I get the impression that the issue with the $10ew method is if people are way behind they start picking 100/1 shots late to try and fluke it. I personally don't have an issue with that and if you actually treat it like a competition I think it's fair game.
If others are concerned about that aspect you could place a limit on the win dividend of say $41 or $51. That would still give people a good return on their roughies but restrict to a certain extent the longshot 'bombing'.
Thanks for the input guys.
As Wenona says it is a fair game. There is no advantage coming the way of someone who picks roughies.
Indeed this is probably the best way to attack one of these competitions.If you think of the results spread at the end of the comp looking like the normal distribution of the bell curve, those who tip consistently without taking on too much tipping risk will go well and will probably finish toward the right of the average.
The winner is typically a statistical outlier who has jagged one taking on a lot of risk. When I won a few comps ago in 2016 I only won because I jagged old Lennybe at 100-1 in a non descript race in Adelaide.
It is all about risk and reward. Whilst the winner will probably come from someone tipping a roughie along the line there will be a lot of people who try this and fail i.e. it doesn't follow that if you pick roughies all the time you will get one in the comp.
And can I also point out that not every comp does a roughie tipper get up.
We will stick with the $10 each way for this comp.
If we were to have a points system comp then I'd like to restrict where we can pick to cut down on the amount of collation work to be done - if it were this comp I'd probably restrict it to capital cities with an extra couple of additions (Goldie, Newcastle/Kembla plus Vic country meeting).
Maybe one for the next comp.
Cheers.
Topic: tab.com.au Tipping Comp #25 - Discussion (Read 767 times)