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Tennis 2018 - Sports Talk - Racehorse TALK

Author Topic: Tennis 2018  (Read 9519 times)

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Offline JWesleyHarding

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« 2017-Jan-29, 09:57 AM Reply #25 »
Steve and Mark will do me.  emthup

And twins to boot. :no1:

Offline Bubbasmith

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« 2017-Jan-29, 11:19 AM Reply #26 »
In the cricket world they would be the best siblings. Doubt they would be known in downtown Berlin, Montreal or Moscow... tennis is a universal sport and by definition, the Williams sisters are the greatest.I understand there are plenty of brothers who have dominated badminton, but again not a universal sport.
 

Offline Wenona

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« 2017-Jan-29, 06:39 PM Reply #27 »
Gee, I think I'd find it difficult to pick them over Ian and Greg.


Offline firezuki

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« 2017-Jan-29, 07:16 PM Reply #28 »
Roger coming to the net.  So far.  And winning. 

Offline arakaan

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« 2017-Jan-29, 10:15 PM Reply #29 »
No 18. They wont catch him now. The old man answered tonight..   :clap2:

Offline Wenona

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« 2017-Jan-29, 10:31 PM Reply #30 »

I'll  post a summary after the tournament is over but I've got $262 bonuses in the kitty from yesterday and today so far.


I bet in 76 matches - 47 Mens & 29 Women - in 13 matches I laid the bet off for a small loss to get the server I wanted.

Overall I lost $23.54 on the match bets - winning $107.88 on the men and losing $131.42 on the women.

My players hit 768 Aces - 595 Men & 173 Women for a bonus return of $599.50 - $507.00 Men & $92.50 Women.

I lost overall on the Women but would more selective next time - regards the men I still think you can bet every game and finish well in front.

Of the 76 matches I got 1 @ $10 - 2 @ $5 - 3 @ $2 - 4 @ $1 and 66 @ 0.50cents - very close to the expected spread.




Offline samatt

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« 2017-Jan-29, 10:53 PM Reply #31 »
Super game, both amazing. Tempted to retire from watching tennis now and go out on a high note   :noteworthy:

Offline JWesleyHarding

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« 2017-Jan-30, 12:03 PM Reply #32 »
As a matter of interest Wenona :-

1 What was your objective in this project?

2 How long did you spend on this endeavour?

3 Did you have Springsteen playing in the background whist you were engaged in pursuit of your objective?


 

Offline Wenona

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« 2017-Jan-30, 11:32 PM Reply #33 »
1. To make some easy money - I get the impression William Hill are interested in building turnover at the moment (possible sale??) and I'm happy presently to take advantage of all their bonus offers without fear of being terminated.

2. Not long. I got a list of players that stated their % of Aces served then basically put $25 on the favourite if their % was competitive with their opponent or backed and layed their opponent if the unfancied opponent had a far superior Ace %. Decision time each match = under 30 seconds. In the mens just backing the favourite would be highly profitable.  I became more selective in the Women's draw as it progressed - next time I'd restrict myself to the top 4 or 5 women ace servers.

3. Often yes, but not exclusively. I found myself visiting the Cold Chisel repertoire more often recently due to the use of Flame Trees in a safe driving ad during the matches and I habitually find myself gravitating back to the works of two of my favourite female artists, Amy Winehouse and Paloma Faith.



« Last Edit: 2017-Jan-30, 11:36 PM by Wenona »

Online jfc

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« 2017-May-28, 06:50 AM Reply #34 »
Stosur wins 9th WTA title.

Molik won 4, so I'd guess this millennium Stosur has won more than the rest of the nation.

As for the French, the Q1 favourite Kerber is $24 for the title, so it's hard to imagine an easier Quarter.

My bet is the author, AAP, phoned it in.

http://www.sbs.com.au/news/article/2017/05/26/stosur-faces-tough-french-open-run

Offline Bubbasmith

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« 2017-May-28, 07:54 PM Reply #35 »
Sam Stosur vince Strassbourg opn batte un altro Gavrilova
 
Sapevo che avrebbe potuto vincere di nuovo !!
 

Online jfc

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« 2017-Jun-05, 05:38 AM Reply #36 »
Stosur ends her 450 week reign as #1, losing to Ostapenko.

4 day old hand injury, only disclosed after the match. Some informed punters should be happy.

Muguruza out, opening the field.

Wozniacki now favourite against Ostapenko to win Q1,

Should she break through for the title, her 4 language victory speech should be a pearler.

Online jfc

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« 2017-Sep-02, 11:46 AM Reply #37 »
The wacky US Mens' draw was bad enough, but all the favourites to reach the no names Q3/Q4 Final keep falling.

Amazingly Shapovolov is 3rd fvourite on Betfair, hence implied favourite to be the no name to make the final.

Seems to be all the media rage right now, but apart from many other hurdles at only 6' he's a midget!

No idea why at ATP #67 he's favourite against #15 Busta in the next match.

Online jfc

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« 2017-Sep-04, 07:09 AM Reply #38 »
Thank Allah that Insufferablelova has finally bitten the dust!

There's an interesting Australian connection remaining in the US Open.

That paragon of composure Coco is now coached by Pat Cash.

Quite a smashing combination, so far.

Online jfc

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« 2017-Sep-04, 12:15 PM Reply #39 »
Contrary to her rarely correctly pronounced name Petra is not a Kvita.

Knocking out favourite Muguruza.

Now faces Venus, presumably on FTA SBS.

Good to see her comeback continuing.

Offline Wenona

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« 2018-Jan-17, 06:34 PM Reply #40 »
Anyone else Chasing the Aces again this year?

Some changes - you can only have 10 bets a day and the bonus range goes down to 10 points this year ie 25 cents.

This my third day of betting - at the moment I've had 27 completed matches - all mens matches.

Invest = $25*27 = $675 - overall I'm down $55 on the bets and have received  19,820 bonus points which equates to $495.50 in bonus bets.

Certainly a good way to create an interest in the Open and make a few dollars for virtually no effort.   emthup

« Last Edit: 2018-Jan-17, 06:36 PM by Wenona »

Online jfc

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« 2018-Jan-17, 06:50 PM Reply #41 »
I've been following the womens' side, as I dig the extra entrophy.

That 15 year old Ukranian is one for the books.

But watching Wozniacki hold herself together after being down 1 - 5 in the last has left me tired and emotional.



Offline Bubbasmith

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« 2018-Jan-17, 07:30 PM Reply #42 »
Just got back from spending 9 hours on Rod Laver Arena, fortunately in prime shaded seating
Doubt IMO whether  Rafael Nadal  Caroline Wozniacki E. Svitolina will win their finals. All struggled to beat non ranked players .

Offline Gintara

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« 2018-Jan-21, 10:20 AM Reply #43 »
Anyone else Chasing the Aces again this year?

Some changes - you can only have 10 bets a day and the bonus range goes down to 10 points this year ie 25 cents.

This my third day of betting - at the moment I've had 27 completed matches - all mens matches.

Invest = $25*27 = $675 - overall I'm down $55 on the bets and have received  19,820 bonus points which equates to $495.50 in bonus bets.

Certainly a good way to create an interest in the Open and make a few dollars for virtually no effort.   emthup

How are you going Wenona?

I've left the women alone - they just don't hit enough aces  :/

Online jfc

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« 2018-Jan-21, 01:02 PM Reply #44 »
Can anyone offer a logical reason why Kyrgios is favourite against Dimitrov tonight?

Or 10s to win the Open?

At a superficial glance the Odds seem wrong.

https://www.atpworldtour.com/en/players/fedex-head-2-head/nick-kyrgios-vs-grigor-dimitrov/KE17/D875

Offline Bubbasmith

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« 2018-Jan-21, 01:38 PM Reply #45 »
Kyrgios overbet by parochial Australians. I know Betfair is " world wide" but doubt if there is much interest in match outside of Australia

Offline sobig

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« 2018-Jan-21, 02:01 PM Reply #46 »
Krygios did beat Dimitrov in Brisbane a couple of weeks ago so that is a consideration in the odds I guess,

Offline Wenona

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« 2018-Jan-21, 02:12 PM Reply #47 »
How are you going Wenona?

I've left the women alone - they just don't hit enough aces  :/

As of last night :

70 matches bet (66 men 4 women)

Losses on Match betting : ($144.21) -loss of 8.24% on turnover -  I am arbing them now - effectively buying the bonus for between 0 - $2.50

Bonus Aces served : 1027

Bonus bets received : $880.25

Average bonus received per match : $12.58 - average bonus actually received per ace $0.86 (expected $0.772)

Average pts/per ace received on spins : 31.86 - expected is 30.88

Best match was Karlovic v Suigita - spun Karlovic 100 points ($2.50 per serve) - it was a 5 set marathon and Karlovic hit 53 Aces.  :clap2:

Promotion is basically free money for no risk and little effort.   emthup
« Last Edit: 2018-Jan-21, 02:15 PM by Wenona »

Offline Gintara

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« 2018-Jan-21, 02:25 PM Reply #48 »
Cheers I've come to the party late for a bit of fun.

Best I've spun is a 40 for the current Cilic match.
« Last Edit: 2018-Jan-21, 04:08 PM by Gintara »

Offline Wenona

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« 2018-Jan-21, 03:46 PM Reply #49 »
Can anyone offer a logical reason why Kyrgios is favourite against Dimitrov tonight?

Or 10s to win the Open?

At a superficial glance the Odds seem wrong.

https://www.atpworldtour.com/en/players/fedex-head-2-head/nick-kyrgios-vs-grigor-dimitrov/KE17/D875

Part of the reason is Dimitrov has been really struggling with his second service this week for some reason.

In the second round against M McDonald he only won 28% of his second serves. They were slow and landing mid court - McDonald (who's first round win was his only ever full atp tour win) was just walking in and smashing them. Dimitrov was able to survive being his second victim only by winning the 5th set 8-6 (after losing the 4th set 6-0)

He improved to 38% against Rublev in the third round but he'll need to lift that to 50%+ against far better players to go any further. He also served more double faults than aces in that match.

He looks far more likely to have his serve broken than Kyrgios at the moment.
« Last Edit: 2018-Jan-21, 03:49 PM by Wenona »


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