duric, Vlad O'brien, D T
  3 Honolulu $500.00 24 54.5 O'donoghue, C A P O'Brien
  6 Yellowstone $500.00 12 54.0 Egan, J Jane Chapple-Hyam
  9 Ice Chariot $500.00 22 53.0 Rodd, Michael Maund, R E
  16 Zarita $500.00 7 52.0 Dunn, Dwayne Hyland, P T
  20 Varevees $500.00 23 51.5 Williams, Craig Gibson, Richard

 8-) 8)

Offline Stormy

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« 2008-Nov-01, 07:57 PM Reply #18 »
Melbourne Cup on Distance And Form
[stormy]

Tb Horse Odds+ BP WT Jockey Trainer
7 Zipping $3.00 16 54 Nikolic, Danny Sadler, J D
1 Septimus $5.00 10 58.5 Murtagh, John A P O'Brien
2 Master O'Reilly $5.00 6 55 Duric, Vlad O'brien, D T
5 Nom Du Jeu $9.00 1 54 Lloyd, J Baker, M
4 C'est La Guerre $15.00 5 54 Prebble, Brett Sadler, J D
8 Mad Rush $20.00 4 53.5 Oliver, Damien L M Cumani
16 Zarita $20.00 7 52 Dunn, Dwayne Hyland, P T
11 Littorio $41.00 17 52.5 King, Steven Blackiston, N A
23 Barbaricus $41.00 3 50.5 Baster, Stephen O'brien, D T
3 Honolulu $71.00 24 54.5 O'donoghue, C A P O'Brien
14 Gallopin $71.00 21 52 Winks, James O'brien, D T
6 Yellowstone $101.00 12 54 Egan, J Jane Chapple-Hyam
9 Ice Chariot $101.00 22 53 Rodd, Michael Maund, R E
10 Viewed $101.00 9 53 Shinn, Blake Cummings, J B
12 Bauer $201.00 13 52 Brown, Corey L M Cumani
13 Boundless $301.00 20 52 Childs, Greg Stephen Mckee
15 Guyno $401.00 8 52 Newitt, Craig Lou Luciani
17 Newport $501.00 15 51.5 Symons, Chris Perry, P M
18 Profound Beauty $501.00 2 51.5 Boss, Glen D K Weld
19 Red Lord $601.00 14 51.5 Hall, Nicholas Cummings, A J
22 Alessandro Volta $701.00 11 50.5 Lordan, W M A P O'Brien
24 Moatize $850.00 19 50 Lindop, Clare Cummings, J B
21 Prize Lady $850.00 18 51 Sweeney, Mark Sanders, G K
20 Varevees $850.00 23 51.5 Williams, Craig Gibson, Richard

 :beer: 8-)

Offline Stormy

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« 2008-Nov-01, 08:01 PM Reply #19 »
Melbourne Cup Barrier & Distance
[stormy]

Tb Horse Odds+ BP WT Jockey Trainer
5 Nom Du Jeu $4.00 1 54 Lloyd, J Baker, M
16 Zarita $5.50 7 52 Dunn, Dwayne Hyland, P T
23 Barbaricus $5.50 3 50.5 Baster, Stephen O'brien, D T
18 Profound Beauty $9.00 2 51.5 Boss, Glen D K Weld
22 Alessandro Volta $13.00 11 50.5 Lordan, W M A P O'Brien
14 Gallopin $15.00 21 52 Winks, James O'brien, D T
19 Red Lord $15.00 14 51.5 Hall, Nicholas Cummings, A J
1 Septimus $21.00 10 58.5 Murtagh, John A P O'Brien
8 Mad Rush $21.00 4 53.5 Oliver, Damien L M Cumani
2 Master O'Reilly $31.00 6 55 Duric, Vlad O'brien, D T
4 C'est La Guerre $41.00 5 54 Prebble, Brett Sadler, J D
10 Viewed $41.00 9 53 Shinn, Blake Cummings, J B
6 Yellowstone $71.00 12 54 Egan, J Jane Chapple-Hyam
9 Ice Chariot $101.00 22 53 Rodd, Michael Maund, R E
7 Zipping $201.00 16 54 Nikolic, Danny Sadler, J D
12 Bauer $201.00 13 52 Brown, Corey L M Cumani
15 Guyno $201.00 8 52 Newitt, Craig Lou Luciani
17 Newport $401.00 15 51.5 Symons, Chris Perry, P M
3 Honolulu $599.00 24 54.5 O'donoghue, C A P O'Brien
11 Littorio $599.00 17 52.5 King, Steven Blackiston, N A
13 Boundless $599.00 20 52 Childs, Greg Stephen Mckee
20 Varevees $599.00 23 51.5 Williams, Craig Gibson, Richard
24 Moatize $599.00 19 50 Lindop, Clare Cummings, J B
21 Prize Lady $599.00 18 51 Sweeney, Mark Sanders, G K

 :beer: 8-)

Offline Stormy

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« 2008-Nov-01, 08:09 PM Reply #20 »
Melbourne Cup Weight,Barrier,Distance.
[stormy]
Tb Horse Odds+ BP WT Jockey Trainer
7 Zipping $3.00 16 54 Nikolic, Danny Sadler, J D
11 Littorio $4.80 17 52.5 King, Steven Blackiston, N A
1 Septimus $6.50 10 58.5 Murtagh, John A P O'Brien
10 Viewed $8.50 9 53 Shinn, Blake Cummings, J B
14 Gallopin $13.00 21 52 Winks, James O'brien, D T
4 C'est La Guerre $16.00 5 54 Prebble, Brett Sadler, J D
5 Nom Du Jeu $21.00 1 54 Lloyd, J Baker, M
8 Mad Rush $21.00 4 53.5 Oliver, Damien L M Cumani
12 Bauer $41.00 13 52 Brown, Corey L M Cumani
23 Barbaricus $41.00 3 50.5 Baster, Stephen O'brien, D T
18 Profound Beauty $71.00 2 51.5 Boss, Glen D K Weld
22 Alessandro Volta $91.00 11 50.5 Lordan, W M A P O'Brien
19 Red Lord $101.00 14 51.5 Hall, Nicholas Cummings, A J
17 Newport $201.00 15 51.5 Symons, Chris Perry, P M
16 Zarita $201.00 7 52 Dunn, Dwayne Hyland, P T
15 Guyno $401.00 8 52 Newitt, Craig Lou Luciani
13 Boundless $501.00 20 52 Childs, Greg Stephen Mckee
2 Master O'Reilly $501.00 6 55 Duric, Vlad O'brien, D T
6 Yellowstone $501.00 12 54 Egan, J Jane Chapple-Hyam
9 Ice Chariot $501.00 22 53 Rodd, Michael Maund, R E
21 Prize Lady $501.00 18 51 Sweeney, Mark Sanders, G K
24 Moatize $501.00 19 50 Lindop, Clare Cummings, J B
3 Honolulu $501.00 24 54.5 O'donoghue, C A P O'Brien
20 Varevees $501.00 23 51.5 Williams, Craig Gibson, Richard

 :beer: 8-)


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