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Racehorse TALK



Melbourne Racing Selections - Vic Gallops - Racehorse TALK

Author Topic: Melbourne Racing Selections  (Read 151989 times)

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Offline wily ole dog

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« 2018-Jan-26, 07:45 AM Reply #1500 »
Looks home in this but Id assume he's in for a long prep
Mr Sneaky may be a good hope

Offline nemisis

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« 2018-Jan-26, 04:40 PM Reply #1501 »
I like Mr Sneaky and think he could be High Chaparral's fastest son.

First time at WFA but I think he will make it.

Did run well only start at track and was unlucky in a good time with 57kgs.

There are storms around Melbourne so track conditions may change.

Offline gunbower

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« 2018-Jan-26, 07:31 PM Reply #1502 »
I was with you Nemisis . But no damage done each way. Pace always seems to go out of these races mid race in these events at the Valley. Thought when Buffering went things might change.

Offline PoisonPen7

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« 2018-Jan-26, 08:25 PM Reply #1503 »
Thronum continues the Hayes/Hayes/Dabernig steam train. Had decent form. Had a few decent runs under Gai in Group company so a win not a complete surprise. The son of Snitzel is destined for a stud career I hear.

Not the strongest version of this race I've seen.

Brave Smash moves up like he is going to win on the home turn and fades to run 2nd last.

Geez you guys were spot on with Mr Sneaky. He is an absolute giant of a horse. Needs a bit more space than a 1200m race at Moonee Valley. Great run given they walked the first part. Like to see the horse's strength tested coming up the rise at Randwick in a race like the Doncaster.

Offline gunbower

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« 2018-Jan-26, 09:54 PM Reply #1504 »
I am thinking Doomben 10, 000 or Stradbroke.  Looks ideal prospect for either.

Offline PoisonPen7

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« 2018-Jan-27, 09:18 AM Reply #1505 »
With the MM's run and won, now the big 2yo races switch to Melbourne.

Always interesting these Blue Diamond Preludes and you'd have to go back a long way to find a year where the Blue Diamond winner didn't come through the Preludes.

Looking at the replays, in the C&G heat the best wins for mine were by #1 Run Naan down the straight last start. And the stable already has the 2018 MM. Could McEvoy win the Diamond as well?

# 3 Olivander's win was almost as impressive on debut.

Interesting that the Snowden team has sent #5 Invincible Lad down. It was well fancied in the Breeder's Plate but folded up after a tough run in front. You have to respect Pete's judgement though and I'm sure he wouldn't be sending it down unless he thought it could improve.

In the fillies, there are only 2 races that expose the form and while the 3 horses all ran nice races I don't think it is up to the Colts and Geldings form. Once again the Snowden camp has one in this time an unraced filly #10 Pure Elation. If you are having a bet in this race you should watch the impressive trial.  She is a grey by I Am Invincible out of a mare that won the Cap D'Antibes down the straight and is part of a family that has produced some nice fillies/mares over the years (Rosa's Spur, Rosarino).

http://racing.racingnsw.com.au/FreeFields/VideoResult.aspx?MeetDate=2017Oct09&VenueCode=MzA2MTgw&RaceNumber=9&MeetingCategory=Trial&VideoFileType=FullReplay

Offline PoisonPen7

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« 2018-Jan-27, 09:26 AM Reply #1506 »
Just looked at the fixed odds...Pure Elation opened $3.90. Now $2.70 favourite.

Offline PoisonPen7

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« 2018-Jan-27, 11:07 AM Reply #1507 »
Just looked at the fixed odds...Pure Elation opened $3.90. Now $2.70 favourite.

Tony Brassell thought the same as me. Rider spent the first half of the race fighting the horse - should have let it slide.

Nothing left at the end and got swamped.

Got me beat why riders do that. The race is only 1000m why would you be intent on stopping the horse doing what it wants to do  :what:

Offline PoisonPen7

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« 2018-Feb-10, 12:37 PM Reply #1508 »
Thought the clash of the day was between Shoals and Tulip in Race 5.

Surprised you cover the two with about 40%.

But there is no fun in that. Will go for Tulip and maybe save with a few trifectas with Shoals winning.

In the Orr I would have backed Tosen Stardom but like a lot of others the barrier puts me off.

Hartnell at his best goes close to winning this anyway. Any late money for Hartnell will go for it.

Offline PoisonPen7

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« 2018-Feb-15, 10:28 PM Reply #1509 »
Race 8 - 4:45PM Black Caviar Lightning (1000 METRES)

Times displayed in local time of Race Meeting

Of $750,000.1st $450,000, 2nd $135,000, 3rd $67,500, 4th $33,750, 5th $18,750, 6th $15,000, 7th $15,000, 8th $15,000

Prize money contribution totalling 2% will be directed to jockey and equine welfare prior to distribution

GROUP 1

Standard Weight for Age, Maidens at time of entry are ineligible, Apprentices cannot claim.


No Last 10 Horse Trainer Jockey Barrier Weight Penalty Hcp Rating
1 2211x1111x REDZEL Peter & Paul Snowden Kerrin McEvoy 9 58.5kg
116
2 20x100x02x TERRAVISTA Joseph Pride Mark Zahra 4 58.5kg
113
3 1196x1401x HEY DOC Tony McEvoy Luke Currie 3 58.5kg
113
4 1x105x100x REDKIRK WARRIOR (GB) David & B Hayes & T Dabernig Regan Bayliss 7 58.5kg
111
5 011x43765x ROCK MAGIC Chris Gangemi Michael Dee 1 58.5kg
106
6 3394x2531x BALL OF MUSCLE Joseph Pride Craig Williams 2 58.5kg
105
7 13x930x15x SUPIDO Michael Kent Beau Mertens 10 58.5kg
103
8 2x1449729x MISSROCK Robbie Laing Damien Oliver 6 56.5kg
104
9 1423x5112x SUPER TOO Marc Conners Stephen Baster 5 56.5kg
95
10 302x11013x FORMALITY David & B Hayes & T Dabernig Dwayne Dunn 8 53.5kg
102

Horse Flucs Win Place
1. REDZEL (9)J: K MC EVOY W: 58.5 KGS 1.75, 1.8 1.80 1.10
2. TERRAVISTA (4)J: M ZAHRA W: 58.5 KGS 9.5, 9 9.00 2.60
3. HEY DOC (3)J: L CURRIE W: 58.5 KGS 7.5, 8, 8.5, 9 9.00 2.60
4. REDKIRK WARRIOR (7)J: REGAN BAYLISS W: 58.5 KGS 10, 11 11.00 3.00
5. ROCK MAGIC (1)J: M J DEE W: 58.5 KGS 21 21.00 5.00
6. BALL OF MUSCLE (2)J: CRAIG WILLIAMS W: 58.5 KGS 16, 15 15.00 3.80
7. SUPIDO (10)J: BEAU MERTENS W: 58.5 KGS 16, 17 17.00 4.20
8. MISSROCK (6)J: D OLIVER W: 56.5 KGS 20, 19, 18 18.00 4.40
9. SUPER TOO (5)J: S BASTER W: 56.5 KGS 20, 26, 21 21.00 5.00
10. FORMALITY (8)J: D DUNN W: 53.5 KGS 10, 11, 10 10.00 2.80

(prices Ladbrokes)

Offline PoisonPen7

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« 2018-Feb-15, 10:36 PM Reply #1510 »
If you click on Peter And Paul Snowden on the Racing NSW web site, you get the results of their last 50 runners.

There have been some absolute shockers recently including two long odds on shots at Hawkesbury the other day.

Take the $1.80 at your own risk IMO.

Reckon the handicappers ratings look about right.

Super Too is one of the fastest short course horses I've seen for many years but don't know if he can match motors with this class over the 1000m.

Returned from a 12 week break with two excellent trials one being over She Will Reign. 12 starts for 5 wins - not exactly hopeless

http://racing.racingnsw.com.au/FreeFields/VideoResult.aspx?MeetDate=2018Jan15&VenueCode=Mjg5ODAw&RaceNumber=1&MeetingCategory=Trial&VideoFileType=FullReplay


Offline wily ole dog

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« 2018-Feb-16, 06:11 AM Reply #1511 »
Love to see the Terra pull out a big run


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