Melbourne Racing Selections - Vic Gallops - Racehorse TALK harm-plan harm-plan

Racehorse TALK



Melbourne Racing Selections - Vic Gallops - Racehorse TALK

Author Topic: Melbourne Racing Selections  (Read 269355 times)

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Offline PoisonPen7

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« 2020-Oct-31, 02:17 PM Reply #1700 »
Must be something in the breeding and straight racing.

September Run's mum Pittsburgh Flyer won two stakes races, both down the Flemington straight.

Her dad Exceed And Excel won a Newmarket and sired this year's Newmarket winner Bivouac.

Another son, Exceedance, won this race last year. She was the obvious choice with the benefit of hindsight  :shy:

Offline wily ole dog

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« 2020-Nov-03, 10:29 AM Reply #1701 »
Oh dear, how far should have sweet reply won by






Offline ratsack

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« 2020-Nov-03, 07:32 PM Reply #1702 »
 :shutup: :rant: :mad: :censored: :sad: :stop:

Offline PoisonPen7

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« 2020-Nov-04, 10:57 PM Reply #1703 »
Race 8 - 5:10PM Kennedy Oaks (2500 METRES)

Of $1,000,000.1st $600,000, 2nd $180,000, 3rd $90,000, 4th $45,000, 5th $25,000, 6th $20,000, 7th $20,000, 8th $20,000
Prize money contribution totalling 3% will be directed to jockey and equine welfare prior to distribution GROUP 1
Set Weights, Three-Years-Old, Fillies, Apprentices cannot claim.
This race carries a SUPER VOBIS Nominators Bonus of $10,000 for qualified horses.


No Last 10 Horse Trainer Jockey Barrier Weight Hcp Rating
1 14x31411 MONTEFILIA David Payne Hugh Bowman 5 56kg 106
2 2130x5222 PERSONAL Tom Dabernig & Ben Hayes Damien Oliver 10 56kg 94
3 82x711807 CAFE RIZU Mick Price & Michael Kent (Jnr) Craig Newitt 14 56kg 65
4 3x31467 SUCCEED INDEED Leon & Troy Corstens Mark Zahra 13 56kg 70
5 82225 SALTO ANGEL (NZ) Danny O'Brien Ben Melham 9 56kg 72
6 0x17664 MIRAVALLE Mark Newnham Craig Williams 6 56kg 64
7 10333 TYCHE GODDESS Trent Busuttin & Natalie Young Kerrin McEvoy 3 56kg 73
8 0x53211 BIARCHI David Jolly John Allen 1 56kg 64
9 233 STAR OF EDEN Michael Moroney Billy Egan 2 56kg 67
10 48x0010 ART GLASS Grahame Begg William Pike 12 56kg 61
11 8323 VILANCULOS Danny O'Brien Jamie Kah 7 56kg 67
12 50081 HARD SQUEEZE Robbie Griffiths & Mathew de Kock Dean Yendall 8 56kg 60
13 3440 YATTON (NZ) Michael Moroney Jye McNeil 4 56kg 61
14 5650 SWINDON LASS Matthew Brown Brian Higgins 11 56kg 58

Offline PoisonPen7

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« 2020-Nov-04, 11:04 PM Reply #1704 »
I've got some severe doubts about the favourite in this at those odds, especially if it is ridden negatively. They don't seem to be running on from the back lately (or if they do it is all over).

Can see #7 Tyche Goddess leading or near the lead and #2 Personal not being far off them either. The first three streeted the rest in that race and the winner is not here.

Breednet has a good article on which of them are bred to stay. They give the favourite a thumbs up

https://www.breednet.com.au/news/12007/oaks-preview-%E2%80%93-which-girls-are-bred-to-stay?

They also give #7, #11 and #13 a tick.

Offline PoisonPen7

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« 2020-Nov-06, 03:01 PM Reply #1705 »
Didn't really predict the suicidal pace in the race.

#7 Tyche Goddess led and after having been beaten 1.5 L by the winner on Saturday has been beaten 48.5 lengths.

The horse that attacked her in the lead, Jamie Kah's mount #11 Vilanculos couldn't finish the race and was pulled up.

Quite a remarkable performance from the favourite, who tracked the pace, to place.

Surprised the stewards didn't say more.

Winner has been most consistent and it was a deserving victory. She is by Fastent Rock out of Personify. The dam of Personify, Tristarc Stks winner Procrastinate, has produced 5 stakes winners including 5 time Sth African G1 winner Laisserfire and G1 placed Time Thief.

Offline nemisis

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« 2020-Nov-29, 09:21 AM Reply #1706 »
Today's Jericho Cup over 4600m on a wet track does mean horse's pedigrees are going to count.
I can't be bothered going into them all but I don't mind Golden Flag's breeding.
Grandson of Galileo out of a dour Sth Island NZ family appeals to me......probably set for this after last year's effort......on the minimum as well.

The mug punter in me means I'll have something on Superleggera......strong one pacer who I hope he's not there as pace for the stablemate.
I ignored racing yesterday but am looking forward to this!

Offline wily ole dog

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« 2020-Nov-29, 03:03 PM Reply #1707 »
If it wasnít wet I thought the toppy was a good thing
Finally I Plugged for the flag as well given he ran 2nd last year. Hit the line very well last start

Offline nemisis

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« 2020-Nov-29, 04:20 PM Reply #1708 »
Count Zero, another winner for Zed......what a versatile stallion he is.
I did spot  Zammazan on the dam's side.......but how many goes can you have?
Plenty of stamina in the NZ homebreds.

Offline PoisonPen7

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« 2020-Nov-29, 04:21 PM Reply #1709 »
Today's Jericho Cup over 4600m on a wet track does mean horse's pedigrees are going to count.
I can't be bothered going into them all but I don't mind Golden Flag's breeding.
Grandson of Galileo out of a dour Sth Island NZ family appeals to me......probably set for this after last year's effort......on the minimum as well.

The mug punter in me means I'll have something on Superleggera......strong one pacer who I hope he's not there as pace for the stablemate.
I ignored racing yesterday but am looking forward to this!

I thought you would have had something on the Zed horse at 25-1.

Count Zero is the only named produce of the Volksraad mare My Duchess.

Zed is the sire of (inarguably) the best mile and a quarter/half horse in Australia Verry Elleegant as well as 11 other stakes winners.




Offline nemisis

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« 2020-Nov-29, 04:34 PM Reply #1710 »
I am kicking myself at the moment.......the big distance jump put me off.
The wonderful thing about the thoroughbred and stamina........the bloodlines speak.

Doriemus was a wonderful example of the Zammazan blood.

Offline nemisis

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« 2021-Jan-13, 03:28 PM Reply #1711 »
I'm Thunderstruck in the 3rd at Caulfield could be worth keeping an eye on.

Won a trial In NZ last July on a heavy11 .....looks like a very smart horse.

The son of Shocking is being backed like a good thing.

Offline nemisis

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« 2021-Feb-03, 12:05 PM Reply #1712 »
I'm Thunderstruck has his 2nd start in the Gr 2 Autumn Stakes at Caulfield on Saturday over 1400 m.
Opens the 2nd fav around $4.2. :what:....that is a bit short!

He looks to be a really good horse ......I'll wait until Saturday and hope you can get a bit better price about him.
It's a big ask to go from a 1st up maiden win to this grade and something only a very good horse can do.

Offline nemisis

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« 2021-Feb-13, 04:38 PM Reply #1713 »
Jamie Kah has got to have some magic in those hands.

Beautifully balanced as well.....what a star!

Offline nemisis

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« 2021-Feb-20, 10:02 PM Reply #1714 »
Just a reminder.....always check your tickets before pressing "confirm" boys.

Wanted $8 win and $7 place on Brooklyn Hustle.......pressed the 5 and the 2 for the place bet  and then confirm :what:
Ended up with a $52 place bet on Brooklyn Hustle. :what:

Something beaten and seem to take an age before got confirmation she ran 4th :sad:

Good days racing in both Sydney and Melbourne all the same.

Well done to Flying Artie as the sire of the Blue Diamond winner......always thought that the year Extreme Choice and Flying Artie fought out the Blue Diamond was one of the best.
Just seems like yesterday!

Online Gintara

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« 2021-Feb-21, 11:47 AM Reply #1715 »
I think we've all done that at some stage, rarely does it fall your way either  :sad:

I remember a first four for a punters club that I placed, was out on a family picnic, had to drive to the top of a hill to get reception, placed the bet (pretty sure Takeover Target was in it so it was a while ago) listened to it salute, chuffed with the $1000 + collect.

Later couldn't understand why the account hadn't updated  :shrug: fat finger me had selected the wrong number in the app  :shy:

Offline wily ole dog

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« 2021-Feb-21, 04:57 PM Reply #1716 »
Dirty Work was dead stiff yesterday in the plate :tears:

Offline wily ole dog

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« 2021-Feb-24, 09:13 AM Reply #1717 »
Anyone done the ratings on the last in Melbourne?
Iíve got a few I need to seperate 8-)

Offline nemisis

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« 2021-Feb-24, 10:08 AM Reply #1718 »
Haven't seen anyone do the ratings in Victoria on here since Stormy left the building, Wily.

Critical at Sandown on a good track that you watch a couple to see if swoopers can get home.
Rail out 12 metres means a fairly narrow racing strip.

Who have you spotted?....I can keep a secret :whistle:

Online fours

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« 2021-Feb-24, 10:12 AM Reply #1719 »
Take the Operatic route....

Music Of The Night.

Fours

Online fours

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« 2021-Feb-24, 10:36 AM Reply #1720 »
Soooooooo.....

Music of the night is ranked last by Skyform ratings..... may be important to know how they rate.....

Racing and Sports rank it on top......

How is this possible?

Who is right.

After 52 days since a run just which part of the horses historical form should you rely on..... does this explain the difference betwen Sky and R&S?

Will the horse lead  today or come from behind?

Does the barrier matter and why?

The trainer had entered the horse for two races but chose the one with more $$$ on offer.... is this a clue?

Am I crazy or is the trainer?

Fours




Offline wily ole dog

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« 2021-Feb-24, 01:10 PM Reply #1721 »
Nem, spot on about the race pattern or track bias playing a big part   emthup

Mr Reikonen & Cirrina are the main 2 of interest and 5ne fave to a degree

Online fours

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« 2021-Feb-24, 02:16 PM Reply #1722 »
More fodder for you... on the roughy

The trainer has put on a 2kg claiming app - does this mean the horse is likely to lead....?

What happened last time the roughy raced in a 64 grade race with 2kgs more weight than todays ask?

Are you asking as many questions about every horse as I have proffered here?

If not why not?

Have you got a chance against those punters that ask as many questions and more given the gloss over quicker approach you may do?

Fours

ps - leaders not advantaged much at all today after the first race result..... if jockeys adapt to that maybe by the last race they will be... but then again how smart are they...
« Last Edit: 2021-Feb-24, 02:44 PM by fours »

Offline nemisis

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« 2021-Feb-24, 03:18 PM Reply #1723 »
You are carrying on like a child, fours.
If the form work you've done tells you that that Music Of The Night has the capability to run the 1300 m around the 1minute 17 secs odd, which will be required, then good luck to you!
Hope she wins or runs well for you.  emthup

You might be hard of hearing because I told you where I bet......I'm not familiar with some of those codes you are putting up.....and I couldn't care enough to look!

I'll have a little e/w on Confidant and French Bishop.
I'm hoping the Mathrick horse has pulled up well after his concrete track experience last week at Swan Hill.



Offline wily ole dog

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« 2021-Feb-24, 03:37 PM Reply #1724 »
Nem, spot on about the race pattern or track bias playing a big part   emthup

Mr Reikonen & Cirrina are the main 2 of interest and 5ne fave to a degree


2 races down and the track appears to be more than fair to all runners


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