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The Big6 ...... can the small punter take it on? - Racing Talk - Racehorse TALK

Author Topic: The Big6 ...... can the small punter take it on?  (Read 5404 times)

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Offline Peter Mair

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« 2018-Dec-01, 09:08 PM Reply #25 »

Running in the wrong direction

The question on the table has nothing to do with 'tips'.

If you understand the question, you may be pleased to see you had a win in both MN and SY.

Offline fours

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« 2018-Dec-02, 01:08 AM Reply #26 »
Hmmm,

Had a great day on favourites but of course the individual picks here failed - not Robinson Crusoe on that point I am sure.

Next week $25 bet - 5x more expensive and only improves things by less than 40% strike rate wise. But is it worth it?

Fours

Offline wily ole dog

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« 2018-Dec-02, 07:27 AM Reply #27 »
Running in the wrong direction

The question on the table has nothing to do with 'tips'.

If you understand the question, you may be pleased to see you had a win in both MN and SY.


Actually Peter, I cant imagine any circumstance where I would want your tips. Wrong choice of word perhaps but as we know, you dont answer questions

As to proving your theory, you obviously cant :bulb:


« Last Edit: 2018-Dec-02, 07:34 AM by wily ole dog »

Offline Peter Mair

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« 2018-Dec-02, 08:01 AM Reply #28 »

Offline wily ole dog

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« 2018-Dec-02, 03:14 PM Reply #29 »
... A REFRESH PERHAPS


http://www.racehorsetalk.com.au/racing-talk/shades-of-'spinner'-big6-falls-short-in-nsw/


A refresh is certainly needed by you.

You posted this junk back in 2011. You were wrong the and wrong now  emthup

Offline Peter Mair

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« 2018-Dec-02, 06:21 PM Reply #30 »

The work of the devil

Not sure why my expectation of the B6s paying unders was not met in either Sydney or Melbourne yesterday.

NSWTAB had a 'forecast' B6 pool of $100,00 but only show $82,000 in the event.

In both states there seems to be B6 pools under $100,000 as against $ millions for main quadrellas

.....that suggests punters sensibly shun the B6 (as they also do the 'duets')

Offline fours

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« 2018-Dec-02, 11:36 PM Reply #31 »
Peter Mair,

You are such a slow learner!

jfc only recently showed that it was the duet pool where the value was in Winx's last race for those that could work out 2nd and 3rd.

Every pool has it's time in the sun.

Fours

Offline Peter Mair

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« 2018-Dec-03, 06:16 PM Reply #32 »

Broken clocks are right twice a day

......... let me know when Winx is running next so I can place my first duet bet.

Offline wily ole dog

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« 2018-Dec-03, 07:14 PM Reply #33 »
Broken clocks are right twice a day

......... let me know when Winx is running next so I can place my first duet bet.

Typical spiteful response from Mair. No surprise itís on the back of him being wrong again  :lol:

Offline fours

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« 2018-Dec-08, 05:03 PM Reply #34 »
All,

Just for illustrative purposes and to show the potential a $25 bet has .... means 1 pick in one leg, 4 in one leg and 5 picks in 4 legs for 2,500 combos.

Assume I finally found the winning fav in the photo in race 4 at Pakenham today and have the rest of the winners so far up to the last race ( not that much of a challenge with none much more than 10/1 ) and my 5 picks in the last leg are 4,7,8,9,10 the Big6 divs for these are ALL $120,103.00 approximately so for the 1% we get $1,201.30.

If unsuccessful then the consolation div is received for 5% of it.

It HAS BEEN very achievable today. Not by me though as life had me doing other things today.

Fours

post script - still not achievable with "Theanswermyfriend' knocking off 2 of my picks. But the consolation dividend was $6,678.10 and 5% of that is $333.90 which is not bad for a $25 outlay when you don't actually succeed to get the desired goal. This alone makes the Big6 preferable to a quaddie bet in my view.
« Last Edit: 2018-Dec-10, 11:00 AM by fours »

Offline Peter Mair

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« 2018-Dec-09, 07:56 AM Reply #35 »

BIG LICKS ...........not BigSux?

.........again yesterday the B6 dividend in both Sydney and Melbourne paid better than the reinvestment of the 4-5 running double into the quadrella.

I am wondering if the TAB has lowered the B6 takeouts -- the early experience with B6s was clearly in favour of the RD into Quadrella.

Offline wily ole dog

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« 2018-Dec-09, 10:35 AM Reply #36 »
BIG LICKS ...........not BigSux?

.........again yesterday the B6 dividend in both Sydney and Melbourne paid better than the reinvestment of the 4-5 running double into the quadrella.

I am wondering if the TAB has lowered the B6 takeouts -- the early experience with B6s was clearly in favour of the RD into Quadrella.

Oh Peter, thanks for confirming you were wrong again.
However, instead of blaming the TAB just accept your brainfart was wrong

Offline fours

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« 2018-Dec-10, 11:09 AM Reply #37 »
Peter mentioned Big bucks....

IF you are game than you can consider doing ALL UPS with your Big6 bets and prepare for some white knuckle action!

Consider this the dividends potentially received have been in the area of 5/1, 13/1  to 48/1.

Accordingly two weeks in a row of receiving a dividend could see $25 grow into  $6000 or much more.

I doubt you have the intestinal fortitude to actually do it!

Even if you did it would be folly to go beyond 50% of the dividend given the dividend calculation method so for $25 that means a $1,250 bet limit.

Not overly easy to pull it off BUT..........MUCH MUCH MUCH better chances than playing lotto with your $25.00

AND I have shown that it is indeed achievable.

Fours


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